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Abdirashid Hashi

@AnalystSomalia

May 6

A THREAD :

Why Somalia needs change from Farmaajo’s and Khaire’s ruinous reign;

They were given power and trust and they showed — for five years ( Farmaajo) and three years (Khaire) — that they were not leaders but angry/showy small p politicians;

Somalia needs change;

1/7

Because of their lack of leadership Farmaajo & Khaire unleashed — unnecessarily — hyper-polarization among the Somali society & the political class. This has created 5 years of gridlock, hatred disorientation & stagnation;

Somalia needs change; they do not represent change;
2/7

Because of Farmaajo & Khaire’s MISPLACED priorities, Al Shabaab thrived & killed more civilians under their watch, AS extort money from almost every business in #Mogadishu & attack at will any place in the capital; last week they attacked parliamentarians inside Villa Somalia
3/7

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Abdirashid Hashi

@AnalystSomalia

Aug 15, 2021

Many are wondering if there is a parallel between what is happening in #Afghanistan and what could happen in #Somalia as the weak and the strife-ridden Afghanistan government —propped up by the west for two decades — crumbled and the Taliban swiftly ascended to power.

1/7

There are similarities & differences between Afghanistan & #Somalia

Similarities: Somali government is too weak to fend for itself & if the African Union troops were to withdraw, the gov would probably loose control of the towns surrounded by Al Shabaab, including #Mogadishu
2/7

Difference: unlike Taliban which could be seen as Afghan opposition group who want to run that country, Al Shabaab is Al Qaeda-affiliated transnational outfit whose vision is NOT to takeover & rule Somalia but to engage a global war against west & their ‘local client states’

3/7

Read 7 tweets

Abdirashid Hashi

@AnalystSomalia

Apr 8, 2021

@1PolicyWonk

A rejoinder to @1PolicyWonk previous THREAD:

This is how to read #Somalia’s election impasse. It’s about numbers: 329 MPs & senators who will vote for the next President.

Mr. Farmaajo wants to scheme/force/dictate a process that will secure him majority of these 329 voters
1/5

As per the attached media reports, Mr. Farmaajo has already rigged 3 state- level elections: 2018 in Southwest, January 2020 in Galmudug & November 2020 in Hirshabelle. Leaders he produced from those states are now his staunchest allies in the current election debate.
2

If the federal election process is fixed as Mr. Farmaajo schemes then there will be no election. It will be crowning a schemer and the beginning to dictatorship.

This is not acceptable.

Thus the opposition is telling him: The integrity of the federal election is a redline.

3

Read 6 tweets

Abdirashid Hashi

@AnalystSomalia

Mar 25, 2021

Federal Government of #Somalia exists because of the support it gets from the international community starting with the 20 thousand AU troops that protects FGS & its leaders & allied FMS. Without UE & western countries bankrolling AMISOM, there will be no FGS. That is a fact.
1/4

International community provide ammunition, training & food for the Somali army.

Somalia needs IC for lifting of arms embargo

IC feeds, educates & provides healthcare to millions of Somalis whom FGS cannot help.

IC forgave a billion dollar loan & is working on debt relief.
2/4

All democratic & affluent countries are facing a deadly pandemic that is depleting their finances.

Globally resources for foreign aid/investment is cut & understandably dwindling.

Global hotspots, humanitarian disasters & other fragile states are competing for IC’s support.
3/4

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Abdirashid Hashi

@AnalystSomalia

Mar 11, 2021

Up to now, 110 political parties registered (provisionally) in #Somalia,

#Somalis want a democratic state;

The current dispute & delay over the indirect election is due to ONE factor: the outgoing president is scheming to openly and unabashedly engineer his reelection;
1/5

The outgoing Prez had a freehand in 3 local elections and he rigged them ALL, hence the VITAL & sacred duty to protect the national election;

In the #Southwest election, he arrested one contender and exiled the other & when the UN envoy said this is not good, he was PNG-ed;
2/5

During elections in #Hirshabelle & #Galmudug, no credible contender stood against Farmaajo allies because the process was rigged & outcome was already known;

THUS:

#Puntland, #Jubaland & #Mogadishu Opposition are the bulwark against a dictatorship in Somalia; I solute them;
3/5

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