UK All-Cause Mortality by Vaccination status shows a clear picture!
> Initially the vaccinated appear to be dying less, which could be due to statistical effects
> After several months all vaccinated end up with higher mortality rates than the unvaccinated. 1/n 🧵 #Covid#Covid19
Even stratified by age we can see this effect, here for example people aged 80-89 years old.
There's a brief time where vaccinated appear to be better off, but since October single and double vaxxed are now worse than the unvaccinated. 2/n
Walgreens publishes COVID-19 Cases by Vaccination Status. Here we can infer the Vaccine Efficacy for COVID-19 Cases (VE) by using Cohen et al.'s method: 1) For those who test for COVID-19, VE is negative for all age groups, with a VE for all ages of -100.4% #Covid#Covid19
(1/n)
2) Using the share of population vaccinated we can see a positive effect only for those ~>50 - however we do not know the exact time frame here. Still overall we can still see a VE of -90%!
(2/n)
In summary we do see that the vaccines mostly do not lead to less COVID-19, actually it appears to lead to more spread!
I have concluded that in another analysis here as well:
Here's something that baffles my mind:
> How can Germany have 1,336 COVID-19 deaths with basically no age-adjusted excess mortality.
> While the US is seeing MORE age-adjusted-excess mortality than COVID-19 deaths?! #Covid#Covid19#Corona#Coronavirus
In my opinion, there's only one hypothesis:
> The COVID-19 deaths have replaced flu deaths in Germany 1:1.
> The numbers in the US are highly skewed, and most of the excess is very likely not originating from COVID-19.
Thoughts?