Ted Darling Profile picture
Sep 9 11 tweets 3 min read
Hello Friday and the week to date!

$TNX +3.1%
$TLT -1.95%
$HYG +1.6%

$SPX +2.1%
$SSEC +2.3%
$NIKK +2.05%
$DAX -1.1%

$USD +0.18%
$GOLD -0.17%

$WITC -3.85%
$NATGAS -9.9%
$COPPER +3.5$
#Bitcoin -3.2%

Let's dig into the 🧮 and the risk that is on!
With the USD ↘️ hard, Asia closed ↗️

$NIKK 28215 +0.55%
$SSEC 3262 +0.8%
$TWII 14583 +1.2%
$HSI 19380 +2.8% ⬅️
$KOSPI 2384 +0.35%
$IDX 7243 +0.15%

Australia ↗️
$ASX 694 +0.65%

India ↔️
$BSE 59722 +0.05%
Buyers are out in force in Europe ↗️

$DAX 13110 +1.6%
$FTSE 7367 +1.45%
$CAC 6219 +1.5%
$AEX 685 +1.6%
$IBEX 8045 +1.6%
$MIB 22089 +1.9%
$SMI 1083 +0.85%
$MOEX 2402 +0.5%

$VSTOXX 24.97 🔻🛗

$DAX range = 12437 - 13182 🐻 🩳
🇺🇸 futures ↗️

$ES 4037 +0.75%
$NQ 12441 +0.95%
$RTY 12442 +1.0%

$VIX 23.17 🔻🪓🪣

$SPX range = 3845 - 4115 ♉️
$VIX range = 21.48 - 28.33 🐻
GOLD and metals ripping ↗️

$GOLD 1740 +1.1%
$SILVER 18.837 +2.15%
$COPPER 3.62 +2.7% ⬅️
$PLAT 881 +1.65%
$PALL 2147 unch
$ALI 2308 +1.4%
$ZINC 3208 +1.75%

$GVZ 16.40 🔻

$GOLD range = 1695 - 1756 🐻
$COPPER range = 3.4 - 3.78 🐻
Under pressure all week, hydrocarbons ↗️

$WTIC 84.75 +1.45%
$BRENT 90.55 +1.55%
$GASO 2.381 +1.5%
$NATGAS 8.079 +2.1%

$OVX 51.29 🔻🛗

$WTIC range = 79.19 - 97.5 🐻
$NATGAS range = 7.32 - 9.96 🐻
Grains also trading ↗️

$WHEAT 839 +1.2%
$CORN 673 +0.7%
$SOYB 1399 +0.95%
$SUGAR 17.98 +0.4%

$COFEE 226 +1.2% ☕️

$DBA range = 19.98 - 20.90 🐻
Behind all the #riskon, $USD ↘️↘️

$EUR 1.01 +1.08%
$GBP 1.64 +1.18%
$AUD 0.6873 +1.8%
$USD 108.448 -1.15% ⬅️
$USDJPY 142.13 -1.36%
$USDCHF 0.957 -1.4%
$USDCAD 1.2994 -0.74%
$USDRUB 60.53 -0.32% 🪆

$USD range = 108.19 - 111.10 ♉️
UST yields ↔️
10/2s to -20 BPS

MOVE 124.14 🔻🛗

$TNX range = 3.05 - 3.37 ♉️
$TLT range = 106.22 - 112.24 🐻

Global 10Ys
UST 3.291 -0.001
GILT 3.104 -0.043
BUND 1.751 +0.039
ITA 4.052 +0.072 ⬅️
JGB 0.246 -0.002
AUS 3.582 -0.014
CAD 3.195 +0.052
#cryptocurrencies 🚀

$BTC 20776 +7.6%
$ETH 1709 +4.45%

#Bitcoin range = 18463 - 22022 🐻
Risk-reward setups all week have favored a rally in risk assets and a sale of the $USD.

Today, you have your first opportunity of the week to 🩳 $DAX and buy back some of the $UUP you sold all week.

Behold the reign of C3, have a super profitable 💰 day, and a GREAT weekend 😎

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More from @tdarling1

Sep 11
🐻♉️↗️↘️↔️⚠️🚩🔺🔻🧮 💰

Global Macro Review
September 12, 2022

1/10

Comping against the June lows, equities, yields, and #bitcoin ripped ↗️ as the USD and vol 🌊 ↘️ even as a litany of #FedHeads reaffirmed more 👊🥣 removal

Let’s dig into the 🧮!
2/10

The $USD 🎳 paused while ECB, BOC, RBA hiked 75 BPS

$FXY -1.7% (w) -6.0% (T)
$UUP -0.65% (w), +4.9% (T)
$FXA +0.6% (w), -3.0% (T)
$FXE +0.91% (w), -4.75% (T)
$FXC +1.04% (w), -1.9% (T)
$FXF +2.14% (w), +2.6% (T)

Chart: capitulatory selling in $FXY 💴 Image
3a/10

Treasury bond ETFs were 🪓 as the $UST10Y +9.8 BPS to 3.3.15%

10/2s to -24.8 BPS

MOVE 121.54 🛗

$TLT -1.75% (w), -4.8% (T)
$TIP -1.05% (w), -5.05% (T)
$IEF -0.85% (w), -1.05% (T)

Chart: $TLT oversold and exploring a double bottom Image
Read 12 tweets
Sep 5
🐻♉️↗️↘️↔️⚠️🚩🔺🔻🧮 💰

Global Macro Review
September 5, 2022

Hello Labor Day 🇺🇸!
Other than the $USD, very little that was in the green long side last week. This morning, commodities are bouncing but equities ↘️

Let’s review the week and the real-time 🧮!

