Short 🧵 On Persistence of #Ebola - Patient infective over 500 days & spreads infection by Sex- So with the risk of spill over we may see repeated outbreaks. In 2016, Guinea had recorded 3 probable, 7 confirmed cases, of which 6 were admitted at an Ebola treatment unit ctd)
2/n 4 patients died in the community ,4 patients in the ETU.Fatality ratio among probable & confirmed cases in this cluster in Guinea was 80% (8/10).They were closely related to viruses from the 2014–2016 outbreak, ruling out a new introduction from an animal reservoir ctd)
3/n Epi investigation revealed that case 1 had sexual intercourse with a male #Ebola survivor who reported sexual abstinence after discharge from Nov 2014 -August 2015 as recommended. From Sep 2015, he had occasional intercourse with various partners, including case 1 ctd)
4/n HIV-1/2 was negative. The PCR and sequencing data strongly suggest that EBOV persisted in the survivor from 26 October 2014 (date of onset) to 9 April 2016 (last EBOV RNA–positive semen sample)—that is 504 days .Ctd)
5/n the sample had just 5 novel mutations in the 504 days which was roughly 6 times slower than the average evolutionary rate seen during human-to-human transmission in that outbreak .EBOV persistence in seminal fluid is a known phenomenon ctd)
6/n The reduced evolutionary rate of the virus during persistence is plausible, given presumed low level of replication in immune-privileged sites such as the testes in the absence of detectable viremia. So add #Ebola to #Covid , #HIV, #monkeypox & Epstein Barr Virus list ctd)
7/n All of these viruses and so many others are coexisting in a particular geographic region with poor health care delivery and poor vaccination rates .With global travel we are sitting on a gun powder keg ready to explode HOWEVER we aren't paying attention.🤦‍♂️😢
For the reference
doi: 10.1093/cid/ciw601

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More from @Rpshahmemorial1

Oct 9
Short 🧵 on why some people are showing resistance to acceptance of risk of #Covid. This is a thread not on those who have fallen to misinformation BUT on those who initially took good care, till the vaccines came through - Suddenly become extremely careless & don't mask ctd)
2/n When the pandemic started a physician with army background told me - You know when do maximum casualties take place usually and went to explain & I quote" the maximum casualties dont happen during the 1st 2-3 days when the armies face each other - both sides dig into - ctd
3/n their own bunkers or hide from shelling - The moment they find they are being targeted they jump from one place to another or scurry for cover.After 10 days weariness comes in & with it comes false sense of security or overconfidence in your gear - Ctd)
Read 6 tweets
Oct 2
Short🧵Why I think #Covid can cause existential consequences for Human Race ?? For any species to continue it has to procreate,that depends on fertility of both men & women.We started getting edgy couple of months ago.Here's the original ctd
Ctd2) Then we found more correlation, the infection was really causing changes in hormone levels ctd)
Ctd3) We know that the number of ova in a woman is fixed at birth.The body doesn't produce more ova.Only a fixed number mature rest die off , maturation needs hormones & lots of other factors. If either hormones or reservoir is reduced #risk ctd)
my.clevelandclinic.org/health/article….
Read 7 tweets
Oct 2
Small 🧵on how repeated infections are causing mayhem - I treat kids who have #clubfeet , the kids have to be plastered every week and finally a small incision has to be made I prefer sedation ( sleep) because it allows me to do the small incision without the kid fighting me ctd)
2/n The reason why I called my friend the Pediatrician in the first place in the tweet below was that kids have to have a clear 6 weeks "No Chest Infection "history ,for us to take them to Operation Theater & do the surgery & I wasnt finding that zone ctd
3/n I have had kids get ok enough at around 6 weeks for me to plan a surgery , repeat the relevant investigation ONLY to find the kid getting sick with upper respiratory tract infections before the proposes date. It is difficult to get kids into Operation theater ctd)
Read 5 tweets
Oct 1
Short 🧵 My pediatrician batchmate always called me a little over concerned about #Covid effects in kids .Normally he picks up my phone in 1st ring BUT today he didn't. He called a couple of hours later apologizing for the inability - He said & I quote "I really dont know - Ctd)
Ctd1) " what is happening anymore - I am getting kids having infection & fever every 15- 20 days. Havent seen this ever in my life. They don't respond to antibiotics.All basic investigations okay. Looks like a viral infection.Kids get okay BUT the parents are very tensed ctd)
Ctd) " Constant / repeated fever means kids can't to school .Mothers have to miss work. All in school going kids. I have started telling parents I don't know what is happening anymore. I think you were right in saying that Covid is causing something to the immunity of kids. Ctd
Read 4 tweets
Oct 1
First doctor falls to #Ebola Dr. Mohammed Ali, a Tanzanian national, 37-year-old Male,pursuing further studies in te country .He tested+ve on September 26 & died while receiving treatment at a hospital in Fort Portal, a town about 300 kilometres west of the capital Kampala.
Dr. Ali may be the 2nd health worker to have succumbed to Ebola. The first could be a midwife from St. Florence Clinic, a probable case because she died before testing,at the moment 5 more health workers are battling the disease including an anesthesiologist & a medical student.
The outbreak has also infected intern doctors and senior house officer (all trainees) who were stationed at the centre of the outbreak at Mubende Regional Referral Hospital, according to Uganda Medical Association (UMA).One more doctor is in precarious condition. Ctd)
Read 4 tweets
Jul 25
Small #monkeypox thread - detected in 10 of the 11 sewer systems that SCAN (Stanford’s Sewer Coronavirus Alert Network) tests, including Sacramento, Palo Alto & several other cities in California’s Bay Area. So we are going to see big outbreak in 2-3 weeks apparently.ctd)
2/n Bavarian Nordic can produce 30 million doses/ year and so far hasn’t turned down any orders from governments, considering night shifts & other tweaks would bring production above 30 million but in 3-4 weeks they will reach the tipping point - with the virus ripping ctd)
3/n this will throw couple of scenarios- 1) they would be forced to transfer tech which they dont want & is not east to do 2) countries may be forced to use old tech with higher incidence of myocarditis risk which will be difficult to get people to agree to use ctd)
Read 4 tweets

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