Antoine FLAHAULT Profile picture
Jun 27 8 tweets 5 min read
1/8 - “#COVID19 infections continue to surge across the UK, with the number of people in England estimated to have the virus jumping 20 per cent to 1.3mn in the past week, according to the latest official survey.”
ft.com/content/825af0…
2/8 - “The latest Covid wave has hit Scotland hardest. About one in 20 people or 4.76 per cent of the population in Scotland had #COVID19 — up 40 per cent on the previous week.”
3/8 - “These increases are largely driven by the #Omicron #BA4 and #BA5 variants . . . In England, infections increased across all age groups, with the lowest level of infection seen in school aged children.[…] #BA4 accounts for 22% and #BA5 for 39% of new cases.”
4/8 - “UKHSA estimates that #BA5 is growing 35 per cent faster than #BA2, while #BA4 is increasing 19 per cent faster — suggesting that #BA5 will become the dominant #COVID19 variant in the UK.”
5/8 - “Reassuringly, there is no evidence that #BA4 and #BA5 cause more severe illness than previous variants. [There is] a rise in hospital admissions in line with community infections but vaccinations are continuing to keep ICU admissions and deaths at low levels.”
6/8 - “The ONS infection study is based on testing a representative range of households across the UK. About 150,000 samples are analysed every month. The survey does not depend on test results submitted from the general population.”
7/8 - “The latest ONS data “highlights the ability of these viruses to evade antibody immunity”, said Stephen Griffin, associate professor of medicine at Leeds university. “The rapidity with which they are causing waves across the world is concerning.”
8/8 - “The government is considering scaling back the ONS Covid survey — a move Griffin called “short-sighted and negligent”. “The ONS is an excellent means of assessing the #COVID19 situation across the UK, as the survey is independent of testing bias,” he said.”

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More from @FLAHAULT

Jun 28
1/9 - Jun 28 to Jul 04 -
"Around the #COVID19 World in 80 Seconds"!

Daily epidemic 7-day forecasting for 300+ countries/ territories on our dashboard:
tinyurl.com/COVIDdashb

Data source: coronavirus.jhu.edu & ourworldindata.org/coronavirus
Powered by @ISG_UNIGE & @SDSCdatascience ImageImage
2/9 - Western Europe
PT is the first country to see its #COVID19 #BA5 wave declining, low mortality.
- Surging/rising in the IT (R-eff=1.26); AU=1.25; FR=1.25; CH=1.21/ NO=1.19; NL=1.18; BE=1.18; UK=1.17; LUX=1.17; ICL=1.14; IRL=1.12; SP=1.12; DE=1.11; DK=1.10, low-med mort. ImageImageImageImage
3/9 - East-Central Europe
- Surge in their #COVID19 epidemic activity in Albania (R-eff=1.41); Greece=1.27;Serbia=1.23; Croatia=1.10; Slovenia=1.21; Slovakia=1.29; Lithuania=1.74; Bulgaria=1.19;
- Increase/plateau in Latvia=1.07/Estonia=0.99;
No report from Ukraine since Feb 24. ImageImageImage
Read 11 tweets
Jun 28
1/4 - France (R-eff=1.25) experiences a surge in #COVID19 cases driven by #BA5, low mortality. 81.2% > 1 dose.
98,873 cases and 48 deaths/day to be reported by Jul 04, if at same pace.
Forecast for Jun 28 to Jul 01:
tinyurl.com/COVIDfrance
Powered by @ISG_UNIGE & @SDSCdatascience ImageImageImage
2/4 - Two mainland Régions are experiencing worrying and rapid surge in their #COVID19 epid activ, with low mortality:
Occitanie (R-eff=1.30);
PACA=1.34. Image
3/4 - Eleven mainland Régions are experiencing a surge in their #COVID19 epidemic activity, with low mortality:
AURA (R-eff=1.27);
Bourg-Fr-C=1.26;
Bret=1.28;
Ctre-V-de-L=1.26;
Corse=1.28;
Gd-Est=1.24;
Hts-de-Fr=1.25;
Ile-de-Fr=1.25;
Norm=1.24;
Nouv-Aq=1.28;
P-de-L=1.28. Image
Read 6 tweets
Jun 25
1/9 - “Figures from ONS, based on swabs collected from randomly selected households, reveal that in the week ending 18 June an estimated 1/40 people in England are thought to have had #COVID19, 1.36 mn people, up from 1/50, or 1.13 mn the week before.”
theguardian.com/world/2022/jun…
2/9 - “The estimated number of people testing positive for #COVID19 also rose in Scotland and Northern Ireland and, to a lesser extent in Wales, with levels highest in Scotland where around 1/20 people, or 4.76% of the pop are thought to have had Covid in the week ending 17 Jun.”
3/9 - “In England, infections increased across all age groups, with the lowest level of infection seen in school-aged children. These increases are largely driven by the #Omicron #BA4 and #BA5 variants.”
Read 7 tweets
Jun 25
1/9 - Jun 25 to Jun 30 -
"Around the #COVID19 World in 80 Seconds"!

