1/The sudden support for trade unionism by the Labour right (yes, @PeoplesMomentum, that includes Rayner) tells us 3 things:
Firstly #littlekeir#Starmer has failed. His purpose was: destroy the Labour left (basically accomplished) while safeguarding the party as a vehicle for...
2/... Right wing Liberals (failed). For the second to work, the right would have to deligitimise Corbynism by providing that Blairite Labour could win elections, framing this as the only way forward.
3/ a Blarite Labour on course for election victory, need not worry about unions because they would be doing well enough out of private donors buying in influence. And this brings us to the second point: Labour is going to lose the next election & frontbenchers know it.
4/ Rayner and Streeting's newfound love for trade unionism is a manifestation of their early campaign for nominations, as they expect themselves to be the main rival candidates for leader: Wes backed by the right, Rayner the @PeoplesMomentum, erm "left". Why so early?
5/ The answer brings us to point three. They expect an election relatively soon with a leadership contest to follow. Anonymous briefings aren't trustworthy but this - pictured - indicates frustration but also hope that circumances might intervene via a police fine...
6/ So probably the numbers don't exist for a successful challenge yet. Also #littlekeir would have to be persuaded not to stand again and the only guarantee of this would be a police fine. So most likely they will let him fail, blame it all on Corbyn and move on...
7/ with an election on the near-horizon and the Party failing, now is not the best moment for a new leader to come in as anything other caretaker. Wld guess no challenge is coming. Finally...
8/ Does the failure of the #Starmer project represent an opportunity for the Labour left, Corbyn's return, etc. Would say no chance given that the supposed "left" candidate is likely to be "suspend thousands" Rayner...
9/ Truth is the #Labour right has captured a sinking ship. #littlekeir was as successful as he could have hoped in purging the left. Yet narrative of "move right to win" hasn't borne out. Various flavours of right wingers are all that's on offer in #Labour's future...
10/10... And #littlekeir is soon to demonstrate that the Labour right are electorally toxic vote losers. They may have killed the Party. Perhaps another future wasn't possible after all.
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1/ Astute analysis by the @NewStatesman's @harrytlambert (doesn't mean he's on our side), which identifies that the #Rwanda flight as a key play in the Tory culture war, designed to draw election battle lines. There is an obvious strategy for dealing this: take it head on.
2/ If many UK citizens don't like the reality that people are being smuggled to our shores, an astute left wing politician would simply draw their eyes to the root cause: western wars started to expand markets for goods, services and weaponry to be traded in the US dollar.
3/ A good portion of the 70million refugees in the world today (many of whom are internally displaced) have been forced to leave by the destruction of their nations by the Anglo Saxon Empire: Yemen, Libya, Afghanistan, Iraq and more. This is not a conversation the Tories want.
1/ It's very easy to dismiss this chart, allegedly by Paul Mason as nonsense. Much of the content, such as the implication that @STWuk's @JohnWRees is somehow influenced by China is bizarre. However...
2/... structure of the chart itself resembles the strategic/conspiratorial thinking of the British security services, as outlined by once infamous anti-Soviet spy Sidney Reilley, in his memoirs: pbs.twimg.com/media/FUtce1oX…
3/ Outlining how his networks in the Soviet Union operated, Sidney explained:
"It was essential that my Russian Organisation should not know too much and that no part of it should be in a position to betray another." ...
1/ There is a bit of an issue with the British left, in that it assumes that the Empire and its institutions are somehow compatible with socialism. In reality, the reason we have lost the #NHS IS the Empire, including NATO, the Royal Family, flag waving, etc.
2/ For instance, the empire is underpinned by international finance which facilitates money laundering across borders for arms deals via the city of London, a system protected by the Royal Family...
3/ ...which has investments in tax havens and can block any legislation that directly impacts upon its interests before it reaches parliament. dumptheguardian.com/uk-news/2021/f…
1/ The truth is probably not as clear cut as the MSM media would suggest. Just one poll, and an outlier at that. But it suggests that it is entirely *possible* for #Johnson to win the next election. #Labour is not where it needs to be...
2/ By elections are strange beasts. It's important that oppositions win them to show that they are successfully eating in to the support of the Governing Party. But oppositions who win by-elections don't necessarily go on to win General elections...
3/ This is because they tend to be used as protests against the Government, as do local elections. MSM journos are picking & choosing their political precedents. It's true that the vote of confidence means that #Johnson is less likely to lead the Tories into the next election...
1/ The idea of "balanced budgets" is a bit of a chimera. But otherwise this analysis is essentially correct. The United States is in trouble. It's power is maintained by the convertibility of the dollar, which is backed up by NATO military supremacy...
2/ so long as the US military is unchallenged and it continues to allow western corporations to access new markets the dollar will be desirable because a country that stockpiles dollars will be able to use them to trade with the greater part of the world.
3/ Choosing to cut economies out of Swift is therefore counter productive to US supremacy as it forces countries affected to by pass the dollar supported western financial system: the empire has therefore shrunk as a result of its own errors.
1/ There's a real chance that things will get even WORSE for #Labour in the coming months. Imagine #Starmer is fined for 1 or other alleged lockdown breach but isn't challenged 4 reasons set out below. Party wld go into nxt GE as a laughing stock with lame 🦆 leader...
2/ All sensible polling analysis looks at trends. It's now been confirmed that #Starmer has led #Labour backwards in the 2022 local elections. We predicted underperformance. This was easy because of the trend of by-election losses under #Starmer. skwawkbox.org/2022/05/13/bre…
3/ But it gets worse for #Labour. Under #Starmer, the party has consistently performed worse than it did under Corbyn (forget polls, think real elections). According to this trend #Labour doing worse in the nxt GE than it did in 2019 is a real possibility.