1) My article at @DailyMailUK on Russia & the war in Ukraine. I've made many of the points in various Twitter threads, but the following part is new. While Russia may win in Ukraine (it may also lose), it has shown that is is not a serious conventional threat to NATO.
2) Quoting from the article. "While the information campaigns have clouded the reality of the situation on the ground, what has also become clear is that Russian military does not pose a conventional threat to NATO."
3) "Smaller, non-NATO members, such as Moldova, are not so lucky."
"Whatever successes the Russian military has had in Ukraine, the operation has exposed serious flaws in its ability to wage war against an adversary with advanced weaponry and sophisticated tactics."
"Whatever successes the Russian military has had in Ukraine, the operation has exposed serious flaws in its ability to wage war against an adversary with advanced weaponry and sophisticated tactics."
4) "The Russian air force's inability or unwillingness to gain air superiority over the whole of Ukraine against a less capable foe raises questions about its performance in a potential war against the West."
5) "NATO air power is far superior to that of Ukraine, and would very likely savage Russian armor, ground forces and its logistical support."
6) "NATO ground forces would exploit the Russian military's inability or unwillingness to deploy its infantry to screen against mobile anti-armor teams."
7) This of course assumes that NATO remains united and enforces Article 5 (collective defense).
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
