The Hulbert Nasdaq Newsletter Sentiment Index tracking the average recommended allocation to stocks by short-term market timers (Traders) is back to "extreme levels of bullish optimism." Some individual investors are even more bullish than that.' You think ONLY India has rallied?
MORE PROOF of why this is a EXTREME SHORT COVERING bear mkt Rally....
JPM Strat:"the short covering has been the main driver of late & is now one of the most extreme in the past 5 years on a 20d basis (-3z). The covering has pushed net flows into more positive territory as well"
I HONESTLY Felt that NIFTY would top out at 17400 levels.... Clearly I have been wrong on that due to the way shorts are still yet to fully cover in the US Market... there is tons of stream in the US market ... and they rally, so will India. Continue to say, its NOT FUNDAMENTALS
I find it STRANGE that people actually believe that this 20%+ Rally in the NIFTY50 is a BULL MARKET Start.... when they Admit that Earnings overall has been cut... And also BULL MARKET Rallys of 20% cant happen in 35-40 days..
#JustAsking How Come NONE of the BULLS are speaking about the INR rallying back to Rs75/$ ?
How about I lose 10% on the INR and Gain 15% on the market ? #JustSaying
So here is something interesting by @MichaelJBurry__ on Bear Market Rally’s…
we've seen some impressive counter trend rallies in the past that failed …
According to GS Prime, this rally has now become the 3rd biggest hedge fund short covering event in the last decade.
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People are asking WHY DID #INR to fall so sharply on FRIDAY to 83.64/USD?
A quick 🧵 explaining why …#RBI
Who BENEFITS most when INR Depreciates?
✅It’s Financial Year end and @RBI has PROFIT targets & DIVIDEND targets of 120,000 Crores to pay Govt of India
✅ when INR Depreciates (#USDINR Rises), @RBI makes profits since it’s ASSETS are USD BONDS/GOLD & it’s LIABILITIES is INR
✅ When #INR depreciates (#USDINR rises), EXPORTS become competitive and IMPORTS become cheaper
✅ When #INR Depreciates, The BIGGEST component of GST (IGST of GST) grows faster since IGST is levied on IMPORTS, Basic & Intermediate Raw Materials, Inventory
#NRI #Remittances will not only #COLLAPSE but they could reverse
A quick thread with implications for the #INR
#NRI #Remittances will not only collapse but they could reverse as outflows unless the DEPOSIT Rates offered by Indian Banks to NRIs are at-least 6-7% $ Rates
Today the US Rates are 1) 4.7% on the US 10yr 2) Investment Grade US bonds offer $6.5% 3) MBS Securities offer $7% at-least 4) US High Yield Bonds are offering $8-9% pa
Compared to that FCNR deposits are at just 5.5-5.8%
FIRST: Every litre of Ethanol, Govt India will lose Rs15-20 in Tax Collections since:
👉Cost of Procuring PETROL is Rs45/lt
👉Cost of Procurement of ETHANOL is Rs65/Lt