Researcher & Somalia Analyst. Co-founder & former director @HIPSINSTITUTE. Ex-communications director @TheVillaSomalia; Ex. @CrisisGroup, ex cabinet minister
Jul 6, 2023 • 6 tweets • 4 min read
TAXANE Musuqmaasuqa
I/5
Waa runtiis, @SomaliPM xagee lacagta laga keenay daaraha lagu dhisanayo?
2) La dagaalanka musuqa waa in garsoorka iyo hay’adaha shaqadooda ay tahay (sida xeer ilaalinta) ay ka shaqeeyaan;
Waa in siyaasiyiinta talada haysa ayan u ekaan kuwo dad baacsanaya oo ay ogaadaan in hawsha isla-xisaabtanka ay ku shaqo-leeyihiin hay’ado ay tahay in ay xukuumadda ka madax-banaanaadaan — haddiise madaxweynihii iyo R/Wasiirihii ay yiraahdaan rag waaweyn oo madax ah ayaa la… twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
Nov 7, 2022 • 5 tweets • 4 min read
1/5
Senator/Prof. Samatar writes:
#Somalia’s strategy for the war against al-Shabaab will condemn the country to perpetual hell
‘The Lead’ is buried deep inside his article, it says: PM and cabinet need to be replaced!
I disagree. See the thread 👇
2/5 #Somalia’s liberation war against Al Shabaab is led by the national army; i.e. the U.S. & Turkey trained commandos.
Danab 1st defeats the terrorists; then Gorgor finishes the takeover and then the other SNA battalions & Community Resistance Forces hold the liberated areas;
May 6, 2022 • 7 tweets • 2 min read
A THREAD :
Why Somalia needs change from Farmaajo’s and Khaire’s ruinous reign;
They were given power and trust and they showed — for five years ( Farmaajo) and three years (Khaire) — that they were not leaders but angry/showy small p politicians;
Somalia needs change;
1/7
Because of their lack of leadership Farmaajo & Khaire unleashed — unnecessarily — hyper-polarization among the Somali society & the political class. This has created 5 years of gridlock, hatred disorientation & stagnation;
Somalia needs change; they do not represent change;
2/7
Jilib-culuska kale, 3 rajo leh & 4 samri la’, 110 cod ayaa u haray
2/4 Jilib-culuska waxaa dhex yaal 110 cod HADDABA, ragga la hadal hayo & 4ta ku daba-dhaggan oo anagaa soo baxayna ku haya, sidee ayay u kala qaybsan doonaan wareegga 1aad — illayn suuragal ma aha in nin kasta yiraahdo 70 cod baan ka kacayaa oo hal 70 ayaa ku jira 110-ka code!
Aug 15, 2021 • 7 tweets • 3 min read
Many are wondering if there is a parallel between what is happening in #Afghanistan and what could happen in #Somalia as the weak and the strife-ridden Afghanistan government —propped up by the west for two decades — crumbled and the Taliban swiftly ascended to power.
1/7
There are similarities & differences between Afghanistan & #Somalia
Similarities: Somali government is too weak to fend for itself & if the African Union troops were to withdraw, the gov would probably loose control of the towns surrounded by Al Shabaab, including #Mogadishu
2/7
This is how to read #Somalia’s election impasse. It’s about numbers: 329 MPs & senators who will vote for the next President.
Mr. Farmaajo wants to scheme/force/dictate a process that will secure him majority of these 329 voters 1/5
As per the attached media reports, Mr. Farmaajo has already rigged 3 state- level elections: 2018 in Southwest, January 2020 in Galmudug & November 2020 in Hirshabelle. Leaders he produced from those states are now his staunchest allies in the current election debate.
2
Mar 25, 2021 • 4 tweets • 2 min read
Federal Government of #Somalia exists because of the support it gets from the international community starting with the 20 thousand AU troops that protects FGS & its leaders & allied FMS. Without UE & western countries bankrolling AMISOM, there will be no FGS. That is a fact. 1/4
International community provide ammunition, training & food for the Somali army.
Somalia needs IC for lifting of arms embargo
IC feeds, educates & provides healthcare to millions of Somalis whom FGS cannot help.
IC forgave a billion dollar loan & is working on debt relief. 2/4
Mar 11, 2021 • 5 tweets • 5 min read
Up to now, 110 political parties registered (provisionally) in #Somalia,
The current dispute & delay over the indirect election is due to ONE factor: the outgoing president is scheming to openly and unabashedly engineer his reelection; 1/5
The outgoing Prez had a freehand in 3 local elections and he rigged them ALL, hence the VITAL & sacred duty to protect the national election;
In the #Southwest election, he arrested one contender and exiled the other & when the UN envoy said this is not good, he was PNG-ed; 2/5