Thread by @billroggio

1) Today's must read, by @TaskandPurpose's Andrew Milburn:
"Overconfidence may obscure for the Ukrainians one salient fact about this conflict: Time is not on their side.

taskandpurpose.com/news/russian-m…

2) Milburn notes that the Russians are adapting their tactics: "The Russians are already adapting, and by doing so are narrowing the Ukrainians’ tactical edge."

3) "The one-sided culling of Russian armored columns that characterized the opening days of the war, and kept YouTube subscribers around the world happy, are a thing of the past."

4) "The Russians now lead their formations with electronic attack, drones, lasers and good-old-fashioned reconnaissance by fire. They are using cruise missiles and saboteur teams to target logistics routes, manufacturing plants, and training bases in western Ukraine."

5) "Realizing that the Ukrainians lack thermal sights for their stinger missile launchers, the Russians have switched all air operations to after dark. It may be for this same reason that Russian cruise missile strikes in western and southern Ukraine have also been at nighttime."

6) "The Russians have learned to play to their strengths. While Ukrainian soldiers mock their Russian counterparts, they are deeply respectful of Russian artillery, an asset that the Russians are using more frequently to compensate for their infantry’s deficiencies."

7) “They [the Russians] own the long clock,” a senior Ukrainian officer recently admitted. “We are calculating time not in weeks or days – but in lives.”