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Mar 9 • 4 tweets • 2 min read
Loss of a Lt. Col. From 11th Air Assault Brigade.
Loss of the commander from 🇷🇺 33rd Motor Rifle Regiment.

Loss of a Major General commander of 🇷🇺 7th Airborne Division.

The as of yet confirmed by Pentagon killing of the deputy chief and Chief of Staff to 🇷🇺 41st Army.

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More from @vcdgf555

Evergreen Intel Profile picture
Mar 6
Note the 3 detonations tracking right, the pause as whatever is hit burns left, then 3 more detonations.

Strong possibility it was Russian Air Force. Two different AD pieces were used.
Read 4 tweets
Evergreen Intel Profile picture
Feb 19
Figuring out what sea it was going to be for the landing op was important.

Thread! Assuming it is NOT the Azov Sea, this presents realistically three amphibious landing sites IMHO (🟡🟠🔴) each with advantages and costs.

1/
First, I'd like to make the distinction that I do not know if an amphibious assault would be all one site, or whether the airborne would support or go independently. This is just where I'd put forces if it were one landing site.

2/
Currently, all of the 197th Assault Ship Brigade is in the Black Sea. Operational status for 2 are questionable. Yamal was under repairs for a collision and Filchenkov hasn't been seen active since 2019. Assuming 5 Alligator or Ropucha LSTs.

3/
Read 12 tweets
Evergreen Intel Profile picture
Feb 5
This is a huge red flag.

Russian Air Force 🇷🇺 Eastern Military District Su-25SMs from (likely) 18th Guards Assault Aviation Regiment, Chernigovka Airbase, Primorsky Krai moved to airfields in 🇧🇾 Belarus.

These aircraft are crucial to a ground attack.

tass.ru/armiya-i-opk/1…
🇧🇾 Luninets Airbase is mentioned as a location for Su-25SM deployment.

It is also a site with recently added S-400 & Pantsir-S deployments.

Recent evidence indicates the base keeps the runway free of snow.

In the video in the link, I'm able to jot down some nose and registration numbers. 10 Su-25s with several from 18 Shturmovik Av Regt, seemingly confirming the movement. tvzvezda.ru/news/202225249…
Read 5 tweets
Evergreen Intel Profile picture
Jan 5
#Kazakhstan
#Kazakhstan

2/
Even Russia is acknowledging the police are shooting back.

"A group of protesters is trying to take the building of the ROVD in Alma-Ata, the police are shooting back"

3/
Read 30 tweets
Evergreen Intel Profile picture
Nov 23, 2021
Thread on Ethiopia. Hopefully not a long one.

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Read 4 tweets
Evergreen Intel Profile picture
Nov 23, 2021
On the evening of November 19 2021, RCH8194, C-17A 08-8194, lifted from Fort Campbell. It was 6:40PM (2340Z). It probably didn't make much difference to anyone in the area. These are common flights. Common enough for flight trackers who watch for this stuff to sometimes miss.

1/
Within a couple hours, it should have become a little more obvious.

Another C-17A, 00-0184 #AE08BE, was lifting from Fort Campbell around 7PM local, 0000Z, with RCH5E1, C-17A 04-4138 #AE1448, descending for Campbell's Army Airfield.

Something was beginning to move.

2/
Not much further away to the east at roughly the same time, RCH889, C-17A 06-6157 #AE145B, was lifting out of Fort Bragg/Pope AAF, NC.

At this moment, all aircraft involved had used in part or in whole Mode S to at least partially obfuscate their departures.

3/
Read 11 tweets

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