LBMA #silver inventories dropped another 3.6% last month!

The #silverdrain continues!

And remember, a significant portion of this is allocated to ETFs like $SLV

LBMA: "These figures provide insight to LBMA's ability to underpin the physical OTC market"

That ability is falling Image
Also always fun to point out that 6 years after the @lbmaexecutive said they would start posting #platinum inventory data there's still nothing

They said it would begin "soon"

Why is that?

#platinumsqueeze would happen, that's why
the other thing to note is that COMEX inventories are falling at the same time.

Thus, unlike the drop in 2020 where LBMA silver flows went to backstop the COMEX vaults, both are experiencing simultaneous drains as silver is consumed by demand in excess of supply

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More from @ThHappyHawaiian

Sep 6
Call me crazy,

But European nations bailing out most of their industrial sector is smart policy

Idle the most energy intensive and subsidize the rest for this winter along with households

Their currencies would fall much more if their entire economies imploded
They need something to export as the dust settles otherwise it’s just all downhill

By using debt they spread the cost of this crisis over many years

In exchange they face higher inflation now

It’s the tradeoff I expect the US to participate in eventually as well
The BEST policy is not being dumbasses with energy over the last decade

But you can’t change the past

So this is the best shit sandwich they have to eat right now

Would like to see more energy friendly policy passed to help the medium term too, but I’m not overly hopeful there
Read 4 tweets
Aug 11
I said I'd start doing this, and I'm still only on twitter and reddit, so here is as good of place as any

Just finished a rebalance exercise so it's a good time to add it all up

Current approximate allocation in my portfolios (including my self managed 401k):
#Silver (PSLV + Physical) 16.4%
#Platinum (PPLT + Physical) 14.5%
$LTPZ 14.4%
$SILJ 13.9%
$PICK 8.5%
$URNM 8.1%
$USO 6.9%
$GDXJ 4.7%
$CENX Jan Calls 2.4%
$SII Feb Calls 1.8%
$ANGPY 1.4%
$IMPUY 1.4%
$PLG 1.4%
$RJZ 1.4%
$LAND 1.4%
#Gold (PHYS + Physical) 0.7%
Cash/Other 0.8%
Since the beginning of the year I've been expanding into many commodities and inflation plays and have been periodically rebalancing my weights based on market moves

This is probably a bit more diversified than some may have thought, also why I thought I should start sharing
Read 4 tweets
Jul 11
I'm overdue on updating the fed pivot indicator, and frankly it's showing we have arrived already

We are at the point where the fed would usually halt rate hikes and begin easing again

As they gear up for 75bp in a couple weeks, they would be knowingly blowing up the system
This chart is essentially proxy for the acceleration rate of interest expense for the US government, and has been a reliable indicator of fed pivot for 30+ years as the fed has ensured the US doesn't enter a debt death spiral
what is a debt death spiral? It's an increasingly large debt load, with ongoing deficit, that only gets exponentially larger as interest expense increases

The treasury has to issue more bills/notes/bonds to fund interest which drives up supply and can overwhelm demand
Read 11 tweets
Jul 10
Do you agree with my TV show ratings?

For me a 7.0 is considered good/decent

A 10 is a masterpiece
continued to the 8s
Read 4 tweets
Jun 24
Revisiting SMOEC, and updating some of the old excel charts for you guys

I've since begun tracking SMOEC (SIlver - MOney - EConomy) in trading view because its automated and easier, but there's some fun things in the excel charts also

1st, here's the Money Supply to GDP ratio:
As you can see it's been pretty flat, and has technically been flat since April 2020

Why use nominal GDP? I made SMOEC as a way to measure silver valuation levels without touching CPI at all, given the changes over the years to how it's measured. So Real GDP is a no go for me
The next step is to divide the silver price by said ratio and then you have what I call 'SMOEC' ("smoke")

I do think there is some subjectivity on how you draw the long term support line, so I've drawn both of my interpretations here
Read 11 tweets
Jun 24
Ok so @GlobalProTrader blocked me because I disagreed with his tweet a month ago that the 30yr yield had broken out

Didn't say anything offensive at all

How do so many on #fintwit get such large followings when they act like this? ImageImageImage
Honestly let me know if there was something other than this, if there is I can't find it, but I'm open minded if I offended somehow @GlobalProTrader

it appears he deleted his tweet after I posted my chart though
@INArteCarloDoss another one for you
Read 6 tweets

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