Thread by @ThatKHersch

One or more fuel depots in #Bryansk, #Russia are on #fire after residents in the area reported hearing explosions. Bryansk is in the area of Russia near both the Belarus & Ukrainian borders (about 100 km from both). Will post more as furter info comes in.

https://twitter.com/sentdefender/status/1518379761185218562

The fires currently burning in #Bryansk, #Russia. 2/

Video of the fire in #Bryansk, #Russia 3/

The Russian newswire TASS is confirming the fire in #Bryansk, #Russia, saying it started at 2:00 a.m. Moscow time Monday. No cause of the fire is given in the article, and it only mentions one fire, not two.
tass.ru/proisshestviya…

Work already has been done on geolocating the two fires in #Bryansk, #Ukraine. These images show the fires to be at two rather sizable fuel depots.

One of the best photos I've seen thus far in terms of giving a sense of how immense the fuel depot fires in #Bryansk, #Russia are. 6/

Potential causes of the #fires in #Bryansk, #Russia:
1. Ukrainian Tochka-U missiles (120 km range, so they could make it, but that would be a sad commentary on the state of Russia's air defense)
2. Sabotage by Ukrainian special forces or agents
3. Russian false flag operation. 7/

More on #sabotage (not missiles) as possible cause of the #fires in #Bryansk, #Russia: sabotage could be via:
1. Explosives (directly cause fire, or interrupt depot processes, leading to fire)
2. Hacking of depot control systems (disrupt operations in way that causes fires). 8/

Most of the reports related to the #Bryansk, #Russia #fires also mention large #explosions having been heard. I have not seen anything definitive indicating whether the explosions occurred prior to the fires, or simply as a result of the fires. 9/

More on potential causes of #Bryansk fuel depot #fires in #Russia: Obviously, Ukrainian fighter jets or attack helicopters could be the cause.
Recall that Ukrainian helicopters likely caused the fuel depot fires in Belgorod, Russia early this month.

https://twitter.com/ThatKHersch/status/1509849000836481030

Map showing location of #Bryansk, #Russia, where there were two major fuel depot #fires overnight. 11/

The sun is rising over #Bryansk, #Russia. Here is a photo showing the city in the early morning hours after the fuel depot #fires overnight.

#Drones also have to be included as a potential way Ukraine could have attacked the fuel depots that exploded / caught #fire in #Bryansk, #Russia. (Thank you, @Mina65543669, for mentioning that; I apreciate everyone's patience as I think through all this in real time!) 13/

Another photo of #Bryansk, #Russia in the early morning hours. The fuel depot #fires that started overnight are still burning in the background.

Two things about the #Bryansk, #Russia #fires that I am seeing mentioned but am still researching:
1. One of the fuel facilities that was hit plays a key role in the export of oil from Russia to western Europe.
2. A military base / ammunition depot in Bryansk also was hit. /15

(Note: About 30% of Russian natural #gas sent to Western Europe flows through pumps & pipes in #Ukraine. And it's still flowing even though Ukraine could shut it off if it wanted to. Keep that in mind when thinking about what may have been hit in the #Bryansk, #Russia fires.) 16/

So one of the facilities that experienced #fires & #explosions in #Bryansk, #Russia overnight appears to be a military depot that stores oil in above ground tanks as well as what looks like ammunition. Location: 53.21318610737469, 34.44644440035686 17/

The 2nd major facility that had #fires & #explosions in #Bryansk, #Russia overnight seems to be an oil storage depot & (perhaps) pumping station. This could be a facility involved in pumping oil to W. Europe. (Still checking on that.)
53.225216461390076, 34.45842757716536 18/

The two locations where major #fires appear to have taken place in #Bryansk, #Russia are just 1-2 km from one another (see image below, which includes a scale at the bottom: 1000 feet = 305 meters). 19/

The audio in this video -- ostensibly from #Bryansk, #Russia -- may shed light on what caused one or both major #fires in that city overnight. To my untrained ear, it sounds like something was "incoming" prior to the #explosion and fire. 20/

Here is what Russian TV is saying about the #fires in #Bryansk. (For the Russian speakers among you: is there anything noteworthy being reported in the video?) 21/

https://twitter.com/rprose/status/1518452961353076738

It appears that neither #fire in #Bryansk, #Russia at a pumping station for the main Russian oil pipeline to Western Europe, #Druzhba. The Druzhba pipeline passes about 30 km south of Bryansk city (red circle in image below) (image via @DonaldSprunk). 22/

The Russian wire service TASS has updated its article about the #Bryansk #fires to include a photo from the fire. It's certainly not as dramatic as some of the photos and videos of the fires that are available. But it's also far from tame. 23/
tass.ru/proisshestviya…

To me, this analysis of the video I posted earlier from one of the #Bryansk, #Russia fires suggests it resulted from something hitting the area, such as a missile, drone, or rocket fired from an aircraft. 24/

https://twitter.com/APearlBird/status/1518541294213156864

This analysis concludes that the #explosions and #fires in #Bryansk, #Russia were most likely the result of #Bayraktar #TB2 #drone attacks by #Ukraine. 25/

https://twitter.com/UAWeapons/status/1518591504499023873

The Russian news service TASS put out some photos a few hours ago of the #fires in #Bryansk, #Russia still burning. This one almost looks like a dystopic science fiction poster.