New update on the situation on the western side of the #Kherson front. 🇺🇦 forces have made some progress in certain parts of the front, 🇷🇺 forces launched counter attacks around #Pravdyne & #kyselivka. 🇺🇦 took ground direction of #Ivanivka More info read 🧵
Direction of #Oleksandrivka 🇺🇦 have consolditated their positions and have moved on the open ground between #Pravdyne & the #Stanislav pocket towards #Tomynabalka. According to sources clashes occured 5 km. west of town where 🇷🇺 troops are dug in. FIRM data seems to confirm this.
Further more 🇺🇦 forces are conducting attacks on an area north of #Stanislav where remaining VDV units are trying to hold the advance and keep coastal road T1501 open for re-supply. A push from #Oleksandrivka toward #Stanislav however is expected to happen within a few days.
🇷🇺forces launched a counter attack around #Pravdyne town is contested. 🇺🇦 forces fell back to positions 5 km west. However 🇺🇦 still hold the #Tavrijske - #Soldatske line north and ground between #Oleksandrivka - #Tomynabalka to the south.
In this area at least 2 🇺🇦 brigades seem active, near #Pravdyne the 126th Odessa TDF & on the line from #Oleksandrivka - #Tomynabalka units of the 28th mech. Brigade
From direction of #Blahodatne 🇺🇦 forces moved toward #Kyselivka. 🇷🇺 forces seem to have left the town and took up fortified positions on the E58 highway between #Klapaya & #Znamyanka. These positions where subsequently attacked(FIRMS data) this is 10 km from #Kherson airport.
At #Kherson city 2 area's were seen on FIRMS @ #Oleshky (warehouse complex) & #Antonivka (military complex). The warehouse complex presumably was a staging area for re-inforcements arriving from #Crimea via highway E97. Military complex could possible be MLRS launch site.
On the eastern side, seems 🇺🇦 17th separate tank brigade has moved 14 km from #Blahodatne and are closing on #Ivanivka & #Arkhanhelske which is an important supply hub for 🇷🇺 troops both in #Kherson & #Zaporizhzhia oblasts. #Ivanivka is heavly fortified.
At the moment more 🇷🇺re-enforcements and equipment are coming from both #Zaporizhzhia and #Crimea to stop or slow the 🇺🇦 #Kherson offensive. Next 2 weeks will determine the succes of the 🇺🇦forces #OSINT#SlavaUkraïni
Credible sources within the Ukrainian army and russian sources, are reporting the displacement of units of the 76th Guards Air Assault Division from the Kreminna/Svatove area to the harbor city of Berdyansk. Indications are at least 2 regiments have moved.
The 234th Guards Air Assault and 237th Guards Air Assault Regiments , who had been stationed between Kreminna and Svatove, with a command centre located in Milutavka, which is near the city of Svatove.
234th regiment is know for its involvement in the Bucha massacre both regiments suffered heavy losses in the war in Ukraine and have been replenished with Mobiks who had short training in camps just across the border in Russia (Rovenki) and near Nhyznoteple in Luhansk
1/3 Recently large numbers of tanks in the Pervomaiske area have been destroyed, also video's came out showing large numbers of assault forces (So-called SHO units) who surrender to 🇺🇦 forces.Another indication something was up in this area, the increased nr. of 🇺🇦 drone attacks
2/3 This could indicate part of the 🇷🇺 defensive lines around this part of the front might be weaker around Pervomais'ke then other parts, most likely also because units from this part were moved to support the 3rd army on the south flank of Bakhmut.
3/3 Today we learned that 🇷🇺 forces blew up the dam in the town of Karlivka, this dam not only holds the water in the Karlovska reservoir, but also a bridge on the E50 road toward Pervomais'ke, which is a main supply route for 🇺🇦 forces in the area.
1/3 Reliable sources on the ground near Soledar are reporting 🇷🇺 sapper units possible from 107th Seperate Guards Engineer-Sapper battalion, are activly mining roads leading out of Soledar. Several crossroads and fields have been mined with 100's of AT-62M mines.
2/3 This in it self can mean different things, either Russian & Wagner forces are preparing a retreat to more favourable defensive positions outside Soledar, or Russian forces are setting up obstacles to prevent the retreat of the Wagner forces stationed in Soledar.
3/3 In case of retreat of all forces from Soledar, the possibility is that they would fall back all the way to the defensive positions build a few months ago west of Popasna on the border between Luhansk & Donetsk. Time will tell when Soledar is liberated by 🇺🇦. #SlavaUkraïni
1/6 Elements of the 10th Tank regiment part of the newly formed 3rd 🇷🇺 army corps, arrived around 13th of may in the area of the town of Odradivka (48.494300,38.014800). They had previously been deployed near Avdiivka, were they were involved a multiple failed frontal assaults
2/6 In which they suffered serious losses including most of their tanks and IFV's. They had been regrouping near the town of Lysychansk and seems to have been re-plenished with new mobik recruits from all over Russia but mostly recruits from Buryatia.
3/6 Their arrival in the area south of Bakhmut is likely an attempt to stop Ukrainian advances in this area.The unit took up positions along the T0513 road between Odradivka and Optyne. Almost immediatly after their arrival shelling and drone attacks by 🇺🇦 forces took their toll.
1/15 I have been working on unraveling the 🇷🇺 logistics networks in the Luhansk area since the beginning of jan. When different geolocated videos showed convoy's of armoured vehicles moving towards the frontlines in Luhansk & Donetsk
2/15 These convoy's peaked my interest, and since the 🇷🇺 logistics machine heavily relies on railway, the most obvious place to start is at the railway hubs it still can use in Luhansk. There are only a handfull which suits the need of the 🇷🇺 forces & are outside of HIMARS reach
3/15 in S Luhansk the railway route between the towns of Dovzhansk(Sverdlovsk) and Rovenky, has 4 stops that would be out of HIMARS reach, but only two of those are connected with the highways into Luhansk city and onto the frontlines.These are Dovzhansk (Sverdlovsk) and Rovenky
Serveral 🇺🇦 sources report 🇷🇺 offensive actions NW of Svatove, Luhansk in the area of the town of Miasozharivka. This would line up with rumors about the 31st vdv being in the area since mid jan. Also would explain the heavy activity on the newest logistical route being used
since beginning of jan. From Rovenki and Rossosj along the highway to Novopskov and on to staroblisk & Svatove. Presumable elements of the 31st & 76th Airborne disivion have been spotted in the area around Svatove since 2 weeks and are leading the attack.
Indications could be that this might be the main axis of attack, despite the focus on Kreminna! As promised my 🧵 about the Luhansk logistics will be out soon. But i want it to be extensive, current and on the money so bare with me a little while longer please 🙏 #SlavaUkraïni