Antoine FLAHAULT Profile picture
May 25 4 tweets 2 min read
1/4 - #COVID19: “Au Portugal, il s'agit bien d'une nouvelle vague. Mais nous n'avons pas un très bon aperçu de la situation en Europe de l'Ouest, à part au Royaume-Uni et au Danemark qui séquencent beaucoup leurs virus.”
sciencesetavenir.fr/sante/variant-…
2/4 - “En s'inspirant de ce qui s'est passé avec #Delta l'été puis à l'automne 2021, si la vague de l'été n'est pas trop forte – mais peut continuer de frapper durement les personnes fragiles ou immunodéprimées - nous ne sommes pas à l'abri d'un retour du variant à l’automne.”
3/4 - “L'obligation du port du masque n'a visiblement pas empêché de rebond au Portugal. […] Cela-dit, les masques diminuent les charges virales infectantes. Moins de particules sont échangées, ce qui peut diminuer la gravité des symptômes et les formes de #LongCovid.”
4/4 - “Ces vagues de #COVID19 empoisonnent la vie de tout le monde. Certaines personnes fragiles sont très inquiètes, et on les comprend. On doit maintenant accorder une attention particulière à l'amélioration de la qualité de l'air intérieur et miser enfin sur la ventilation.”

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More from @FLAHAULT

May 26
1/9 - “#Monkeypox appears to have exploded out of nowhere in the past two weeks, spreading across Europe, the Americas, and other regions. But warning signs appear to have gone unheeded.”
(Source: @HelenBranswell).
statnews.com/2022/05/26/war…
2/9 - “An unusual and long-running outbreak in Nigeria should have served as notice that it was only a matter of time before this orthopoxvirus pushed its way to the center of the infectious diseases stage, experts say.”
3/9 - “After decades without cases, Nigeria experienced a large #monkeypox outbreak starting in 2017 that continues to this day. Prior to this year, that outbreak spread beyond Nigeria’s borders eight times, with infected people traveling to the US, the UK, Israel and Singapore.”
Read 9 tweets
May 26
1/9 - May 26 to Jun 01 -
"Around the #COVID19 World in 80 Seconds"!

Daily epidemic 7-day forecasting for 300+ countries/ territories on our dashboard:
tinyurl.com/COVIDdashb

Data source: coronavirus.jhu.edu & ourworldindata.org/coronavirus
Powered by @ISG_UNIGE & @SDSCdatascience ImageImage
2/9 - Western Europe
#COVID19 cases are either rising again or improving at slower pace:
- Rise in [PT (R-eff=1.12)], medium mortality;
- Plateau in NL=0.96; NO=1.0; ICL=1.02; [high] low mortality
- (Slow) landing: (UK=0.95; SE=0.94); FR; AU; IT; CH; DK; DE; BE; IRL. ImageImageImageImage
3/9 - East-Central Europe
- Plateauing in its #COVID19 epidemic activity in Estonia (R-eff=0.99);
- Landing towards their safety zones in Greece; Croatia; Slovenia; Hungary;
- Safe elsewhere.
No report from Ukraine since Feb 24. Image
Read 11 tweets
May 25
1/9 - May 25 to May 31 -
"Around the #COVID19 World in 80 Seconds"!

Daily epidemic 7-day forecasting for 300+ countries/ territories on our dashboard:
tinyurl.com/COVIDdashb

Data source: coronavirus.jhu.edu & ourworldindata.org/coronavirus
Powered by @ISG_UNIGE & @SDSCdatascience
2/9 - Western Europe
#COVID19 cases are either surging again or improving at slower pace:
- Rise in IRL (R-eff=1.26), medium mortality;
- Plateau in NL=0.95;[PT=0.95)]; NO=1.0; ICL=1.03; [high] low mortality
- (Slow) landing: (UK=0.95); FR=0.89; AU; IT; CH; DK; DE; BE; SP
3/9 - East-Central Europe
- Plateauing in its #COVID19 epidemic activity in Estonia (R-eff=0.98);
- Landing towards their safety zones in Greece; Croatia; Slovenia; Hungary;
- Safe elsewhere.
No report from Ukraine since Feb 24.
Read 11 tweets
May 25
1/4 - France (R-eff=0.80) is landing towards its #COVID19 safety zone, with low mortality. 81.2% > 1 dose.
12,854 cases and 38 deaths/day to be reported by May 31, if at same pace.
Forecast for May 25 to May 28:
tinyurl.com/COVIDfrance
Powered by @ISG_UNIGE & @SDSCdatascience
2/4 - One mainland Région is slowly landing towards its #COVID19 safety zone, with low mortality:
Ile-de-France (R-eff=0.95).

Note: Large underreporting in the whole country.
3/4 - Twelve mainland Régions are landing towards their #COVID19 safety zone, low [medium] mort:
AURA (R-eff=0.85);
Bourg-Fr-C=0.79;
Bretag=0.82;
Ctre-Val-de-L=0.79;
Corse=0.80;
Gd-Est=0.75;
Hts-de-Fr=0.78;
Normand=0.80;
Nv-Aquit=0.84;
Occit=0.86;
Pays-de-L=0.81;
[PACA=0.83].
Read 6 tweets
May 24
1/9 - May 24 to May 30 -
"Around the #COVID19 World in 80 Seconds"!

Daily epidemic 7-day forecasting for 300+ countries/ territories on our dashboard:
tinyurl.com/COVIDdashb

Data source: coronavirus.jhu.edu & ourworldindata.org/coronavirus
Powered by @ISG_UNIGE & @SDSCdatascience ImageImage
2/9 - Western Europe
#COVID19 cases are either surging again or improving at slower pace:
- Rise/surge in [PT (R-eff=1.10)/IRL=1.28; ICL=1.25], low [high] mortality;
- Plateau in NL=1.01;
- (Slow) landing: (UK=0.96); FR=0.89; AU; IT; CH; DK; DE; BE; FL. ImageImageImageImage
3/9 - East-Central Europe
- (Slowly) landing towards their #COVID19 safety zones in Greece; Croatia; Slovenia; Hungary; Estonia;
- Safe elsewhere.
No report from Ukraine since Feb 24. Image
Read 11 tweets
May 24
1/4 - France (R-eff=0.81) is landing towards its #COVID19 safety zone, with low mortality. 81.2% > 1 dose.
14,432 cases and 35 deaths/day to be reported by May 30, if at same pace.
Forecast for May 24 to May 27:
tinyurl.com/COVIDfrance
Powered by @ISG_UNIGE & @SDSCdatascience ImageImageImage
2/4 - One mainland Région is slowly landing towards its #COVID19 safety zone, with low mortality:
Ile-de-France (R-eff=0.94).

Note: Large underreporting in the whole country. ImageImageImage
3/4 - Twelve mainland Régions are landing towards their #COVID19 safety zone, low [medium] mort:
AURA (R-eff=0.84);
Bourg-Fr-C=0.81;
[Bretag=0.82];
Ctre-Val-de-L=0.79;
Corse=0.83;
Gd-Est=0.75;
Hts-de-Fr=0.79;
Normand=0.79;
Nv-Aquit=0.89;
Occit=0.85;
Pays-de-L=0.82;
[PACA=0.84].
Read 6 tweets

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