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Ben

Apr 15 • 4 tweets • 2 min read

UK All-Cause Mortality by Vaccination status shows a clear picture!
> Initially the vaccinated appear to be dying less, which could be due to statistical effects
> After several months all vaccinated end up with higher mortality rates than the unvaccinated.
1/n 🧵 #Covid #Covid19

Even stratified by age we can see this effect, here for example people aged 80-89 years old.
There's a brief time where vaccinated appear to be better off, but since October single and double vaxxed are now worse than the unvaccinated.
2/n

Here's the full picture by all age groups:

@ExcessBurden

H/T to @ExcessBurden for these charts!
Sources: excessburden.substack.com/p/all-cause-mo…
ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulati…

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More from @USMortality

Ben

@USMortality

Apr 15

https://twitter.com/EWoodhouse7/status/1514713450555088904

For anyone that still admires the Chinese model!

https://twitter.com/EWoodhouse7/status/1514713450555088904

More...

https://twitter.com/Iamtheoldnormal/status/1513614166917066757?s=20&t=cRCPy0swhXzi8VqnqFZYWg

And more..

https://twitter.com/Jerry4Ji/status/1513514663429894147?s=20&t=cRCPy0swhXzi8VqnqFZYWg

Read 5 tweets

Ben

@USMortality

Apr 14

Walgreens publishes COVID-19 Cases by Vaccination Status. Here we can infer the Vaccine Efficacy for COVID-19 Cases (VE) by using Cohen et al.'s method:
1) For those who test for COVID-19, VE is negative for all age groups, with a VE for all ages of -100.4%
#Covid #Covid19
(1/n)

2) Using the share of population vaccinated we can see a positive effect only for those ~>50 - however we do not know the exact time frame here. Still overall we can still see a VE of -90%!
(2/n)

In summary we do see that the vaccines mostly do not lead to less COVID-19, actually it appears to lead to more spread!

I have concluded that in another analysis here as well:

https://twitter.com/USMortality/status/1499757268325343238?s=20&t=3dLstKUZe2CKKj1h0FCJhg

(3/n)

Read 7 tweets

Ben

@USMortality

Apr 12

Big Germany All-Cause Mortality Update!
> Now with full data for Q1/2022
> -7.1% lower mortality, compared to baseline.

Reminder full years:

And here's full year, if there weren't any COVID-19 deaths.

Read 7 tweets

Ben

@USMortality

Mar 31

Here's something that baffles my mind:
> How can Germany have 1,336 COVID-19 deaths with basically no age-adjusted excess mortality.
> While the US is seeing MORE age-adjusted-excess mortality than COVID-19 deaths?!
#Covid #Covid19 #Corona #Coronavirus

In my opinion, there's only one hypothesis:
> The COVID-19 deaths have replaced flu deaths in Germany 1:1.
> The numbers in the US are highly skewed, and most of the excess is very likely not originating from COVID-19.
Thoughts?