1/ Map Update #UkraineMap #Russian, launched an offensive to storm different small cities in the " #Severodonetsk direction, russian enemy fired on the positions of the Defense Forces along the entire line of contact with mortars and artillery, concentrating efforts in the... /
2/ direction of the settlements of Severodonetsk and Lysychansk. #Russian enemy conducted offensive and assault operations in the areas of Oskolonivka, Purdivka, Shchedryshcheve and Smolyaninove. The offensive was repulsed, russian enemy suffered losses and was forced to .../
3/ retreat to the old positions." Gen Staff Morning report 22 Mai 2022

Note. #Russians seems to have focused their main battle as for now on the #Popasna area but r "stuck" here simply because of the #Borova small river on one side and the #Yerik river and swamps/forest .../
4/ with small roads on East side.
Also Russians do not seems to have enough special forces/adequate materials to conduct these kind of operations in all the diff areas at the same time.
last point : it helps to have a better view of the front line in the area.
end
#UkraineMap
5/ reminder
6/ Latest UK MoD assessment of Russia war in #Ukraine. believes that the presence of the BMPT Terminators seen around #Severodonetsk indicate that #Russia’s number 1 priority right now is the capture of Severodonetsk and securing the entirety of #Luhansk Oblast.
not done yet!
7/ The BMPT Terminator was developed following #Russian equipment losses in dif wars like Chechen War, where it was learned that tanks needed an armored anti-personnel vehicle to escort them in dense suburb areas full of men w ATGMs.
but no good in the swamp and to crawl rivers.

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More from @HeliosRunner

May 23
1/ IMPORTANT! je vais juste faire un rapide point mais tres tres important sur les pertes Ukrainiennes aujourd'hui (Mini thread on #Ukraine -losses on the field - quite a major revealing here)
Je suis en effet "tombé" sur un article ce matin daté d'hier :
pravda.com.ua/eng/news/2022/…
2/ some people might say "yes we knew" (of course we knew.. but had no real "clue" about real numbers) when we count the tally of Russian losses & in relation wih the Russian equipment that is destroyed/abandoned & reports from UA officials we have "doubts" and surely we can
3/ certainly substract 15% to the claimed amount of total Ru loss inflicted by Ukrainians.
but we knew little about UA losses until now.
Last time we had official accounts about it.. #Zlelensky said that were more than 3k KIA and about 10k injured troops. 2 months ago.
Read 13 tweets
May 22
1/ Thread to talk about #Popasna area.
End of the day Gen staff confirmed ; "In the #Bakmut direction, with the support of artillery, Russian tried to improve the tactical position of their units. fought in the settlements of #Toshkivka, #Komyshuvakha, #Trypillya & #Vasylivka.
2/ reminder of the settlements (small cities) .
so I'm doing this thread to put in perspectives all the talks we can here about this area right now and what Russians are "trying" to achieve there...
3/ As we all well know by know is that they are basically trying to progress in the direction of #Bilohorivka as main goal & #Bakmut / #Soledar.
The idea seems simple and quite "feasable" classic pincer movement..
well as i said weeks ago. i don't think so.
let me "explain"... Image
Read 15 tweets
May 21
1/ Update News from Gen Staff - end of the day
"The Russians planned to overthrow the personnel warehouse and heavy armored equipment with a pontoon ferry across the river Siversky Donets near #Serebryanka. But forcing the Russians of the river..."
#UkraineMap so clear Ru plan..
2/ has emmerged from the last 48 hours. They will push hard to succeed.
2nd part : Today the Russian fascist invaders conducted offensive operations against #Lypove & #Vasylivka in Luhansk region but were unsuccessful.
distances are short but many cities to conquer
#UkraineMap
3/ Russians are "forced" by their gvt to take that axis (well not ready to have any success over the Siversky Donets) to at least claim a victory (you can see the limit of the Oblast.
also they would then put in a "chaudron" the remaining UA forces.
but the more they push on this
Read 4 tweets
May 21
1/ Map Update #UkraineMap #Russian, launched an offensive to storm the city of #Studenok #Студенок
Ru aim is to take #Studenok & #Pyshyb on one part & Olexandrivka on the other part (pincer mvt) then pin downed UA troops and move the threat to #Lyman ASAP.
#Ukraine #ukrainemap
2/ Nobody can really tell the exact limit of RU or UA army, but we do know where Ru tried and failed and where UA are still fighting.. so.. I produced the map above with all the "limits" of my knowledge but without crazy claims!
also here a specific hig res topo of #Studenok iw
3/ by now..now the very famous and "infamous" use of the FIRMS imagery (I lol almost evry time i see phony armchair basement twitos using it)... and I let you think it through... ;-)
(couple of day grouping infos ... quite easy to get that one)
Read 7 tweets
May 21
1/ Some mortar shell close enough to scare the hell of the crew of some BTRs
They run to hide and abandon their vehicules there.
You are not suppose to do that.
This war really shows few "interesting" things to think about for the coming months & years...
2/ because of more precise artillery systems and laser guided amo or ATGMs -like against IFVs or APCs some countries are already thinking about redesigning this particular "branch" of armored vehicules. maybe more and much more agile (hybrid systems)
Also more equiped with
3/ Short-Range Air Defense (SHORAD) and better integrated reactive armored systems.
excited tacticians are already talking about a “forward line of robots” preceding human troops into danger zones. And while the current generation of remote-controlled RCVs isn’t ready to replace
Read 7 tweets
May 20
1/ update of the current situation near #Popasna
quite hard to assess the real situation overthere. Strong points & Gen staff reports.. :
"In the #Bakhmut #Бахмут direction, with the support of artillery and mortars, russian occupiers carried out offensive operations in the area
2/ of ​​the settlement of #Vyskryva, while trying to improve the tactical position of their units near #Volodymyrivka and #Vasylivka.
russian occupiers suffered losses in the area of ​​the settlement of #Alexandropil." Gen staff - 20 Mai 2022
#UkraineMap #ukrainemap #Ukraine
3/ Russians seems to "push" in every direction but are clearly not having any real success right now. don't panick. all small villages conquered were not stronholds. Ru still try to gain full control on the high grounds & fails.
They r also stretching their forces now. but weak.
Read 6 tweets

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