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May 26 • 3 tweets • 4 min read
#Severodonetsk - #Ukrainian troops have successfully counterattacked & removed the #Russian forces on the #Bakhmut - Lysychans'k road and have started moving supplies W on the road again. This "Road of Life" is not the only route but it is the best one the #UAF has right now.
This road is a must capture for #Russia and a must hold for the #Ukraine. If #Russia is able to re-capture & build strong defenses, #Ukraine will likely be unable to take it back anytime soon. This leaves 1 well built supply route on the Siversk to Lysychans'k road.
#Russia still has excellent observation and can fire artillery at vehicles passing along the Siversk to Lysychans'k road & #Bakhmut - Lysychans'k road. This means that all #Ukrainian resupplies will be under fire by #RUAF for miles as they pass in front of the frontlines.

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More from @AggregateOsint

OSINT Aggregator Profile picture
May 27
The #UnitedStates is considering whether to send HIMARS to #Ukraine in its fight against #Russia. What is the M142 High Mobility Artillery Rocket System (HIMARS) and could a deep strike precision guided munition tip the scales towards #Ukraine in the #UkraineRussiaWar?
HIMARS are capable of firing both rockets & missiles. The most common rocket is the Guided Multiple Launch Rocket System M31A1 rocket (see below) that comes in pods of 6 rockets. These rockets can travel beyond 70km (reportedly 84km) to strike targets with an accuracy of 2m.
The M31A1 rockets have a 200 pound warhead with a variable fuse that can be used in different modes to engage different target sets. This include: point detonating (explodes when it hits), proximity fuse (explodes at 3m or 10m above ground) or delay (1m or 2m delay after impact). Image
Read 15 tweets
OSINT Aggregator Profile picture
May 24
After posting this video we received multiple allegations that the occupants of this vehicle were #Ukrainian Soldiers in a stolen civilian vehicle. So, we decided to take a deep dive into the video to find out more about the occupants and the video. Here is what we found. 🧵
At the 0:02 mark in the rearview mirror you can briefly see the person in the passenger seat has on a black flak jacket and the letters PRE are clearly visible. Black flak jackets are frequently worn by the press in war zones to protect journalists and are marked w "PRESS".
At 0:14 you can see the entire hood of the car and that the word PRESS is handwritten in large capital letters across the entire hood. You can also see that the driver is wearing a black ballistic helmet similar to that worn by journalists in areas of conflict.
Read 6 tweets
OSINT Aggregator Profile picture
May 23
#UkraineRussianWar Update - No confirmed changes in control of terrain today. #Russian forces focused on consolidation and preparation for assaults on Soledar, Severodonetsk, Lyman & New York. There was an an overall decrease in #RUAF attacks today, but an uptick in shelling.
#Ukraine repelled attacks S of Dovhenke, around Ternova, Severodonetsk & Lypove. #Russia is consolidating gains W and NW of #Popasna to prepare for future N, W & S assaults there to expand its zone of control. Around Kherson #Russian forces continue to build permanent defenses.
Pro-#Russian sources are concerned #Ukraine is about to counterattack in the vicinity of Kherson with "23 BTGs, totaling 20,000 troops." in order to force #Russia out of Kherson and back over the #Dnipro River. #Ukraine has been massing troops in the area but so has #RUAF.
Read 4 tweets
OSINT Aggregator Profile picture
May 21
#Donetsk Axis - #Russian forces have captured the town of Novoselivka, Donetsk Oblast. The capture of this town will allow #Russian forces to assault the town of Niu-York immediately to the N. Multiple pro-Russian accounts have reported #RUAF in Niu-York but that is inaccurate.
Niu-York is a strategically critical, but tactically difficult city for #Ukraine to defend. If #Russia can capture the city it will open the door to bypassing #Ukrainian defenses to the E. #Russia has made no progress towards Toretsk in 3 months & is looking for a new approach.
Unfortunately for #Ukraine, Niu-York is positioned in a valley over 100m/300ft lower than the surrounding area. This will make the #UAF defense of the city very challenging. #Russian forces will have many advantages like better observation, cover and spotting for artillery.
Read 4 tweets
OSINT Aggregator Profile picture
May 21
#Izyum Axis - #Russia forces have captured a 10km wide area N of the Donets River and E of Izyum. #RUAF has captured the Oskil Dam, Synychyne & Yaremivka. Yaremivka was likely captured days ago as #RUAF was attempting a bridging action over the river to Studenok yesterday.
This also throws the status of Studenok into doubt as its unlikely (but not impossible) that #Russia attempted a contested crossing of the Donets River. #Ukrainian troops have likely retreated to the S w/ the contingent at the Dam holding out for over two weeks w/ little support.
While this may appear to be a rapid advance (over 10km) by the #Russian forces, in reality #Ukrainian troops have been withdrawing their troops S of the Donets for 2 weeks now. Many of these advances likely took place over several days but are just now being reported.
Read 4 tweets
OSINT Aggregator Profile picture
May 21
#Severodonestk - #Russian forces have destroyed the critical Pavlograd Bridge/Павлоградський Міст leading from the city to Lysychans'k/Лисичанськ. This was the main supply line from Severodonetsk across the Donets river and it’s loss could make resupply of the city impossible.
4 bridges lead to #Severodonetsk from the west side of the Donets River. 1 has been destroyed and out of operation for years. #Russia destroyed the middle bridge today and the other 2 bridges are being pressured by #RUAF. #Ukraine may already be unable to use the N & S bridges.
If #Ukraine is unable to resupply the troops in #Severodonestk, 🇺🇦 may choose to abandon the city vice endure a #Mariupol style siege. Time will tell what the #UAF decides to do, but many combat hardened #UAF veterans are defending the city, who would not be easily replaced.
Read 4 tweets

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