Evergreen Intel Profile picture
Mar 6 4 tweets 2 min read
Note the 3 detonations tracking right, the pause as whatever is hit burns left, then 3 more detonations.

Strong possibility it was Russian Air Force. Two different AD pieces were used.
Distance from camera to Kharkiv airfield is about 6 km.

Short range AD probably set up in this wooded area near the airfield, would have been near-impossible to locate precisely ahead of time. Good but obvious cover.

But RuAF went in anyways.

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Evergreen Intel

Evergreen Intel Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @vcdgf555

Feb 19
Figuring out what sea it was going to be for the landing op was important.

Thread! Assuming it is NOT the Azov Sea, this presents realistically three amphibious landing sites IMHO (🟡🟠🔴) each with advantages and costs.

1/
First, I'd like to make the distinction that I do not know if an amphibious assault would be all one site, or whether the airborne would support or go independently. This is just where I'd put forces if it were one landing site.

2/
Currently, all of the 197th Assault Ship Brigade is in the Black Sea. Operational status for 2 are questionable. Yamal was under repairs for a collision and Filchenkov hasn't been seen active since 2019. Assuming 5 Alligator or Ropucha LSTs.

3/
Read 12 tweets
Feb 5
This is a huge red flag.

Russian Air Force 🇷🇺 Eastern Military District Su-25SMs from (likely) 18th Guards Assault Aviation Regiment, Chernigovka Airbase, Primorsky Krai moved to airfields in 🇧🇾 Belarus.

These aircraft are crucial to a ground attack.

tass.ru/armiya-i-opk/1…
🇧🇾 Luninets Airbase is mentioned as a location for Su-25SM deployment.

It is also a site with recently added S-400 & Pantsir-S deployments.

Recent evidence indicates the base keeps the runway free of snow.

In the video in the link, I'm able to jot down some nose and registration numbers. 10 Su-25s with several from 18 Shturmovik Av Regt, seemingly confirming the movement. tvzvezda.ru/news/202225249…
Read 5 tweets
Jan 5
Even Russia is acknowledging the police are shooting back.

"A group of protesters is trying to take the building of the ROVD in Alma-Ata, the police are shooting back"

3/
Read 30 tweets
Nov 23, 2021
On the evening of November 19 2021, RCH8194, C-17A 08-8194, lifted from Fort Campbell. It was 6:40PM (2340Z). It probably didn't make much difference to anyone in the area. These are common flights. Common enough for flight trackers who watch for this stuff to sometimes miss.

1/
Within a couple hours, it should have become a little more obvious.

Another C-17A, 00-0184 #AE08BE, was lifting from Fort Campbell around 7PM local, 0000Z, with RCH5E1, C-17A 04-4138 #AE1448, descending for Campbell's Army Airfield.

Something was beginning to move.

2/
Not much further away to the east at roughly the same time, RCH889, C-17A 06-6157 #AE145B, was lifting out of Fort Bragg/Pope AAF, NC.

At this moment, all aircraft involved had used in part or in whole Mode S to at least partially obfuscate their departures.

3/
Read 11 tweets
Nov 21, 2021
>flights 🧐

Has anyone identified them yet?
Sources (BBC, Pravda, Euroradio) indicate that several airlines are involved, increasing routes to meet an anticipated demand of tourists at discount rates to Minsk. Those involved (but not limited to):

🇮🇶 Iraqi Airways
🇧🇾 Belavia
🇹🇷Turkish Airlines
🇸🇾 Cham Wings Airlines
So here is what gets REALLY interesting.

The head of foreign economic activity for Minsk airport indicates that service routes are in the works to open for Kenya, Vietnam, Algeria, Iran, Morocco, Moldova, Qatar, Ethiopia as of early November.
belmarket.by/news/2021/11/0…
Read 4 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!

:(