Daily epidemic 7-day forecasting for 300+ countries/ territories on our dashboard:
tinyurl.com/COVIDdashb

Data source: coronavirus.jhu.edu & ourworldindata.org/coronavirus
Powered by @ISG_UNIGE & @SDSCdatascience
2/9 - Western Europe
PT (R-eff=0.94) is the first country to see its #COVID19 #BA5 wave declining, med mortality.
- Surging/rising in the IT=1.30; AU=1.26; FR=1.25; NL=1.22; CH=1.21; LUX=1.20; NO=1.20; UK=1.20/DK=1.18; ICL=1.15; BE=1.14; IRL=1.13; DE=1.13; SP=1.12, low-med mort.
3/9 - East-Central Europe
- Surge in their #COVID19 epidemic activity in Albania (R-eff=1.38); Greece=1.25; Serbia=1.24;Croatia=1.23; Slovenia=1.22; Slovakia=1.22; Lithuania=1.21;
- Increase/plateau in Latvia=1.08/ Estonia=0.99;
No report from Ukraine since Feb 24.
Read 11 tweets
Jun 25
1/4 - France (R-eff=1.25) experiences a surge in #COVID19 cases driven by #BA5, low mortality. 81.2% > 1 dose.
86,434 cases and 40 deaths/day to be reported by Jul 01, if at same pace.
Forecast for Jun 25 to Jun 28:
tinyurl.com/COVIDfrance
Powered by @ISG_UNIGE & @SDSCdatascience
2/4 - Nine mainland Régions are experiencing a surge in their #COVID19 epidemic activity, with low [medium] mortality:
AURA (R-eff=1.25);
[Bourg-Fr-Comté=1.23];
Ctre-Val-de-Loire=1.22;
Corse=1.22;
[Hts-de-France=1.20];
Ile-de-France=1.22;
Nouv-Aquit=1.22;
Occit=1.21;
PACA=1.25.
3/4 - Four mainland Régions are rising in their #COVID19 epid activ, with low [medium] mortality:
[Bretagne (R-eff=1.18)];
Grand-Est=1.18;
Normandie=1.17;
Pays-de-Loire=1.19.
Read 6 tweets
Jun 25
1/5 - “L'alertiste [= le précautionneux] est moralisateur, il trouve que médecins, scientifiques, journalistes ont la responsabilité de promouvoir une attitude responsable et solidaire…”
slate.fr/story/229559/p…
2/5 - “Le rassuriste est démagogue, il sait que son discours va plaire et que c'est celui-là que l'on veut entendre.”
3/5 - “Le parti “rassuriste” ne puise-t-il pas ses racines dans un certain individualisme, une forme de néolibéralisme?
N'empiétez pas sur mes libertés retrouvées,cessez d'agiter les arguments de la peur pour maintenir le peuple sous votre joug sanitaire,enfermiste, liberticide.”
Read 5 tweets

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