#reflexivity between #bubbles vs #antibubbles once again distorting markets

Artificially low #VIX forces quant strategies (trend, risk parity, vol target) to buy #SPX, squeezes weak shorts

#insurance tends to be cheapest when we need it the most

Anti-bubble framework 👇
1) Embrace #volatiltiy. Don’t fight it.

2) avoid #leverage, your enemy responsible for financial and emotional distress.

3) Seek negative #correlation and avoid risk of false #diversification. Remember that a portfolio with many holdings is not necessarily diversified.
4) Seek #Emotional indifference. If your trading makes you overly happy or sad, you are trading too big.

5) #Rebalance Portfolio = sell high, buy cheap. Now is time to trim risk, add insurance

6) #compound on capital preservation. Goalkeeper most important player in any team.
I hope the ideas and framework are helpful.

You can #subscribe to my monthly newsletter, the #AntiBubbleReport free via link in my profile.

Please like, retweet, follow for #contrarian global macro and portfolio construction ideas.

Good luck and happy successful investing!

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More from @ParrillaDiego

Feb 26
How much political and ECONOMIC support does Putin have?

The UN National Security Council vote has given some strong clues.

Headlines focused on RUSSIA’ VETO,

but most relevant for me INDIA’s ABSTENTION

Brief Analysis Thread 👇

Given the circumstances, ABSTENTION at UN Security Council vote is NOT NEUTRAL, but rather in FAVOUR of Putin/Russia 🇷🇺

We knew CHINA 🇨🇳 would abstain. They want/need their resources, may be going for Taiwan 🇹🇼 next.

UAE 🇦🇪 abstention not surprising either.

But INDIA 🇮🇳?…
UN Security Council has 15 voting members.

Western Media positioning 1-3-11 as “Putin is isolated” is misleading

5 permanent with VETO: US, China, UK, France, Russia!

10 non permanent with NO VETO: Albania, Brazil, Gabon, Ghana, India, Ireland, Kenya, Mexico, Norway, UAE.
Read 6 tweets
May 13, 2021
1) Obvious and inevitable. 
BTC not ESG. Tesla risked losing environmental credits, its main source of profits, lose ESG label, forcing exit of ESG indices, etc. = Game Over

Bitcoin: Bubble or Anti-Bubble? Read more 👇
2) Tesla will eventually be forced to liquidate entire BTC holding, also due to environmental concerns. Likely to “Sell first, announce later” (same as entry) leaving greater fools holding bag.

3) Other institutions likely to to follow. BTC not accepted as payment is a first step towards the greater regulation coming.

Read 4 tweets

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