1/ A neglected aspect of yesterday's "G7 Statement of Support for Ukraine" is how it talks about #Ukraine's #borders. The language is a positive development for those who (like me) believe the #war should end with #Russia gone from every square inch of Ukrainian territory. 🧵
2/ Many past statements by allied leaders have been notable for not even mentioning Ukraine's borders. President Biden's essay in the New York Times a month ago, outlining U.S. goals for its support of Ukraine, is a notable (and notorious) example.
3/ Yet yesterday's G7 statement on Ukraine addresses the issue of Ukraine's borders at least three times, all of them early in the statement. I quote each of those instances below (with added highlighting via capitalization). g7germany.de/resource/blob/…
4/ The issue of borders is addressed at the very beginning of the G7 statement:
"We, the Leaders of the Group of Seven (G7), are steadfast in our solidarity with Ukraine, and reaffirm our unwavering commitment to support the ... country’s sovereignty and TERRITORIAL INTEGRITY."
5/ A bit later, the statement once again addresses the issue of borders:
"We condemn and will not recognise Russia’s continued attempts to RE-DRAW BORDERS by force."
6/ The final G7 mention of borders is strong:
"We reiterate our demand that Russia put an end to this war of choice, and immediately, unconditionally cease all hostilities and withdraw ... from the ENTIRE TERRITORY of Ukraine within its INTERNATIONALLY RECOGNISED BORDERS." /end
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1/ Two major U.S. media outlets have recently reported that officials in the Biden administration are starting to doubt whether #Ukraine can regain Ukrainian territory currently occupied by #Russia.
2/ In a report early yesterday, CNN said "White House officials are losing confidence that Ukraine will ever be able to take back all of the land it has lost to Russia over the past four months of war ..." cnn.com/2022/06/28/pol…
3/ "Advisers to President Joe Biden," CNN's report continued, "have begun debating internally how and whether Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky should shift his definition of a Ukrainian "victory" – adjusting for the possibility that his country has shrunk irreversibly."
1/ The first of the German-supplied PzH 2000 self-propelled howitzers are now in action in eastern #Ukraine. The German newspaper Bild has a report and photos of the howitzer in action. bild.de/politik/auslan…
2/ One of the co-authors of the Bild report about the PzH 2000's being in Ukraine, @ronzheimer, also is sharing photos and video of the howitzer in action.
1/ There have been reports today that Russian installations on occupied Snake Island have come under heavy bombardment by Ukrainian forces. There also is speculation the attack may have been carried out using HIMARS rocket launchers.
Would this be possible?
Yes.
A short 🧵.
2/ 70 km (43.5 miles) is the most commonly reported range of HIMARS launchers using the GMLRS munitions Ukraine's allies will be providing. That would put Snake Island within range of Ukrainian coastal areas under Ukrainian control.
3/ A closer look of the Ukraine coast within 70 km of Snake Island reveals that there are many locations where HIMARS launchers could be set up for an attack on Snake Island.
Comparison of territorial control in the war in Ukraine, May 2 00:00 UTC vs. May 16 00:00 UTC, based on overall maps for Ukraine from @War_Mapper.
A short 🧵. (1/4)
Territorial control around Kharkiv over the last two weeks (May 2 00:00 UTC vs. May 16 00:00 UTC). (2/4)
Territorial control in the Donbas over the last two weeks (May 2 00:00 UTC vs. May 16 00:00 UTC). (3/4)
So there were two reports out within the past 24 hours indicating it is still possible the U.S. could send Ukraine the M142 High Mobility Artillery Rocket System (HIMARS). This would be a significant development if it happened. A quick 🧵.1/6
First, while in Stockholm on Sunday on his way back from a visit in Kyiv, U.S. Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell said giving Ukraine HIMARS and more tanks is still "under consideration." 2/6
Second, @EliotACohen said today that a "senior government official" told him that "mechanical / procedural issues [are] being worked out" so HIMARS can be sent to Ukraine. Fear of HIMARS causing "escalation" is not what is standing in the way. 3/6
An ever evolving 🧵 for tracking news and other information related to Russian president Vladimir #Putin's #health. 1/
#Putin#health 🧵 2/
One of the most extensive reports suggesting that Russian president Putin might be seriously ill appeared in early April in the Russian investigative news outlet Proekt. It suggested Putin might have a serious thyroid-related cancer. proekt.media/en/investigati…