Look, I get why @elonmusk stepped in it and why he decided to follow @Pontifex onto the road to appeasement. We live in scary times and human nature is to find some place to hole up when danger looms, physically, mentally, spiritually we look for a way to escape the Angel of
Death's gimlet eye. I've got kids and grandkids too so I get the fear of nuclear war. Reports like this raises all sorts of hairs on the back of my neck. I don't know if the photo was a real, "hey looky here" indicating #Putin is serious about #nuclear
release or more, "I said hey looky here" suggesting a staged propaganda bit. Unlike some I don't think Russia's nuclear forces are anywhere near the level of corruption and shit sandwich of the regular army. I think they are probably tip top like their space program. They get
first dibs on the budget and the pick of the litter of personnel so I think they are a legit threat to global populations. So I get it, the difference between me and Elon is that I also know we don't have a choice. Even if we could get #Ukraine to stop (I doubt it), the stop to
aggression would only be a pause not a peace. The only way to get too a peace is too arm Ukraine to liberate all her lands. Systems like #HIMARS made right here in #Arkansas. Sent by people willing to stand up to aggression and say NO.
People like @JohnBoozman, @SenTomCotton, and @RepFrenchHill are doing my state proud. We are seeing the results of this support on the battlefield. I predicted Ukraine would pursue a bite and hold strategy that looked more like Cambrai or the first wave of the Ludendorff
Offensive than it would resemble Cobra or Barbarossa. So far I have been right. While the bites have sometimes been really big bites we have not seen the deep operations by tank forces rolling up the enemy's rear. The Ukrainians have been masterful in how they have used the army
they have to make those bites. The chomping continues apace. In the East they may have cut the highway linking Svatora and Kreminna as they push from the Kharkiv Oblast into the Luhansk Oblast. In the South the Russian hopes of making a stand at Dudcheny
evaporated like water in the desert and there is another cauldron battle developing there. This drumbeat of nuclear war is a direct result of Putin not being able to hold on to what he stole. I pointed ut yesterday that Putin is threatening to do in a single moment what has taken
months to do unless we give him more months to do it all over again. There is no real choice there. The #GenocideOfUkrainians must be stopped but now its not just about Ukraine. With the nuclear threats the question now becomes how many Americans or Europeans are worth losing to
stop Putin. Putin is claiming he is all in and is betting all the Russians and is betting we won't say all of us too. Thats a really scary place to be, but despite what Kleptograd's apologists like @mtracey, @Ksorbs and @KimDotcom claim, it is not the US or NATO who put us here.
The invasion and everything stemming from it including those 4 creepy guys on horses are Putin's sins too own. So yeah, Elon your life may well be forfeit if this shit goes mushroom shaped, but that doesn't mean we abandon Ukraine. That only makes nuclear release more likely
it shows that nuclear blackmail works and the more something works the harder it is too kick the habit. We (colelctive all of us) have too stand firm now or never. You really should join #NAFO so you can get better information, maybe come on to @MriyaReport at least as a listener
if not a guest. I won't ask you to make any penance donations to charities like @MriyaAid, @U24_gov_ua or @UkraineAidOps, unlike some I remember how critical your #starlinks were too helping the defenders of #azovstal
stop the Russian's cold and in so doing paid Ukraine's down payment on her future as a free peoples in a free land. That contribution is worthy of praise, I get it you are scared and messed up. Now own up and tell @Pontifex to stop siding with the devil. Until Ukraine wins on
Ukraine's terms: Slava Ukraini! #RussiaIsATerroristState #UkraineWillWin #ukrainecounteroffensive @mfa_russia <--- still losing and I can't wait for the post war trials and tribunals.
