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We find the most relevant and interesting news from the day and post it here. Sometimes we provide context and analysis. Focus: Next Global Conflict
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Jun 15, 2022 22 tweets 5 min read
Update - 9 days ago, for reasons unknown to us, Twitter shadow banned the @AggregateOsint account. We took a 72 hour pause as a last ditch effort to shake the ban before taking more drastic measures. The ban appears to have been lifted. Here is a thread on what we experienced.🧵 First off, posting this may result in a new shadow ban. We are posting this as a PSA for others who find themselves in this mysterious & undefined Twitter grey zone. We spent many hours trying to determine what had gone wrong and how to fix it. Maybe this post can help others.
Jun 10, 2022 12 tweets 8 min read
Let's take a look at the topography of #Severodonetsk and examine the role it is playing in the battle for the city.

#Severodonetsk is flanked to the SW by hills running along the Donets River that are between 300-500 feet higher than the city as shown in the topo map below. 🧵 This offers a series of advantages to whoever holds the hills. Some of those assets are: Observation, better cover, excellent firing positions, ability to fire from defilade, and one of the most important assets in this battle, the ability to observe and adjust artillery fire.
Jun 8, 2022 5 tweets 4 min read
#Lyman Axis - #Russian forces have likely already captured or are in the process of capturing Svyatohirs'k, after the bridge SE to the Donets River was destroyed, This cut off all supplies or reinforcements. Bridge destruction was confirmed via video below. #NASA #FIRMS 24 hour data shows huge fires in Svyatohirsk & Bohorodychne, especially when considering the cities small size. This indicates that some type of shelling or other explosive discharges are very concentrated on these two cities. This is likely #RuAF artillery fire.
Jun 7, 2022 10 tweets 9 min read
#Severodonetsk - #Ukraine suffered a major setback to its counterattack in the last day & has been pushed back into the industrial zone in the W of the city. #Russian forces have advanced forward of previous lines but a blistering artillery barrage from both sides is underway. #NASA FIRMS 24 hours data shows that huge sections of the city were on fire today, which is an indicator of shelling or explosives. The shelling appears to be from #Ukraine & #Russian directed at both forward units and resupply and command control areas of the opposite side.
Jun 5, 2022 4 tweets 2 min read
#Ukrainian forces reportedly shot down a #Russian SU-25 near Orikhiv Оріхів in #Zaporizhzhya Oblast. The plane burns as it hurtles through the air until it crashes into the ground. #Ukrainians can be heard celebrating. Here is a second longer video of the same hit. It shows the fireball when the plane hits the ground.
Jun 1, 2022 4 tweets 3 min read
The #UnitedStates has released details concerning the new $700 million military aid package to #Ukraine. The package includes:
-Four High Mobility Artillery Rocket Systems (HIMARS) and ammo (# or type not specified)
-Five counter-artillery radars
-Two air surveillance radars -6,000 antiarmor weapons
-15,000 rounds of 155 mm artillery
-Four Mi-17 helicopters
-15 tactical vehicles
-Spare parts and equipment. More: 👇 cnbc.com/amp/2022/06/01…
Jun 1, 2022 4 tweets 4 min read
#Lyman Axis - #Russian troops continue to consolidate on the NE side of the Donets River and captured Yarova today. The small city lies around 7mi/11km NW of Lyman. #Ukrainian troops are retreating from Yarova, and likely Sosnove as well, towards Sviatohirsk. Heavy fighting was reported in Sosnove, Studenok and Shchurove, but #Ukrainian troops will have to give ground soon to avoid being trapped on the NE of the Donets. #UAF is consolidating in Sviatohirsk, where they will likely make a last stand before retrograding over the river.
May 31, 2022 4 tweets 4 min read
#Kherson Axis - The first videos are coming out from the #Ukrainian counteroffensive in Davydiv Brid. The extent of newly captured terrain is unclear but #UAF is moving heavy equipment & troops across the Inhulets River to attack #Russian forces in the area. Videos in next tweet. This video shows #Ukrainian troops moving into an already liberated settlement of Davydiv Brid. The lack of fighting or tactical posture means the frontlines are likely far away from this position.
May 31, 2022 4 tweets 4 min read
#Severodonetsk - #Russian troops have made significant advances in the city today. #RUAF has advanced beyond the city concert hall & have captured government buildings in the city center. Geolocated videos show #RUAF in control of at least 50% of the city. Videos in next tweet. Videos of #Chechen fighters from today show a tour of the city center. The blue and white roofed building has been geolocated to: 48.94644, 38.49439. The lack of fighting or tactical posture by #Chechen's indicates that the frontlines are far away from this location.
May 30, 2022 5 tweets 5 min read
#Kherson Axis - #Ukrainian troops have launched a counterattack 40 mi/65km NE of #Kherson City with the stated goal of destroying #Russian supply lines to the N. #Ukraine has captured Davydiv Brid & has gained ground and possibly total control in Lozove, Bilohirka & Andriivka. This counterattack had to cross the Inhulets River, which had been serving as a defensive boundary and line of contact for #Russia & #Ukraine up to this point. #Ukraine has stated that the #UAF did not cross the river at Davydiv Brid, & instead used a crossing bridge "downriver".
May 29, 2022 4 tweets 4 min read
#Mariupol - #Russia has managed to re-open the port in Mariupol with the first ships docking there this week. Their first order of business has been to load up the remaining rolled steel that was produced at #Azovstal by #Ukraine & ship it to Rostov-on-Don, #Russia for offload. #Russia struggled to initially re-open the port due to anti-ship mines placed by #Ukrainian forces to defend against an amphibious assault. The rolled steel shown below and taken by Russia may be the last ever produced at #Azovstal as its production capability has been destroyed.
