Thread by @AndersonBooz

1/ The Conservative media propaganda campaign against the government of 🇨🇦 intensifies as they try to make the white supremacist-led protests seem justified by throwing everything behind a manufactured fake scandal.

With CPC in freefall, who is pulling these strings? Cui bono?

2/ What has the current govt done that makes it so urgent to undermine it even when the Opposition is practically leaderless and fractured?

If I were a conspiracy theorist - and I don't think I am, but I am on the intuitive side - I would have three suspects.

#cdnpoli

3/ • First would be what people are referring to variably as the Dominionists or christofascists, whose influence has been part of the fracturing of Conservatism and has been bubbling under the surface for a century. Emboldened by their success in the USA, they could be making

4/ their play in Canada. Certainly that's the theory that fits the Klondike Papers scenario. But looking at how it worked in the US - installing a strongman/idiot and poisoning the wells via judicial appointments - that's more an explanation of what we are seeing within the

5/ federal and provincial Con parties. Flooding the leadership field with useful idiots to see which can get elected.

That strategy doesn't require this sudden push. There are enough Nouveau Social Credit US- backed Manning puppets active in CPC/UCP/PCPO to create Trump North,

6/ and destabilization when the federal CPC is such a mess doesn't make a lot of sense to me. Unless it's in reaction to proposed limits on disinformation that is pushing the timelone. Maybe.

What else is the 🇨🇦 govt doing that is creating this urgent need to attack and try to

7/ push a change of power?
• My second theory is Russia. The push comes as Canada increasingly emerges as a particular friend of Ukraine. With the 🇨🇦 govt pressing other countries to weaken Russian influence and the Russian economy, and Russia now blatantly targeting

8/ civilian targets, it's easy to extend what we already know of Russian internet disinformation activities to include targeting the leadership of the international resistance.

In that scenario, the current disarray of the CPC works in their favour. Which is why I would be

9/ tempted, IF I were a conspiracy theorist, to see Russia as the instigator behind the attacks - and the dim-witted toddler "conservative" pundits as their tools.

It's possible the Dominionists are their tools - as increasingly seems the case in the assault on US democracy.

10/ Certainly the timing fits, and the tinge of desperation to it. But...well, the part of me that is definitely NOT a conspiracy theorist says it would explain the social media attacks but I can't quite stretch far enough to see Joe Oliver as a tool of Russia. Mind you, we

11/ didn't initially think it of Trump either, so....

Cui bono. Cui bono...

Who else benefits? Who else is currently threatened by having a strong leadership in Ottawa and benefits from the clown show that is the CPC leadership race?

What are the other crucial issues that

12/ are on the Liberal govt table that threaten powerful international interests?

I see three others who could be argued by a conspiracy theorist to benefit: guns, oil and the non-Dominionist conservative IDU.

I rule out guns. Why? Canada is not gun averse. Canada has lots of

13/ guns. When you look at our size, we just aren't that big a market - even if the govt's move to restrict gun availability puts a dent in it. I don't see it as worth destabilization when the pro-gun party is weak.

The IDU would also not be a prime suspect unless the timing is

14/ to benefit their favorite puppet in the CPC leadership race and the timing is about THAT and only indirectly about anything Trudeau is doing. Hm. Possible.

So then there's oil.

Oil benefits from the war - in the short term. But only the short term, as the war has Europe

15/ fast-tracking plans to reduce their dependence. But what is facing the Trudeau govt that threatens O&G enough to try to get him out?

Is it the cost overruns threatening TMX? Seems unlikely - unless the international O&G interests don't want TMX completed. Seems a stretch.

16/ Although a conspiracy theorist might link the sudden flourishing of Alberta pro-O&G anti-environmentalist independence politicians to the push against a strong federalist party in Ottawa. But again, whike the CPC is in disarray? I don't see it as likely.

Cui bono. Cui...

17/ Who would benefit from the installation of the economic illiterates running amok in the CPC? Who is exploiting the racist anger in Canada? Who benefits?

Who is suspect #3? Who is threatened by actions of the Trudeau govt so much that they want it gone even if there's no-one

18/ waiting in the wings?

Not likely China - they already have 🇨🇦 sufficiently under control courtesy of Harper's FIPA legacy.

Not the international environmental movement (who would have every reason to try to remove governments around the world, but who seem unable to).

19/ •So my third most likely conspiracy theory is the technocracy fearful that the 🇨🇦 govt's flirtation with internet censorship will snowball internationally. Because of the theories, this is the one that benefits most without needing a strong alternative in an Opposition.

20/ It's also the one that gives the media their own motive, that is least likely to have the pundits realize they are being used. If 🇨🇦 - boring, stable, democratic 🇨🇦 - succeeds in restricting the disinformation power of the likes of Meta, manages to convince Canadians that

21/ the unprecedented power of these conglomerates cannot be completely unchecked - other reasonable countries might also seek to limit their power.

Now, because I am not a conspiracy theorist I don't assume evil intent behind the big picture of the technocracy - but I am also a

22/ realist who understands people will do immoral things in service of a goal they see as moral.

It would definitely benefit these interests to discredit this govt at this time, and the media would be the most likely tool.

But I am not a conspiracy theorist. This push - when

23/ 🇨🇦 is experiencing high employment, is being acknowledged for relatively effective covid response, is a champion for Ukraine, is a place of relative stability and prosperity - this coordinated push to remove the govt comes from somewhere.

I just want to know.