📊Don’t be deceived by low case counts—

📌US has one of the lowest #COVID19 testing rates per capita

📌US testing has fallen substantially

📌Home testing + are almost never counted in official statistics

📌Wastewater shows plateau & reversal.

📌CDC risk levels mainly uses 🏥
2) this is why we need to look beyond just the raw case counts. We have much more home testing that almost never reported and we are closing more mass testing sites around the country. We are running more and more blind.
3) Don’t allow others to gaslight you that everything is fine. Lots of dangerous denialists and minimizers will tell you to look away.
4) Just look at what is happening in the UK 🇬🇧 right now — and let this sink in— the Us has never dodged any wave that has hit UK first. Think about that. #Ba2 is definitely coming in a month or less.
5) Also the CDC “community levels” metric is based partly on hospitalizations which is much much too slow of an indicator. And it’s also seriously flawed because many counties don’t have hospitals for eligible admissions and many hospitals don’t report where their patients live!
6) Wastewater is definitely trending in a reversal direction. You can’t escape the reality of wastewater— it’s completely unbiased in every way.
7) it doesn’t take rocket science or epidemiology to tell you that there are growing pockets of wastewater increases in the US. It’s a matter of when we see it in the clinical cases, not just “if” anymore with #BA2.

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More from @DrEricDing

Mar 22
⚠️BA2 is now 34.9%

A wise mentor once taught me—whenever you see exponential change—#BA2—it’s safe to assume among 3 things:

📌Something new / different is driving it
📌It must be either faster/better/stronger
📌Something new will likely occur soon

Figure @DrWilliamKu #COVID19 Image
2) this is now cases and hospitalization in UK which has been #BA2 dominant for many weeks. England hospitalizations is already approaching their December peak… and surged quite quickly after cases rose I might add (perhaps under testing during early surge?) Image
3) England lifted all restrictions on Feb 24th… cases surged again. This coincided with also #Ba2 surge. So England is having a double whammy of both dropping mitigation and BA2 at the same time. Way to effing go @BorisJohnson Image
Read 12 tweets
Mar 20
Look at this graph📈 & quote—“Let me try to say it politely. If you thought Covid was over, you’re an idiot. Sorry. I don’t mean to be rude, but people who bought this foolish notion, that “Covid is over,” need to get real”—by @umairh #CovidIsNotOver
eand.co/if-you-thought…
2) “Covid’s surging again, around the globe. In Hong Kong, the line is almost vertical — and this time, we’re talking about deaths. Britain, Austria, France, Germany, Switzerland, China, South Korea, the Netherlands, — all countries where Covid’s spiking, yet again.”
3) “Finland has 85% more cases than last week. Austria has more cases now than at any point in the pandemic.”

The WHO says all this is just “the tip of the iceberg.” reuters.com/business/healt…
Read 10 tweets
Mar 20
We live in the STUPIDEST timeline—#BA2 is rising and inevitably surging, yet many states close most of their mass testing sites even when public health experts warn it is TERRIBLE HORRIBLE NO GOOD VERY BAD idea. 🤦🏻‍♂️ #CovidIsNotOver

HT @By_CJewett
nytimes.com/2022/03/20/hea…
2) Dr. Anthony S. Fauci predicted on Sunday an “uptick” in coronavirus infections similar to the current increase in Europe, despite the current decline in cases.

nytimes.com/2022/03/20/hea…
3) It is “no time at all to declare victory, because this virus has fooled us before and we really must be prepared for the possibility that we might get another variant,” Dr. Fauci said.” “And we don’t want to be caught flat-footed on that.” nytimes.com/2022/03/20/hea…
Read 11 tweets
Mar 20
So, if I need to goto a hospital, I want to be safe and know I won’t be cross-infected. Yet, 20% of #COVID19 hospitalization today are **acquired in hospitals** after arrival! This is up 5x from ~4% in Jan. All HCWs need #N95–Yet CDC still does not require it! 🧵

HT @DrWilliamKu
2) Let this sink in— Some hospitals are asking patients and visitors to remove their N95 masks when they enter. 😱

The hospitals claim they're following @CDCgov guidelines. For many public health advocates, that's exactly the problem!!!

By @rachael_levy
politico.com/news/2022/03/1…
3) A recent POLITICO analysis found that more than 3,000 patients were infected with Covid each week in January, during the Omicron wave. politico.com/news/2022/02/1…
Read 8 tweets
Mar 19
BREAKING—China has now confirmed its first #COVID19 deaths in over a year. China is grappling with sustained outbreaks in two-thirds of its provinces (>90 million in full or partial lockdown). Most of its cases are the new more contagious #BA2 subvariant. nytimes.com/live/2022/03/1…
2) meanwhile hospitalizations surging in England amid surging #BA2 where in England it is now dominant.
3) China is honestly at a major tipping point in the COVID war. They are on the precipice of either losing control versus barely hanging on. It’s much more nail biter than you think… I know what’s happening inside China… my thoughts 👇
Read 4 tweets
Mar 17
Really overjoyed to see the WH launch the Clean Air in Buildings Challenge that calls on all building operators, schools, universities, & organizations to adopt key strategies to improve indoor air quality in buildings to reduce #COVID19. #COVIDisAirborne whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/…
2) this new clean air in building initiative is led by the EPA interestingly, rather than CDC or Labor. I think EPA is a good choice if it can turn guidelines into hard policy rules, not just voluntary suggested “guidelines” (like a pirate’s 🏴‍☠️ parlay). epa.gov/indoor-air-qua…
3) pretty solid guidelines here. Though wished they added Corsi-Rosenthal Boxes to the suggested disinfection list @CorsIAQ @JimRosenthal4!

epa.gov/system/files/d…
Read 5 tweets

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