May 27, 2022 16 tweets 12 min read
The #UnitedStates is considering whether to send HIMARS to #Ukraine in its fight against #Russia. What is the M142 High Mobility Artillery Rocket System (HIMARS) and could a deep strike precision guided munition tip the scales towards #Ukraine in the #UkraineRussiaWar? HIMARS are capable of firing both rockets & missiles. The most common rocket is the Guided Multiple Launch Rocket System M31A1 rocket (see below) that comes in pods of 6 rockets. These rockets can travel beyond 70km (reportedly 84km) to strike targets with an accuracy of 2m.
May 24, 2022 6 tweets 3 min read
After posting this video we received multiple allegations that the occupants of this vehicle were #Ukrainian Soldiers in a stolen civilian vehicle. So, we decided to take a deep dive into the video to find out more about the occupants and the video. Here is what we found. 🧵 At the 0:02 mark in the rearview mirror you can briefly see the person in the passenger seat has on a black flak jacket and the letters PRE are clearly visible. Black flak jackets are frequently worn by the press in war zones to protect journalists and are marked w "PRESS".
May 23, 2022 4 tweets 5 min read
#UkraineRussianWar Update - No confirmed changes in control of terrain today. #Russian forces focused on consolidation and preparation for assaults on Soledar, Severodonetsk, Lyman & New York. There was an an overall decrease in #RUAF attacks today, but an uptick in shelling. #Ukraine repelled attacks S of Dovhenke, around Ternova, Severodonetsk & Lypove. #Russia is consolidating gains W and NW of #Popasna to prepare for future N, W & S assaults there to expand its zone of control. Around Kherson #Russian forces continue to build permanent defenses.
May 21, 2022 4 tweets 5 min read
#Donetsk Axis - #Russian forces have captured the town of Novoselivka, Donetsk Oblast. The capture of this town will allow #Russian forces to assault the town of Niu-York immediately to the N. Multiple pro-Russian accounts have reported #RUAF in Niu-York but that is inaccurate. Niu-York is a strategically critical, but tactically difficult city for #Ukraine to defend. If #Russia can capture the city it will open the door to bypassing #Ukrainian defenses to the E. #Russia has made no progress towards Toretsk in 3 months & is looking for a new approach.
May 21, 2022 4 tweets 4 min read
#Izyum Axis - #Russia forces have captured a 10km wide area N of the Donets River and E of Izyum. #RUAF has captured the Oskil Dam, Synychyne & Yaremivka. Yaremivka was likely captured days ago as #RUAF was attempting a bridging action over the river to Studenok yesterday. This also throws the status of Studenok into doubt as its unlikely (but not impossible) that #Russia attempted a contested crossing of the Donets River. #Ukrainian troops have likely retreated to the S w/ the contingent at the Dam holding out for over two weeks w/ little support.
May 21, 2022 4 tweets 5 min read
#Severodonestk - #Russian forces have destroyed the critical Pavlograd Bridge/Павлоградський Міст leading from the city to Lysychans'k/Лисичанськ. This was the main supply line from Severodonetsk across the Donets river and it’s loss could make resupply of the city impossible. 4 bridges lead to #Severodonetsk from the west side of the Donets River. 1 has been destroyed and out of operation for years. #Russia destroyed the middle bridge today and the other 2 bridges are being pressured by #RUAF. #Ukraine may already be unable to use the N & S bridges.
May 21, 2022 4 tweets 5 min read
#Oskil Update - it appears that rumors of #Ukrainian forces still at the Oskil Dam were true & in the last 2 days retreated S and rejoined the main #Ukrainian front lines. #Russia sources posted this video today of the dam, along with info saying that #UAF left recently to the S. #Russians also claimed that retreating #Ukrainian troops planted explosives in the dam prior to retreating. However, based on the damage to the entire dam structure, it appears to have been under heavy shelling for days. This is the more likely cause. The dam is now stuck open.
May 21, 2022 5 tweets 5 min read
Why is #Ukraine struggling around #Popasna? Part of the answer to that question has to do with available troops, supplies, casualties and exhaustion. However, one often overlooked element that is working for the #Russian's and against the #Ukrainian's, is the area's topography. #Popasna sits directly on a hill over 700ft/210m higher than Soledar. This gives #Russian forces a massive advantage in regards to artillery, observation and firing positions, since they can shoot down into #UAF trenches/defenses. It also means they are attacking downhill.
May 21, 2022 6 tweets 6 min read
#Lyman Update - #Russian forces have completed their capture of Novoselivka and the adjoining forest where #Ukrainian troops have been putting up fierce resistance. #RUAF is now assaulting Yarova w artillery, tanks and infantry. More info on possible Oskil pocket below. #NASA FIRMS indicates huge fires in the forest N, NE & E of Yarova, where #Ukrainian troops harassed the movements of #Russian troops and dug defensive lines deep in the woods. #Russia likely resorted to heavy bombardment of #Ukrainian positions to force #UAF to retreat.
May 21, 2022 4 tweets 4 min read
#Kherson Axis - No confirmed change in terrain control along this axis today. #Russia & #Ukraine continue to fire upon each others positions, while #RUAF fired missiles and rockets at nearby towns. Explosions were recorded in Kherson, Zaporizhia, Dnipropetrovsk, & Odesa Oblast. #Russian military engineers have brought in excavation/construction equipment to construct a secondary defensive line along existing frontlines. This suggests that #RUAF is anticipating a #Ukrainian attack soon & that #Russia is not trying to expand this front in the near future.