At least 5 🇷🇺 Russian Air Force, Navy and government (Rossiya - SFD) flights between 0800Z & 1630Z March 13 over Russia and Syria.
(@ADSBexchange & Google Earth)
The only flight of particular interest aside from the usual affair was the Russian Navy Tu-154M RF-85856 #1B4F60 making weird circles all over Syrian airspace as it left Latakia. Whether it was actually flying in circles or if it was just ADS-B spoofing, I can only guess.
First, I'd like to make the distinction that I do not know if an amphibious assault would be all one site, or whether the airborne would support or go independently. This is just where I'd put forces if it were one landing site.
2/
Currently, all of the 197th Assault Ship Brigade is in the Black Sea. Operational status for 2 are questionable. Yamal was under repairs for a collision and Filchenkov hasn't been seen active since 2019. Assuming 5 Alligator or Ropucha LSTs.
Russian Air Force 🇷🇺 Eastern Military District Su-25SMs from (likely) 18th Guards Assault Aviation Regiment, Chernigovka Airbase, Primorsky Krai moved to airfields in 🇧🇾 Belarus.
In the video in the link, I'm able to jot down some nose and registration numbers. 10 Su-25s with several from 18 Shturmovik Av Regt, seemingly confirming the movement. tvzvezda.ru/news/202225249…