Dear Pandemic Profile picture
Apr 29 18 tweets 7 min read
1/Q: Did getting exposed to fewer germs for the last 2 years weaken our immune systems?

We've been hearing this question a lot.
dearpandemic.org/fewer-germ-exp…
2/ Not likely. If your kids are suddenly getting sick a lot, this is likely due to “catching up” on exposures rather than a weakened immune system.
3/ Many families w/ young kids have been hunkered down for the better part of 2 years– a good % of a young child’s entire life. While isolation had *many* downsides, we can agree that not having to suction snot out of infant noses or clean up norovirus puke was a happy upside.
4/ Developing immune systems constantly “sample” microbes from the environment to learn what’s friendly or not, & there are plenty of those to be found in within our interactions with family, pets, and the natural environment (let them eat dirt!).
#microbiome
5/ While it may seem that developing immune systems “needs” lots of infections to learn, in truth we evolved in small groups of humans, not crowds. Most infections we are familiar w/ evolved much later as “crowd” infections when people started gathering in more dense settlements.
6/ We don’t *need* exposure to these infections to develop our immune systems– in fact we’ve been much better off in the last 100 years as we’ve lowered the burden of infections through vaccination & improved sanitation (no one’s missing measles, smallpox, or TB, am I right?
7/ W/ COVID-19 precautions, flu dropped to almost zero. Asthma admissions also went down dramatically, likely due to avoidance of common respiratory infections as triggers. This suggests there are real benefits to avoiding infections w/ common pathogens.
theatlantic.com/health/archive…
8/ But why do kids now seem constantly sick? We may have forgotten just how often kids were sick pre-COVID, w/ an estimated 6-8 respiratory infections/ year on average. Runny noses, pink eye, strange rashes, & stomach bugs are all familiar signposts along the parenting gauntlet.
9/ There is some evidence that kids who get more infections in daycare get fewer in elementary school. But the total # of infections is similar, suggesting non-daycare kids are catching up on exposures rather than suffering from a “weak” immune system. livescience.com/9098-kids-day-…?
10/ The total number of infections is not different, just the timing. This is likely what’s happening now–we are playing catch-up from the previous two years as we resume social contact.
11/ As w/ SARS-CoV-2, if you can avoid infection w/ common respiratory or GI infections, this is all for the good. Infections may help educate our immune system by building memory, but this is like learning a stove is hot by getting burned rather than someone warning you.
12/ Vaccines & prevention measures protect us against nasty illnesses without paying the high price of infection.
13/ BOTTOM LINE:
We “need” most infectious pathogens….like we need a hole in the head. Humans have no inherent need for exposure to smallpox, cholera, measles, polio, etc, and this is also true of less severe but common respiratory infections.
14/ The human immune system needs plenty of exposure to friendly microbes in the natural environment to help educate the immune system. So let your kids get outside, garden and play in the dirt.
15/ If you haven’t been sick the last 2 years & are now playing catch-up, hang in there. There is no magic for boosting your immunity—stick to the basics of good nutrition, sleep, & lowering stress. Your immune system is still looking out for you!
16/ For more on this topic, read @CaroMT writing for @ScaryMommy: scarymommy.com/lifestyle/why-…
17/ A great thread covering some related science from @Voices4Vaccines:
18/ Overview of the need for friendly microbes & the state of the "hygiene hypothesis: pnas.org/doi/10.1073/pn…

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More from @DearPandemic

Jan 27
1/ Q: Are cases peaking? That means it’s all downhill from here, right?

A: Sort of…. Remember that even if cases come down as quickly as they rise, there will be as many cases *after* the peak as before (think area under the curve).

dearpandemic.org/are-cases-peak…
2/ ➡️ And if the downward slope is *slower* than the rise, we will see *more* cases during the decline from a surge.
3/ Burning fast could be a silver lining of super transmissible #Omicron. Cases rose & fell quickly in S. Africa (w/ hospitalizations & deaths still lagging). The UK appears to have turned the Omicron corner. Many US states appear past their peak in cases, w/ regional variation:
Read 17 tweets
Dec 30, 2021
1/ Q: Case numbers are jumping QUICK! What should I be doing?

A: Share your gifts without sharing COVID. Helpful gestures come in many shapes.

dearpandemic.org/what-should-i-…

#Omicron #ThoseNerdyGirls
2/ One HUGE help: Cancel non-essential plans.

Unfortunately, this includes New Year’s Eve plans. The perfect storm of a new variant & holiday get-togethers is hitting communities & health care w/ FORCE! Testing is in short supply.
3/ Health care is under extreme pressure with surging cases. If you can avoid even one additional contact, you are helping. This is a temporary and urgent request (from a health care provider).

#MedTwitter #HCWs @IMPACT4HC
Read 10 tweets
Dec 21, 2021
1/ Q: Is it true that #Omicron is less severe than previous variants?

A: We HOPE so, but we don’t know yet. The evidence so far is mixed.

dearpandemic.org/is-omicron-les…
2/ We are WAY past due for some good variant news. But pinning our #Omicron hopes on a less virulent variant is not wise for 2 reasons:

1) It might not be less severe in those who are “immune naïve” (neither vaccinated nor with a previous infection—still millions of people).
3/ 2) Many more infections *even* if less severe can still lead to an avalanche of hospitalizations and deaths, and the risk of long Covid.

@AdamJKucharski raised this last December w/ the rise of Alpha:
Read 25 tweets
Dec 16, 2021
1/ Nerdy Girl @drjenndowd (🇺🇸 in 🇬🇧 ) writing from not-so-sunny England, home of the strangest shaped epidemic curve ever seen.

"Buckle up America."

dearpandemic.org/buckle-up-amer…
2/ And by buckle up, I mean BOOST-UP. And take other sensible precautions, especially leading up to the holidays. Things are not looking so good.
3/ Omicron has a significant foothold here, currently estimated at over 30% of current cases in the UK and doubling every 2-3 days 😳. In London where Omicron is a whopping 60+% of the cases, Omicron cases are adding to, but not displacing Delta…yet .
Read 24 tweets
Apr 16, 2021
1/ Q: Do we know more about whether the vaccines reduce transmission?

A: YES! Evidence continues to mount that the vaccines DO in fact reduce transmission.

#vaccineswork
dearpandemic.org/do-vaccines-re…
2/ ➡️ While the Nerdy Girls are still dreaming of transmission being tested in the clinical trials (call us☎️), the data pouring in from around the world strongly suggests that the vaccines are very good (but not perfect) at reducing ALL infections & by extension transmission.
3/ Recall the clinical trials (largely) tested only participants who developed symptoms. One possibility is that vaccines reduce the severity of COVID-19 to the point of no symptoms, but still allow the virus to replicate in the nose and throat & potentially be spread to others.
Read 20 tweets

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