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More from @JBelcourt73

Oct 5
Part 2: Near and Longer Term Ukrainian Armor needs. To start some caveats. 1. I don't know the average bridge loading of Ukrainian bridges, 2. how many (if any) class 70 AVLB and bailey bridges they have 3. the maximum width of track vehicles on Ukranian trains. 4. Ukraine
uses the 4 tank platoon doctrinally. 5. Ukraine may have lost as many as half its pre-war tank fleet of mostly T-64BV tanks. 6. The main combat formation is the brigade. With all that said let's dig in. I think its obvious that I think that the big western MBT's are superior for
a number of reasons from crew efficiency, to sensing and FCS but also gun power. One of the big oft overlooked draw backs of the T series tanks is two piece ammo. This limits the overall L/D ratio of the sabots and this impacts performance. NATO APFSDS penetrators extend down
Read 24 tweets
Oct 5
Lets talk tanks Part 1. West vs East. The T90m is the ultimate evolution of the lessons of WWII that lead to the development of the T-44. When the T-44 got the 100mm gun it was renamed T-54 that lead to the T-62 but the Khrushchev said the Red Army's manning costs were too high
so the T-64 was created. It originally had the same 115mm gun. But then material costs were too high so we got the T-72... Then Iraq and the T-72 was rebranded the T-90. All evolutions of a tank prototyped in 1943. This design lineage has always stressed good frontal protection
low profile and a big gun. It was successful in many ways. At the end of WWII the USSR had a massive fleet of heavy tanks that could smash just about anything they could see. Yet with the introduction of the T-54 they began to be replaced and moved to reserve units because the
Read 18 tweets
Oct 3
Now the focus swings back to Kherson as the one two, three punch combos by Ukraine keep landing on soft parts in the Russian line. For those asking how does this keep happenings (mainly tankies and vatniks) here is a quick lesson on probable reasons. First the Russian Army isn't
big enough to do everything it wanted to do back in Feb. Early war losses in men and equipment meant even with the "goodwill gestures" around Kyiv what was left was still not big enough to do everything it still wanted to do. Especially since so much was tied down trying to
dig the Azovstal defenders out of their fortress. Big plans need with small armies require small enemies, focus, speed, violence of action and competence. Russia had none of these so each set back left them weaker. Each setback and repulsed shot left them less able to make
Read 21 tweets
Oct 2
Lyman is liberated, and many of the Russian's there are no longer combatants as they are now dead, wounded or captured. This loss is going to add even more pressure to the Russian need to get bodies to the front. It seems unlikely that fear of bad reports and the constant
drumbeat of send more men now and endemic corruption will permit Russia to actually train the mobilized soldiers. The troops answering the call (vs the men fleeing to foreign shores) are basically going to be untrained militia fighters. Losses are going to skyrocket. We may be
about to enter/ have entered a feed back loop. Where Russian mothers who have lost sons, and other mothers who have sent their sons into exile become too big of a political problem to ignore. Putin has already had to address the screw ups, but now the Czar will be shown to have
Read 12 tweets
Oct 1
The Ukrainian drive to liberate her people and her lands continues unabated. Putin's illegal annexation and the speech that translates a declaration of war against the world be dammed. In fact, part of Ukraine's efforts were a deliberate counter-troll by Zelensky with the
announcement that Ukraine would seek fast track approval to join NATO. This puts a serious a kink in Russia's plans to escalate to de-escalate in order to achieve a frozen conflict that Putin can spin into some semblance of victory. Now he has to worry that Ukraine has its own
umbrella because the West did not back down. It puts him in a box that a prideful man will have a hard time escaping. Sunken costs fallacies are a bitch when you are trapped in them. The smart move is to take the loss, but he can't. He might be willing to burn the world over it,
Read 18 tweets
Sep 30
So in todays awesome sauce news roundup. I have two things to report, one is local-ish awesome sauce the other is spicy awesome sauce. First the local.
This local news report and the follow on comments on twitter show at least 3 other Arkansans who are #Fellas other than me. That warms my heart and adds weight to my daily reminders to @JohnBoozman, @SenTomCotton, and @RepFrenchHill that #NAFO
is alive and well in the Natural State: WPS! It's also a message to people like @lavern_spicer that we vote for Ukraine, not against it. America has a moral duty to oppose fascism and genocide, its a promise our grandparents made to the World when we fought Hitler and Tojo.
Read 12 tweets

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