Fact Finder, The 🇮🇳 Profile picture
Aug 12, 2022 9 tweets 3 min read Read on X
This might give you a flavour of why I think continues to be a BEAR MARKET RALLY !!
The Hulbert Nasdaq Newsletter Sentiment Index tracking the average recommended allocation to stocks by short-term market timers (Traders) is back to "extreme levels of bullish optimism." Some individual investors are even more bullish than that.' You think ONLY India has rallied? Image
MORE PROOF of why this is a EXTREME SHORT COVERING bear mkt Rally....
JPM Strat:"the short covering has been the main driver of late & is now one of the most extreme in the past 5 years on a 20d basis (-3z). The covering has pushed net flows into more positive territory as well" Image
I HONESTLY Felt that NIFTY would top out at 17400 levels.... Clearly I have been wrong on that due to the way shorts are still yet to fully cover in the US Market... there is tons of stream in the US market ... and they rally, so will India. Continue to say, its NOT FUNDAMENTALS
I find it STRANGE that people actually believe that this 20%+ Rally in the NIFTY50 is a BULL MARKET Start.... when they Admit that Earnings overall has been cut... And also BULL MARKET Rallys of 20% cant happen in 35-40 days..
#JustAsking How Come NONE of the BULLS are speaking about the INR rallying back to Rs75/$ ?

How about I lose 10% on the INR and Gain 15% on the market ? #JustSaying
So here is something interesting by @MichaelJBurry__ on Bear Market Rally’s… Image
we've seen some impressive counter trend rallies in the past that failed … Image
According to GS Prime, this rally has now become the 3rd biggest hedge fund short covering event in the last decade. Image

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More from @TheFactFindr

Jul 4
FACT CHECKING INDIAN ARMY …. On the #AgniveerScheme #Agnipath #Agniveers

A THREAD 🧵
Quoting INDIAN ARMY @adgpi …. “Of the total amount due, family of Agniveer Ajay has already been paid Rs 98.39 lakhs”

INDIAN ARMY is making it sound that they paid 98.39 lakhs

TRUTH IS this 98.39 lakhs has been paid via 2 Insurance Policies (Self Sponsored & State Govt)
Let’s Check the Facts …. GOVT till date has ONLY paid Rs39,000 … Rest is all INSURANCE Image
Read 6 tweets
Apr 2
#BREAKING !! #Internal Opinion Polls of #BJPee

#ModiKiGuarantee is that @BJP4India is loosing #Election2024

Multiple intelligence agencies did surveys on behalf of the BJP govt.

The results are:
1. BJP is estimated to win 190-220 seats ✅

12 other key take always below Image
2. Modi's image is not the marketing USP anymore. ✅
3. Ram Mandir is not a selling point anymore. ✅
Read 14 tweets
Mar 25
People are asking WHY DID #INR to fall so sharply on FRIDAY to 83.64/USD?

A quick 🧵 explaining why …#RBI Image
Who BENEFITS most when INR Depreciates?

✅It’s Financial Year end and @RBI has PROFIT targets & DIVIDEND targets of 120,000 Crores to pay Govt of India

✅ when INR Depreciates (#USDINR Rises), @RBI makes profits since it’s ASSETS are USD BONDS/GOLD & it’s LIABILITIES is INR
✅ When #INR depreciates (#USDINR rises), EXPORTS become competitive and IMPORTS become cheaper

✅ When #INR Depreciates, The BIGGEST component of GST (IGST of GST) grows faster since IGST is levied on IMPORTS, Basic & Intermediate Raw Materials, Inventory
Read 12 tweets
Oct 1, 2023
#NRI #Remittances will not only #COLLAPSE but they could reverse

A quick thread with implications for the #INR Image
#NRI #Remittances will not only collapse but they could reverse as outflows unless the DEPOSIT Rates offered by Indian Banks to NRIs are at-least 6-7% $ Rates
Today the US Rates are
1) 4.7% on the US 10yr
2) Investment Grade US bonds offer $6.5%
3) MBS Securities offer $7% at-least
4) US High Yield Bonds are offering $8-9% pa

Compared to that FCNR deposits are at just 5.5-5.8%
Read 7 tweets
May 29, 2023
#Genius #MasterStroke 81,000 Cr LOSS/yr

CANNOT MAKE THIS SHIT UP!

Govt Introduces a #POLICY estm to SAVE Rs 36,000 Cr/Yr in #Forex

BUT To SAVE Rs 36000 Crore, the Govt & Indian Public are SPENDING 300% or 117000 Crores more 😳

= 81,000 Cr LOSS/yr

#Thread on A #MasterStroke
#Modinomics decided in 2020/21 to Introduce the 20% #Ethanol Blending (Petrol) Policy.

Intention of the Policy designed by the @NITIAyog was to save India Rs36,000 in FOREX & help the Environment

Link to the document niti.gov.in/sites/default/… Image
BUT AT WHAT COST ?

FIRST: Every litre of Ethanol, Govt India will lose Rs15-20 in Tax Collections since:
👉Cost of Procuring PETROL is Rs45/lt
👉Cost of Procurement of ETHANOL is Rs65/Lt

👉Difference is Rs20/lt is LOSS IN TAX REVENUE

1020cr Ethanol = 20400cr in Tax Losses/Yr ImageImage
Read 21 tweets
May 28, 2023
#SHOCKING #CRICKET

@BCCI is the #WORLDS #RICHEST CRICKET board (Valuation: Rs16500cr, Income: Rs3900cr)

Has NOT PUBLISHED its #ANNUAL #REPORT post FY17.

BUT that is NOT the Shocking Part, Read the #Thread

#CRICKET is a #RELIGION in India & #TRANSPARENCY should be Foremost Image
As per the FY17 Annual Report, @BCCI paid an INTEREST Cost of Rs115 Cr (400% YoY) while it’s INTEREST Income of Rs171 Cr (Fell 2% YoY).

BUT WHY were they paying 171Cr of Interest Costs when they had a CASH BALANCE of 3770 Cr (3560 Cr in FY16) ? ImageImage
Read 4 tweets

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