What is RSI indicator?
RSI is used on price to identify oversold and overbought market conditions. In relative terms, when RSI line touches the 30 line, price is said to be oversold. When RSI touches the 70 line, price is said to be overbought.
Problem of using RSI traditionally is that in heavily trending market #RSI can remain oversold and overbought for a considerably long duration. Consider example of #TATACHEM for example. If you keep selling because of RSI Oversold, you can continue to make losses.
So the proper way is to use RSI + Divergence.
What is RSI Divergence? When price is moving in opposite direction of the RSI.
1. Near 70, Price is making Higher Highs & RSI is making Lower Highs; or 2. Near 30, Price is making Lower Lows & RSI is making Higher Lows.
Consider #LICHSGFIN for example on 2HR time frame. Price made lower highs and RSI made higher lows which is a Buy Side Divergence. I was actually short at this level and made a loss on this trade. I got a timely exit as I spotted divergence recently.
Consider example of #TATACOMM on 1HR timeframe. Price made a higher high and RSI made lower high which is a sell side divergence.
Two type of Main RSI Divergence
Wide Divergence
Tight Divergence
Wide Divergence is when difference between Higher Lows or Lower Highs of Price are wide noticeable to naked eyes.
Tight Divergence is when we have to shift to Line Chart to observe a divergence,
Attached are examples of Wide & Tight Divergence.
Wide Divergence - Notice how wide Divergence on #BHARTIARTL is visible.
Tight Divergence - If you look at #Nifty Hourly chart, tight divergence is not visible. But when we change it to line chart, there is a tight divergence.
Here is live commentary on RSI Tight Divergence.
Now that we know what divergence on RSI is, we need to understand how to use it.
Best way to use divergence is at Support and Resistance(S&R) Levels. If you do not know how to identify S&R, I recommend you read the thread on understanding price action.
1. Identify the S&R level. 2. Identify the RSI Divergence. 3. Identify the Entry Signal using trend line. 4. Exit at a predetermined target or trailing SL of 20 EMA.
Divergence Inside Smaller Time Frame inside Bigger Time Frame.
Consider #TATAMOTORS on daily charts. From 12 Oct to 18 Nov, price is making double top. There is a slight divergence on Daily Charts but no entry.
Now look at the same chart on 1HR Chart. This is called divergence within divergence for further narrowing the entry.
RSI in conjunction with other indicators like MACD can be used to identify whether the trend breakout is genuine or can be a reversal.
In this method here I have used Trend Line for entry. Like any other system, trader must understand the importance of Risk Management & Position Sizing. One can use PSAR, Supertrend or EMA20 for trailing SL. It is a personal choice of trader for what works for them.
This was just a small effort from my side. If you have more examples of RSI Divergence, I request you to share here under comments in this thread itself.
Do share and retweet this thread if it helped you.
Do let me know what trading topic we should cover next in comments.
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Going forward, I am extremely cautious on BANKNIFTY.
I really was rooting for BANKNFITY to be bullish in coming days. Break of 39700 will take BANKNIFTY towards 37500 levels.
This is 1 Month Chart of BANKNIFTY. Break of 39700 (Support) will push prices further down.
On Daily Charts, we are standing at a support and gave a dead cat bounce. COI did not recede from this point but as you can see there has been continuous selling. At support, either this gives a bounce or indicative of incoming sell off.
MACD and ADX on Hourly Chart at support are getting sideways. Not bullish but just sideways.
Below 0 Line, MACD bullish is still a sideways market. ADX receding from 40-50 level below its EMA again a sideways sign.
At support, I will create positions will slight caution!
And yes, I am rightly worried. Its a neighbouring state.
This has been happening for past few months now. My immediate question was, what is the central government doing? I have no expectations from AAP. Or uprising of people of Punjab against such elements, as people themselves chose AAP. Many I talked with are regretting it now.
Today AAP might be the biggest threat to National Security. With Jammu and Kashmir stabilized, AAP might open a new frontier for Indian Government.
But no news media is showing this. Or Algorithms are not even picking it up. Why? Vested interest? But again back to question 1...
William's Alligator is probably the most underrated indicator in moving average category.
Alligator follows the premise that market is sideways for 70% of the time and trending only 30% of the time.
This is where William's Alligator can be a great tool for traders.
Why William's Alligator can be a great tool for traders?
It can identify Bullish, Bearish and Sideways market pretty easily. Problem is, traders don't know how to use it effectively. Alligator has three lines:
1. Lips - Fastest Line 2. Teeth 3. Jaws - Slowest Line
Book Interpretation is when Lips Crosses above Jaws, it's a buying opportunity and when below its a shorting opportunity. And when three lines are crisscrossing, instrument is sideways.
BUT this does not make it a tradeable indicator in practice. Here is what should be done.
I have no sympathies for #Scammers who were duping people with lakhs and crores of screenshots.
At first, I along with friends of mine were in awe of how they were generating this much return. For almost, 2 years I worked a lot and tried to break the code.
Do read and retweet.
A lot of ideas were worked upon on Amibroker may it be ITM Selling of Option, Option Doublers in 2 - 3 days, Intraday Option Buying, Future Holygrail and what not. In the process we were able to make Option Chain on Amibroker, calculate option greeks on Amibroker and what not.
But no definite system was built.
If we cracked up Option Buying or burst moves, it was difficult to ascertain position-sizing. For eg. position sizing average size, doesn't make the profit so lucrative. And if the position-size is big, loss could be 70% in 3 trades.
To understand options, three concepts are required: 1. Intrinsic / Extrinsic value 2. Time / Theta Decay 3. Implied Volatility
Option Value = Intrinsic + Extrinsic (Value)
Intrinsic Value - Value of Option if it were exercised today at CMP.
Extrinsic Value - Total Value of time in the option.
ATM and OTM options are 100% extrinsic value. ITM options have more intrinsic and less extrinsic value.
ITM Options: Intrinsic Value = Price of Underlying Asset -
Strike Price
For eg.
Nifty is at 11,416. 11400 CE of 29 Oct 2020 is at 224.40/-.
Intrinsic Value is = 11416-11400 = 16
Extrinsic Value is = 224.40-16 = 208.40.