Here is a twist, I am getting the "@K_G_Andersen treatment". 😂😂
Stick around, it is a teaching lesson.
#Lableak trolls just realized that I thought a leak plausible when I entered the discussion right after the Nicholas Wade Op-ed, and think that is a 'gotcha'
1/
I have often proclaimed that I came late to the discussion, and also, that I was initially favoring #lableak, just based on my personal experience with how quickly lab accidents might happen.
When the Wade Op-ed hit, I thought well, respectable outlet, maybe its true? 2/
It certainly felt intuitive.
But here comes the lesson:
I did not want to leave it to my #intuition, I wanted to know the #truth.
Very soon (~2 weeks) after, I realized that the scientific #evidence tells a very different story, even at a time when uncertainty was higher. 3/
Having been a bit annoyed at myself how easily I fell to the shoddy manipulative Nicholas Wade article, I decided to collect my thoughts and write a debunk #scicomm article. 🔽
In that, I addressed Wade's main arguments, all of which were garbage.
My blog article was published in June 21, mere weeks after the Wade article came out.
I guess my little #origin story (😅) shows that even a trained scientist can be fooled by intuition and #misplaced trust.
More importantly, however, it should show that once scientific 5/
evidence becomes available (or one is made aware of it), that we ought to #change our mind with the evidence.
It should also show that this can happy very #quickly, in my case, a few weeks
Now let's return to our dear #lableak proponents, who, after spending years commenting
6/
still have not managed to look at the #evidence (which has become overwhelming in ruling out all #lableak scenarios)
They are perpetually stuck in #talking points from early 2020, desperate to the sad point of quote mining me a few hours ago to feed their #confirmation bias
7/
Not realizing that they actually just achieved the opposite, confirming my #authenticity in the endeavor while exposing their ineptitude. 😂
I hope they will use this little thread as #inspiration to look at the evidence, and maybe find it in themselves to go with it too.
8/
Again, it is not bad to change one's mind when the #evidence demands it, it is laudable. Everybody should do it.
There is no #shame in changing one's mind, the wonderful thing about having a belief disproven by science is that it #freed us of a bad idea.
That's it.
/end
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This chapter dives into the ecological and molecular details underlying the natural origin of SARS-CoV-2.
It explains the extraordinary biology of bats, their unique immune systems, and their role as reservoirs for diverse coronaviruses, emphasizing the complex ...
... social structures and behaviors of bat species that facilitate viral recombination.
It describes how mosaic genomes like SARS-CoV-2’s could only have emerged through natural evolutionary processes within diverse bat populations and intermediate hosts.
2/4
The chapter stresses that no laboratory could have artificially created the complex genome of SARS-CoV-2 given current scientific capabilities
Ignoring real natural risks while focusing on evidence-free lab leak theories distracts from necessary pandemic prevention efforts
I gave a long interview to @BenjaminMateus7 about my book Lab Leak Fever and the politics surrounding the lab leak controversy.
Benjamin did a great job editing for conciseness and prompting some pretty deep questions
Some highlights in thread ⬇️
1/
"My account doesn’t rely on unverifiable Chinese sources. That independence is important politically, since both China & US have advanced self-serving narratives
From my vantage point in Switzerland, I aimed to cut through this geopolitical tug-of-war and focus on the evidence."
"My guiding principle has been clear: “To all defenders of an evidence-based worldview”—the dedication in my book.
Evidence, not speculation, not deference to elites, not blind trust in science, but reasoned, evidence-based inquiry."
The anti-vaccine movement became a juggernaut during COVID-19 by exploiting people's anxieties & profiting from their fears
Because emotional manipulation is politically valuable, republicans soon merged with the ideology
Unfortunately, that caused over 200k Americans to die
2/
... just during the delta wave alone.
Given estimates of 1,4 million excess deaths since 2020, half of it after vaccines became available, the odds are that vaccine-preventable death toll was even higher.
A huge political liability for Republicans if voters woke up to that.
3/
I don't know, but I feel like the cool kids don't get sucked into magical worldviews and waste their time live-action roleplaying as "investigators" in trite conspiracy myths.
Which makes all of those in the media who fall for them, over and over again, kinda embarassing?
There is no version of the lab leak idea that does not assume conspiratorial elements, given the evidence we have today.
There is no lab leak "theory" in the first place, just innuendo and magical thinking with mutual contradictory ideas that can not explain available evidence
Given the overwhelming evidence for a zoonotic origin, the scientific case is long clear.
What remains of the lab leak is a zombie idea, a myth kept alive by, sorry to say, mostly science deniers, activists, media manipulators and too many suckers that keep amplifying it.
During the election season, discourse manipulators and influence campaigns work overtime to mislead citizens about scientific topics.
Here are 18 common tactics explained, why it works, and why you should guard yourself against it.
A 🧵
1/
First up are the merchants of doubt
They use an array of manipulation techniques to denounce experts with various smear tactics, deny a scientific consensus exists, and deceive the public with irrelevant stories.
They distort scientific arguments by turning them into partisan fights, discredit proponents of an evidence-based worldview & dismiss the scientific method with appeals to intuition
Conspiracy theorists are shocked to learn that a science blogger writing about the bat origins of SARS-CoV-2 visits field sampling expeditions to interview bat researchers 😅
Good journalistic practice must be a nefarious plot 🤣
A niche 🧵 about conspiratorial ideation
1/
Yesterday, I posted the above fotos to explain that my writing is based on expert interviews, personal research experience, scientific analysis and of course legwork.
Conspiracy theorists have claimed since 2022 that I must be a "paid" shill; from China, Biden, Fauci or EHA
2/
For them, the idea that somebody could keep speaking up for science and scientists because he believes it is the right thing (& despite their hardest efforts to bully me out of the conversation with harassments), is unthinkable.