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#Ukraine| thread here by @aldin_ww showing RU Su-25 Frogfoot ac ultra-low level over Donetsk. The Frogfoot is a RU Close Air Support platform [CAS], and an old one - 1975. And from what I can see, the pair are manoeuvring over Donetsk in what looks like a show of force 2/
2. #Ukraine

Cont’d: the pair have no precision guided munitions (PGMs). Just rocket pods and dumb bomb pylons. This recent video below is one of the Su-25s that took a MANPADs to its rear. There’s a number of takeaways from these videos. 3/
3. #Ukraine| the U.S, U.K and other NATO partners are well versed in CAS using multiple modern platforms and PGM weaponry to degrade the enemy. The U.K have been using Typhoon w/ Paveway 500lb PGMs, and Storm Shadow (inertial nav missiles) in N.Iraq. F-35 now in the mix. 4/5.
4. #Ukraine

U.S have been using the A-10 Warthog & F-16s in Afghan. The A-10 uses a combination of 30mm cannon (brutal) & the Maverick missile. Then there’s the Hellfire missile capability (which has numerous warhead options) used extensively AH-64 Apache & MQ-1B to RQ-4 RPS 5/
5. #Ukraine| but it’s not just about the offensive capability. It’s about modern self defence suites in these western ac that can decoy sophisticated Radar and IR SAM/MANPADs seeker heads.6/
6. #Ukraine| Back to the Su-25 video of a MANPADs strike. This indicates the Su-25s are flying either w/ no self defence or retrograde self defence systems. Either way it doesn’t bode well. There’s a stark difference in NATO vs RU CAS capability — should that day come for NATO.

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More from @MikeyKayNYC

Mar 15
Thread #Ukraine|

Gut wrenching. Key point: a #NFZ wouldn’t prevent this. There are 2 main air operations: Defensive Counter Air (DCA) & Offensive Counter Air, Surface Attack (SA). An NFZ comes under DCA. 2/
2. #Ukraine #NFZ|

What @ZelenskyyUa should be asking @POTUS for is this:

To target RU rockets/artillery *inside Ukraine* you need Close Air Support (CAS), a subset of Offensive Counter Air Surface Attack (OCA SA) missions. 3/
3. #Ukraine|

Weapon of choice (for UK Typhoons) would be Brimstone anti-armour missile. 6 per jet. More on Brimstone here:

thinkdefence.co.uk/brimstone-guid…

U.S weapon of choice would be Hellfire (platforms MQ-9 Reaper, MQ-1B Predator, AH-64).

Watch: U.K Brimstone strikes in Libya

4/
Read 7 tweets
Mar 4
Agree w/ @jensstoltenberg. If the aim is to disrupt and deter RU use of Ukraine airspace, Stinger is your option. Lots of them, closely monitored by SF. Benefits?

1. Air Crews are shit scared of Stinger which has superior counter counter measures. 2/
2. #Ukraine #NFZ

When I flew in Iraq and Afghanistan, even the idea of MANPADs being part of our threat, created all sorts of additional protocols. And Stinger, that’s a nightmare. As soon as a RU ac is taken out by Stinger, RU aircrews’ morale will head south. 3/
3. #Ukraine #NFZ

The logistical tail of creating a 24/7 NFZ is huge. Where will the NATO ac be located? Baltic Air Policing is based out of Lithuania and Estonia. If based out of there, tanking will be required, and you risk Putin striking the bases. Escalation. 4/
Read 16 tweets
Mar 4
War is brutal. It shows you sadness and despair that stays with you forever, no matter how good life might get in the future. If they are extremely lucky, they’ll walk away with their limbs in tact. But mentally, they are likely to be haunted. #Ukraine 2/
2. #Ukraine| I do admire them. It’s an unnecessary fight for national survival. The alternative isn’t any better - living under Putin. But the following days, weeks, and months will rely on a lot of luck and organic judgement. 3 days training gives them next to nothing. 3/
3. #Ukraine| while just a few hours away from Kyiv, in London, Paris, Madrid, Berlin and other major European capitals, we in the West go about our days pretty much as normal, these young lads will be embarking on a journey with low odds of survival. 4/
Read 4 tweets
Feb 28
Just look at city’s like Aleppo in Syria to learn no one wins from this. But the civilian population loses desperately. It will take decades to reconstruct. Kharkiv’s citizens will be displaced, forced to find a new life. Then vilified for hoping to find a better life 😞#Ukraine
2. #Ukraine| evidence suggesting Putin is using cluster munitions in #Kharkiv.

The Convention on Cluster Munitions (CMs) was established in 2010. It bans the munition & requires member countries to clear areas contaminated by cluster munition remnants within 10 years 3/
3. #Ukraine| destroy their cluster munition stocks w/in 8 years, and provide assistance for victims.

CMs spread multiple bomblets or submunitions indiscriminately over a wide area, which can be devastating for civilians caught in a strike. 3/
Read 10 tweets
Feb 17, 2021
Abbott is pushing a lie to protect incompetence. There is no Federal oversight of the Texas Grid, ergo fewer regulations (sound familiar) - so point one: state legislature needs reform. 2/
2. Point 2: there were clear signs the grid would get overloaded under extreme cold conditions. Why? Due to a vacuum of regulations mandating winterization of turbines and power generators. This from sources, in Texas!
3. Point 3: Of the power shortfall that hit Texas, over 80% was due to problems at coal and gas fired plants. Power generators were just not winterized. Decisions to do so have been ignored since the 1990s.
Read 22 tweets
Jan 31, 2021
#CapitolRiots|

The caveats in this memo are bordering criminal. As a military warfighter for 20yrs w/ 10 op tours, it’s clear Trump’s Defense Sec stripped the National Guard of the right equipment to:

a) defend themselves/others.
b) surveillance.
c) manœuvre (helicopters). 2/
2. #CapitolRiots| Given the gun laws in the U.S, it’s utterly dangerous to strip National Guard w/ a capability that can defend against protestors who have access to AR-15 assault rifles, pipe bombs etc. Riot Police in France are better equipped to deal w/ the Yellow Jackets. 3/
3. #CapitolRiots| Serious questions need to be asked about the Command and Control (C2). The orders to mobilize and the conversations that came from Trump’s people to place National Guard soldiers at risk. What were the integration plans w/ police? Who was in charge that day?
Read 6 tweets

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