Buy an easy to understand business run by honest & capable management with MINIMAL VARIABLE PARAMETERS( Avoid Complex Bus.)
Pay less for your share than what it is actually worth in terms of future earning potential.
Hold onto it patiently !
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3/19
INVESTING IS A ONE MAN JOURNEY
๐ธGain basic knowledge of accounting & financial markets.
๐ธRead business Magazines , Periodicals, Annual Reports & Concalls
๐ธGet going !
A basic checklist that shall help you figure if you are actually a Long Term Investor or not.
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4/19
TEMPERAMENT MATTERS
Your reaction to Greed & Panic shall determine your investing success.
Are you fixated on the LT business fundamentals or on the weekly stock prices ?
You need to have the SKILL to invest correctly & then the CONFIDENCE to hold them through drawdowns.
5/19
PATIENCE IS A CRITICAL COMPONENT
Don't get swept up in others' irrational exuberance.
LEARN TO SEE THROUGH FADS.๐ง
A volatile price DOESN'T IMPLY a volatile business!
Focus on the underlying business & it's earning capacity always.
In investing, Inactivity is rewarding.
6/19
Buy the RIGHT business & it SHALL ( more often than not) THRIVE !
Buy & Hold WORKS only in the RIGHT business.
Look for PREDICTABLE Cash Flows & Earnings.
CONSISTENCY matters immensely.
So does SCALABILITY.
( Correlate these to newly listed new age businesses & think)
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7/19
Owning cutting edge tech businesses is good as long as they CONSTANTLY REINVENT to ensure HEALTHY CASH FLOWS !
Stay away if you don't know WHEN the industry shall make any money.โ ๏ธ
Better to go in for boring businesses with PREDICTABLE CF !
8/19
Do Nothing when Nothing is to be done.
Shun hyperactivity.๐ด๐ด
Frequent churn results in frictional costs : Commision , Capital Gains taxes, Hidden costs - Load in MF further reduces our gains ( if any )
Aim to get wealthy over Long Term, not rich !
9/19
My personal fav.
DON'T LOOK AT THE TICKER !
Your life does NOT depend on daily / monthly stock movement.
Checking prices daily can cause exaggerated mood swings, leading to knee jerk decisions.
Ticker is all about the price.
But investing is a lot more than that.
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10/19
If the herd starts running away from a good stock, get ready to run toward it.
Rings any bells ? ๐คช
Invest when great businesses are experiencing temporary difficulties
Or during Bear markets when share prices plummet due to overall gloom & underlying business is intact.
11/19
DON'T SWING AT EVERY PITCH!
Be patient, let a good one come by & then swing big !
The sweet spot is
A great business + strong earnings future + ethical management + good stock price.
Mistakes of Omission are alright.
Mistakes of Commission ARE NOT.
12/19
V.Imp !!
WHO IS IN CHARGE AT THE HELM ?
Charlie Munger states,
"The opulence at the head office is often inversely proportional to the financial substance of the firm."
"A dirty kitchen rarely has just one cockroach" states Warren Buffett.
Some notes to help know WHY
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13/19
Too many choices confuse us.
But how many merit themselves ?
Only a few.
We will be bombarded with information & investment strategies by "professionals" - their bread & butter afterall
But is it worth it for us ?
Remember,
The Emperor Wears No Clothes on Wall Street ๐ฌ
14/19
"Most men would rather die than think. Many do."
THINK INDEPENDENTLY.
Investing is a one man journey.
Think based on FACTS & REASONING.
Not based on PREVAILING PUBLIC OPINION !
DON'T make a decision just because it is CONTRARY. That isn't being Contrarian ! ๐ ๐คท๐ปโโ๏ธ
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15/19
Short term forecasts tell us more about the forecaster than the future, states Buffett.
Social media is filled with such forecasters !
These are NOISE because they create an illusion of precision.
Look at proven performance instead,
as the future is obscure.
16/19
EQUANIMITY IS THE KEY
Paraphrasing Benjamin Graham,
"Never fall under the influence of Mr. Market.
His gloom can fill the room.
His euphoria can be intoxicating."
Read the mood & act.But don't get swept in the mood yourself.
Aggressive opportunism when pessimism is MAX.
17/19
READ , READ & READ SOME MORE.
BUT READ , SELECTIVELY* !
Then sit in isolation & THINK
Over the years, a pattern emerges and you start identifying businesses that are fluff and are able to differentiate between value and noise.
*Explained in Notes ๐
18/19
"All I want to know is where I'm going to die. So I'll never go there."
- Charlie Munger
Aka
Avoid the costly mistakes of others !
Don't get enticed with pitches of professionals ( 25%CAGR or Assured returns) & become victims of unsound investing.
Nuggets of wisdom
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19/19
๐ธKeep things simple
๐ธStick to what you understand, else outsource
๐ธThere will always be distractions - Ignore them.Focus on underlying business
๐ธWrite your investment approach & stick to it
๐ธRule no 1 : Never lose money
Rule no 2 : Never forget Rule no 1
Lastly , ๐ฌ
โข โข โข
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
The subconscious mind goes beyond learning new skills. It basically stores our beliefs & determines and monitors when & what information must be sent to the conscious mind.
Ever observed how a child is not afraid of anything including ๐ฅ initially?๐ค
* Look at long term volatility of Cash Flows ( assuming Financial Statements paint a fair picture )
* Check if business generates Free Cash Flow ( FCF). This ensures company is unlikely to be wiped out at the bottom of the cycle.
3/20
๐ธManagement Integrity matters.
You notice good governance only when it is gone !
Hence unless one has demonstrable proof on a long term basis that people are honest , consider them to be crooks .
Cynical approach but helps save us from losses !