Washington has not changed its assessment on #China's timeline for potentially taking #Taiwan militarily, a senior Pentagon official said on Monday, sticking by previous statements that Beijing would not try to take it in the next two years.reuters.com/world/asia-pac…
Asked if the Pentagon's assessment that China would not try to retake Taiwan militarily in the next two years had changed since Pelosi's trip, Under Secretary of Defense for Policy Colin Kahl said: "No."
"Clearly the PRC (People's Republic of China) is trying to
coerce Taiwan, clearly they're trying to coerce the
international community and all I'll say is we're not going to take the bait and it's not going to work," Kahl said.
Officials have privately said that they do not believe China will even be militarily ready to fully take Taiwan by 2027.

"Clearly what they're trying to do is salami slice their way into a new status quo," Kahl said.
Kahl said the U.S. military would carry out passages through the Taiwan Strait in the coming weeks.
On the same day, US President @JoeBiden said he was not worried about Taiwan but was concerned about China's actions in the region. This was his first public comment on #Taiwan since Pelosi visited the island last week. channelnewsasia.com/world/joe-bide…
"I'm concerned they are moving as much as they are," Biden told reporters in Delaware. "But I don't think they're going to do anything more than they are."

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More from @WilliamYang120

Aug 10
"The U.S. solar industry is confronting fresh disruptions as U.S. officials crack down on human-rights abuses in #China’s #Xinjiang region, which produces almost half the world’s supply of a crucial component in solar panels."wsj.com/articles/u-s-s…
"The extent of the disruption is still hard to gauge: The #Uyghur Forced Labor Prevention Act, went into effect at the end of June, and importers, suppliers and customs agents are still feeling their way on what it will take to get goods into the country."
"The industry has struggled in the past few years with a series of disruptions, from rising materials costs to the threat of new tariffs on major panel manufacturers.
Read 10 tweets
Aug 10
"This complex daylong war game demonstrated how destructive any attempted Chinese invasion of #Taiwan could be across the Indo-Pacific—and what a forbidding challenge the island would be for #Beijing’s military forces."wsj.com/articles/war-g…
“No one thought this was realistic until the last few years,” said retired Air Force Brig. Gen. Paula Thornhill, one of the participants. In the past, she said, war gamers were sometimes accused of being “warmongers,” ...
... but since then, China has increased both its military capabilities and aspirations.
Read 11 tweets
Aug 9
Despite the #PLA's large-scale air and sea exercises around #Taiwan, life across the island remains largely unaffected. I talked to @che_huai, @albertowu, @kuokuomich and others about how they perceive the rising military threats from #China. My latest: dw.com/en/how-are-tai…
"I think many Taiwanese people, including myself, are vigilantly following China's military exercises around Taiwan, but we have a measurement in our mind regarding how much threat this is towards Taiwan," @che_huai said.
"We will view most of the military moves as acts of intimidation until the PLA's actions reach the brink. But when certain indicators emerge, it will trigger more reactions from Taiwan's civil society," he added, referring to China's People's Liberation Army.
Read 28 tweets
Aug 9
By @LiYuan6: "While much of that pride is well placed, it also breeds cockiness. It gives Mr. Xi a justification for unwinding the policies of openness that helped #China emerge from international isolation and abject poverty under Mao." nytimes.com/2022/08/09/bus…
"It has also given a boost to extreme nationalists who trumpet Chinese superiority, and who are now urging military confrontation with Taiwan after Speaker Nancy Pelosi’s visit."
"Their strident rhetoric shows how little they think of American power and how easily they think China would win a great-power competition with the United States."
Read 12 tweets
Aug 9
By @michael_ASPI: "But in the real world, Chinese military aggression shows us that Beijing is intent on changing the peaceful status quo across the #Taiwan Strait—something that is a flat contradiction to #China’s stated policy of wanting peace."aspistrategist.org.au/taiwan-shows-a…
It’s surprising that no one in Beijing or in the PLA higher command seemed to consider the effect on Japanese policy and public opinion that’s flowing from the disastrous decision to launch ballistic missiles into Japan’s EEZ.
If China had wanted to really energise Tokyo’s efforts to strengthen Japan’s military power and to think through the close connection between Taiwan’s security and its own, these missile launches would have been the best way of achieving that.
Read 16 tweets
Aug 9
"A #Uyghur scholar who studied in Turkey and worked for an international company in the southern Chinese city of Guangzhou was arrested by authorities from his hometown Urumqi, a local police officer and Uyghurs with knowledge of the situation said."rfa.org/english/news/u…
Subi Tursun, now 29, went to Turkey in 2010 to attend college and stayed there for work after completing his studies, a Uyghur from Urumqi who now lives in exile in Turkey and is friends with the man’s father told RFA.
In autumn 2021, Tursun, who had not become a Turkish citizen, was transferred to the company’s branch in Guangzhou, said the source, who declined to be identified for safety reasons.
Read 12 tweets

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