Garry Kasparov Profile picture
Mar 13 9 tweets 2 min read
Say you will not listen to me because I have always hated Putin, but if you will not listen to Zelenskyy, it's your own conscience you are silencing. This is a great test for us all, not only Ukraine, and right now we are failing it.
The problem is not Russian forces creating conditions for the West that prevent them from intervening to save Ukraine. It's Western leaders looking for excuses not to stand up to Putin, as they have since 2008.
Western leaders today are weathervanes, not compasses. They follow will of the people, who are affluent & complacent, with no taste for sacrifice or risk. This is only sustainable in an environment with no predators. E.g. the brief moment after the Cold War ended.
Into this world came Putin, hardly a powerful force. Like every dictator, he soon needed enemies domestically and then abroad, and encountered little resistance. Putin is not a shark, but a bottom-feeding fish that grows to the size of his tank.
After 20 years, Putin has grown large & aggressive. The answer is not to let him grow bigger and bolder, but to diminish him. Sanctions help, but too slowly to save Ukraine. Putin is a monster of our creation and we have the responsibility to stop him.
Putin is attempting genocide in plain sight. Allowing him to set the terms of engagement is doomed. Supply air power. Announce humanitarian corridors for supplies & refugees that will be considered under protection. Stop conceding Ukraine to Putin preemptively.
We have come to this point because of fear. Now there is more to be afraid of and the answer is still that we must not be afraid to act. Glory to Ukraine.
No one will be able to say "we didn't know" this time. The villages are being burned now, not buried. The concentration camps are being built, not demolished. The war you say you don't want is already here.
Yes, escalation is frightening, which is why Putin uses it. Choosing less risk now only to guarantee more risk later is the same flawed calculation that got us to this point. It's cowardice in its favored disguise of prudence.

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More from @Kasparov63

Mar 15
Putin's war on Ukraine will either be the catalyst that revives the spirit & credibility of NATO or the end of the global order. As the Korean War shaped NATO after its birth under Harry Truman's vision of containing Communism, this is democracy vs authoritarianism. 1/13
Retreating from Putin to hide behind a piece of paper is too familiar to Ukrainians . The 1994 Budapest Memorandum promised Ukraine's territorial integrity in exchange for its nuclear arsenal. USA & UK rushed to deny it was a guarantee when Putin invaded in 2014. 2/13
As with NATO today, lack of contractual obligation does not equal prohibition nor a lack of moral and strategic necessity. It's about political will and the choices of leaders. The refusal to defend Ukraine in 2014 led directly to Putin's escalation now. 3/13
Read 13 tweets
Mar 15
An example of short-term thinking in the free world, focusing only on what happens NOW instead of planning for next year & the next generation. Had a policy of "dictatorship replacement" started 8 years ago, think of how different things would be now. Stop panicking and plan.
Instead of institutional consistency and strategy, the US & EU look only at the next poll. Any solution that won't pay immediate dividends on social media or by the next election is discarded. Germany discarding its nuclear plants for Russian gas, etc.
This frequently fails despite the massive power advantage the West has because dictatorships can move quickly. Putin doesn't care about a Congress or public opinion. Democracies must debate, process, pass laws.
Read 4 tweets
Mar 12
Indeed. Zelensky, under siege and outgunned, channels Churchill. Biden, in command of the most powerful military in the history of the world, channels Chamberlain. Why this perverse urge to take things off the table?
Biden told Putin, "We shall NOT fight on the beaches, we shall NOT fight on the landing grounds, we shall NOT fight in the fields..." That Putin can reduce Ukraine to dust by any means and boxing himself in for no reason. Madness.
This isn't new. We know what happens when hostile dictators are appeased. Chamberlain didn't know. We are repeating the mistake not only from 1938, but from 2008 & 2014 with Putin.
Read 4 tweets
Mar 11
Why are we always hearing about what the US and NATO won't do and never about what they will do? It's been one green light after another for Putin. Now Syria and Belarus are invited to slaughter Ukrainians in Ukraine.
Stop telling me NATO isn't obliged to defend Ukraine from Putin's war crimes. The obligation is moral. The rationale is strategic. You aren't obliged to spout Kremlin talking points on social media, but you're doing it anyway.
We heard all these same arguments about how any intervention in Ukraine would lead to war in 2014. Now war has come anyway and we have the blood of tens of thousands of innocents on our hands and a stain on our soul.
Read 8 tweets
Mar 10
Is there a reason Burns still has his job? Either Putin's invasion was one of the worst intel failures of all time, or he was fooled and made a terrible call. Or there are deals they care about more than Ukraine. He met with Patrushev in November, what did they talk about?
Being a diplomat, even a Russia expert, may not be of much use during a war, when Putin sees any lifeline of communication as a sign of weakness. Is he still giving orders after being so catastrophically wrong?
If US intel was sure Putin was going to invade, as it seemed to be, why didn't they arm the hell out of Ukraine and implement sanctions immediately, as I and others implored at the time? Not to "provoke" Putin when he was already set on war? Makes no sense.
Read 4 tweets
Mar 10
Another day, a million more refugees, dozens more innocent Ukrainian civilians murdered intentionally by Putin's military. Another set of strange excuses for not sending air power so Ukraine can defend itself. 1/8
Feel free to call me a paranoid Russian, but US statements combined with what I'm hearing leave an unpleasant picture of American priorities regarding Putin and the future of Ukraine. It seems they are still trying to make deals with a mass murderer. 2/8
Bennett's shuttle diplomacy, Russia still at the Iran deal table, public bickering with Poland over jets - all with no explanation of the White House's aims or rationales. Is Putin to be cut off or bargained with? It cannot be both, not while his genocide accelerates. 3/8
Read 8 tweets

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