Israel's findings of protection for the 3rd and 4th dose are quite different, both in people age 60+, early read out at just 12+ days
3rd shot (Delta wave): ~15-fold protection vs severe illness
4th shot (Omicron wave): ~4-fold protection vs severe illness
Whereas the 3rd shot had durable protection vs severe illness for 4+ months, the 4th (vs Omicron, w/ far more immune evasion), may be limited
They've worked remarkably well vs severe disease, with a 3rd shot that restored effectiveness at ~95% vs hospitalization and death.
But the virus has continued to evolve, the antigenic distance between Omicron BA.1 and BA.2 is as far as Beta to Gamma.
The 4th shot is already underway in the UK. Meanwhile, millions of Americans of advanced age are well past 6 months from getting their 3rd shot, with substantial waning of protection, with no plan yet. /1
Reduction in neutralizing antibodies after mRNA vaccines at 5 months /2 nejm.org/doi/full/10.10…
When South Korea, a model country for the pandemic, has >400,000 new cases in a day, leading the world per capita, you take notice. Tests 4X the US with <1/6th the population. BA.2 is 26% as of this week's report.
Very high 2-shot vaxx 87%, 3-shot 63%. The pandemic isn't over.
Relative to Hong Kong, it's death rate is very low. Boosters more than double. Great coverage of age 60+ No Sinovac vaccines.
BTW Hong Kong's booster 30% rate now exceeds the US (29%)
Relative to European countries with a BA.2-related hospitalization increase, South Korea's (BA.1) is more pronounced