🧵
Asia 🪓🩸 last week with $HSI -3.55%, $NIKK -3.45%, and $KOSPI -2.9%.

Today ↔️
$NIKK 27620 -0.1%
$SSEC 3200 +0.4%
$TWII 14661 -0.1%
$HSI 2404 -0.25%
$IDX 7232 +0.75%

$ASX 6852 +0.35%

$BSE 59209 +0.7%

Chart: $NIKK flipped to neutral Trend (T) -0.4% over the past 3 months
Unambiguously 🪓🩸 ↘️ this morning, Europe was ↔️ last week with $DAX + 0.44% and $CAC -1.7%

$DAX 12640 -3.15%
$FTSE 7200 -1.1%
$CAC 6031 -2.2%
$AEX 666 -1.9%
$IDEX 7778 -1.95%
$MIB 21327 -2.7%
$SMI 10704 -1.7%
$MOEX 2457 -0.6%

$VSTOXX 28.96 🔺

Chart: $DAX bye higher low 💣
Read 11 tweets
Aug 30
Hello Turnaround Tuesday!

This equity market keeps giving you opportunities to reduce exposure long side and to add 🩳

Kashkari be damned!

Let's dig into the 🧮!
Asia is the mirror image of yesterday 🪞
🇯🇵↗️ 🇨🇳 ↘️

$NIKK 28196 +1.15%
$SSEC 3227 -0.4%
$TWII 14954 +0.2%
$HSI 19910 -0.55%
$KOSPI 2451 +1.0%
$IDX 7159 +0.4%

Australia ↗️
$ASX 6998 +0.45%

India ↗️
$BSE 59150 +2.05% ⬅️ ♉️
Europe ↗️ at the open

$DAX 13080 +1.45%
$FTSE 7465 +0.5%
$CAC 6390 +1.1%
$AEX 706 +1.15%
$IBEX 8071 +1.0%
$MIB 22112 +1.25%
$SMI 10976 +0.75%
$MOEX 2310 +0.6% 🪆

$VSTOXX 27.22 🔻

$DAX range = 12679 - 13503 🐻
Read 11 tweets
Aug 29
Hello Monday and the resumption of primary trend!

$USD ↗️
$TNX ↗️
$WTIC ↗️
$ES ↘️
$GOLD ↘️
#Bitcoin ↘️

Let's dig into the 🧮!
Asia, ex-China, ↘️ ↘️

$NIKK 27879 -2.65%
$SSEC 3241 +0.15% ⬅️
$TWII 14926 -2.3%
$HSI 2427 -2.2%
$KOSPI 2427 -2.2%
$IDX 7108 -0.4%

Australia ↘️
$ASX 6955 -1.95%

India ↘️
$BSE 58047 -1.35%
Europe ↘️ at the open

$DAX 12803 -1.3%
$FTSE 7427 -0.7%
$CAC 6192 -1.3%
$AEX 696 -1.3%
$IBEX 7964 -1.25%
$MIB 21691 -0.95%
$SMI 10913 -0.25%
$MOEX 2290 +0.95% ⬅️🪆

$VSTOXX 28.87 🔺

$DAX range = 12758 - 13533 🐻
Read 11 tweets
Aug 28
🐻♉️↗️↘️↔️⚠️🚩🔺🔻🧮 💰

1/7 🧵

Global Macro Review 08/28/2022

What a difference a week and an 8-minute JH speech make.

Trend indicators green into #OPEX, only to have JPOW reiterate, "Our responsibility to deliver price stability is unconditional.”

Let’s dig into the 🧮!
2/7

Having retraced 50-60% off their lows, US equities ↘️ hard on Powell’s speech

$SPX -4.05% (w) -2.4% (T)
$COMP -4.45% (w) +0.1% (T)
$IWM -2.9% (w) 0.7% (T)

Chart: $COMPQ failed to retrace 50% before ↘️ Image
2a/7

Equity vol ↗️ and firmly in the 🪓🪣

$VIX 25.56 +4.96 pts
$VXN 31.72 +4.98 pts
$RVX 30.48 +5.14 pts
$VSTOXX +2.08 pts
$VXEEM 21.28 +1.85 pts

Chart: $VIX back > 25 Image
Read 19 tweets
Aug 21
🐻♉️↗️↘️↔️⚠️🚩🔺🔻🧮 💰

1/9 🧵

Global Macro Review 08/21/2022

$UUP 🚀
$VIX ↗️
$TLT ↘️
$GLD ↘️
$EFA ↘️
$BNO ↘️
$DBA ↘️

An aberration? or a resumption of primary Trend = (T)

Let’s dig into the 🧮!
2/9

🤴🏽 💵 aka the wrecking 🎳

$UUP +2.4% (w) +5.05% (T)
$FXF -1.75% (w) +1.45% (T)
$FXC -1.8% (w) -1.25% (T)
$FXE -2.2% (w) -5.15% (T)
$FXB -2.55% (w) -5.3% (T)
$FXY -2.5% (w) -6.7% (T)
$FXA -3.44% (w) -2.25% (T)

Chart: $USD with room to run
2a/9

$EURUSD back to parity
Read 17 tweets

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