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Shyam Sekhar Profile picture
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May 23 • 5 tweets • 3 min read
Here is a thread on #SBI. It simply shows what storytelling is lying all the time to you.
"Changing timelines can change the Narrative and numbers." The next line of defense is just about to be taken down. So,here is the first image that seems to support that arugument. But, wait.
"But,how do I know when to buy and sell. I need enough track record or clear buy signals." This crowd would have failed miserably because when the signals and charts were perfect, only losses followed.
"What if i bought when nobody was willing to buy it? And, that too when consensus was completely against investing in the company". The contrarians actually didn't do too badly.
Every style has a place. It is upto you to choose which style suits your personality and get the right advice to make your #investing succeed. If the quality of #research,the timeliness of #Advice and the reliability of homework is right, such #Advisory will always help you win.

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More from @shyamsek

Shyam Sekhar Profile picture
May 21
The space where institutions don’t own any shares, or own insignificant part of the equity maybe the GoTo place for new ideas.

If you can find five to seven good companies in the next two years and buy enough of them, you are going to remember this phase all your life.

1/5
Why should you not look at companies with heavily institutionalised ownership? Simple. Institutions will be forced to change their portfolios in tthe next two years. They will be forced to sell down their weaker, non performing stock holdings and buy newer stock ideas. 2/5
By not buying stocks which are heavily institutionally owned, you will avoid facing the brutal selling and seeing your portfolio value go down very badly. This risk is real in illiquid stocks especially in #smallcap and #midcap space. Escape the drawdown and steer to safety. 3/5
Read 5 tweets
Shyam Sekhar Profile picture
Apr 19
A #PMS must show performance. No escaping it. But,the crucial questions for an investor to choose a PMS must be more nuanced. What fee do I pay in bad times? Do i pay more fees in good times? Is the product going to do anything special for me if i wish to be more ambitious? 1/7
A #PMS which mechanically invests money into its model portfolio just like a mutual fund usually does can only offer you a mediocre experience.

Investing is commoditized and mechanized. Some dealer is blindly filling up stocks like a petrol pump attendant fills your car tank.2/7
Your whole purpose of choosing a #PMS over a mutual fund scheme is to make your money work smarter & to get a more personalised process. Afterall, a more ambitious investor needs a superior investment approach to meet his specific needs. You can't have a "carbon copy" PF. 3/7
Read 7 tweets
Shyam Sekhar Profile picture
Dec 29, 2021
Time to take stock. It is 29 months since @ithoughtpms rolled out @SolitairePMS. We began modestly. We kept it simple.
Fixed fees.
No distributors.
No promotions.
No influencers.
No model portfolios.
Bespoke portfolios.
We wanted to build a feature rich, investor centric PMS. 1/n
We invested gradually. Even as we finished deploying in Feb 2019, covid struck. Clearly, our portfolio was not exactly positioned for a pandemic. In fact, we had the wrong positioning.We were overweight pandemic victims. But, we stuck to our approach & built on opportunities. 2/n
The strategy gradually began to work. Interestingly, it worked superbly for investors who believed in the philosophy & scaled up using the opportunity. Multibaggers that investors wished to own simply landed in portfolios. Stocks found their rightful portfolio positions. 3/n
Read 10 tweets
Shyam Sekhar Profile picture
Nov 23, 2021
Looking for certainty of outcome is the seed source of all #InsiderTrading.

When i see analysts or fund managers know everything about a company having all the answers, my first reaction is "WoW, investors just became insiders!".
But, there is another way far more enjoyable. 1/n
Uncertainty can be a bigger source of gr8r success. Not knowing everything or having a hotline with promoters or insiders can actually be good for investing.

For starters, you always believe something can go wrong. Insiders don't. So you are better prepared for BIG shocks. 2/n
Confidence in an idea is very important. Most often, the only reason it turns into overconfidence is because of excessive familiarity with insiders. Keeping confidence in check is the biggest challenge in #InsiderTrading.

When I sold to #insiders & was proved right, i knew why.
Read 6 tweets
Shyam Sekhar Profile picture
Jul 17, 2021
The problem statement for many people now reads
“Oh! Everybody has made a lot of money”.
The unspoken word.
“How did it become so easy to make money in stocks?”
The question never raised.
“When it looks too easy, should you really worry?
Read 7 tweets
Shyam Sekhar Profile picture
Jul 4, 2021
This year's central road and infrastructure cess is expected to top Rs. 4.5l crore.

The Agri infra development cess will collect 50k crore.

We are taxing the present very heavily to invest for the future.

1/n
From 2018-19 to now, this allocation to Central road and infra fund has more than quadrupled. It was 90k cr in 2018-19.

#Cess has been the major National capex funder for our country.
2/n
The fuel cess was raised significantly in 2020 by reducing excise duty. This was one of our economic responses to the Covid crisis. Money was moved from divisible central pool to the infra fund.

This was aimed at force-spending on infra. Rapid Asset creation was the goal.
3/n
Read 8 tweets

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