ETHUSDLONGS, a chart on tradingview which displays the total amount of open Long positions on Ethereum at Bitfinex. This metric has a major change in the recent data which is very important to be aware off.
The amount of ETHUSD Longs has been reduced with ± 300.000 (!!). That is a massive change on it's own, but it becomes more important when we take a look at historical data.
Let's give an overview 👇
July '21: Top was formed directly after closing. A pullback of 24% took place.
Nov '21: Top formed immediately. Price pulled back 50%.
March '22: 18 days before local top. Afterwards a 71% pullback happend.
Aug'22: 6 days so far. Will it mark a (local) top again?
Only time can give an answer to that question, but from a historical perspective, I am (and remain) conservative.
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The perfect long setup is when all this sources point to the same direction.
2 // Let's go back to July 2021 and see how this works: Price Action
A very strong technical setup is a close below/close above. In this example price closed below the weekly support level at $32k and the week after closed above. This is bullish and gives a clear invalidation.
3 // Orderbook
In the orderbook is valuable information on how many orders are placed at a certain price level. Here is a screenshot and please mark how many orders are hovering around that 30k area. Clearly bullish.