Now into a second day of Russian strikes designed to cripple Ukraine's civilian population heading into winter. This is not revenge for the Kerch Strait bridge, this is state sponsored terrorism by a dictator who has failed to fill the shoes of his heroes like Hitler and Peter
The Great. He has now moved from Ukraine will be part of the Russian Empire again to if I can't have it no one can. He seeks to de-energize the entire country and also make the countries soviet era district heating system using centralized thermal plants inoperable. Its a slow
attempted murder attempt to kill as many people and depopulate a city much as a nuke would but without the mushroom clouds and fall out... Well there will be fall out he is trying to force Ukraine to move enmass. We are now watching one of the most important races in human
history. How fast can Ukraine get these thermal plants back online and protected from further strikes on one side and cold death on the other. The civilians who don't flee to Europe are the prize. He may also be trying to force NATO and the West to freeze the conflict. My thesis
is as follows: create so much outrage in Western nations over the barbarity that NATO intervenes and declares a no-fly zone effectively freezing the conflict where the lines are. He assuems NATO would force the Ukrainians to stop advancing and he could claim he would have won
but for NATO (which he is already claiming anyway) but, "hey look at least we got Melitipol and Kherson and a big honking NPP". If this is what he wants, then the West needs to use an asymmetric approach to its response to both arm Ukraine and safeguard her civilians. Here are
the options. They are not mutually exclusive 1. Do as we are sending arms but little else. Maybe with increased air defense systems. 2. Take over air defense duties at X distance from the front lines. Tell Russia to bring it if she wants too but not a no-fly zone. 3. Have well
known politicians and leading voice start talking publicly about the Laws of Armed Conflict (LOAC) in particular about distinction and proportionality how that relates to what is and is not a military target and why dams and thermal plants are protected sites but the Kerch bridge
wasn't but that if Russia is not going to follow the LOAC then Ukraine must be given the weapons to respond in kind (ATACMS). Winter is even colder in Russia. Let it be known that anymore hostage taking on a national scale will be met in kind. 4. Declare Russia a state sponsor of
terrorism and kick in all the secondary sanctions against anyone trading with her. Make it clear to Russia's enablers like India and China that its time to choose your markets, no more playing both sides. 5. PNG all Russian diplomats except for 1 ambassador and 1 secretary per
embassy and tell Russia to designate a non-involved 3rd party to handle her affairs in the west. 6. Designate the Z symbol, Russian/Soviet flags and Russian imperial/ Soviet iconography as symbols of hate and certain words as hate speech. 7. Have the allied powers re-convene the
Nuremburg tribunal to issue an advisory opinion on A: is Wagner an illegal criminal enterprise B: do Russian actions amount to crimes against peace and a war of aggression. Why Nuremburg... because it's an allied powers institution with serious gravitas that Russia can't veto.
Talk openly about a Polish-Ukrainian- American alliance specifically and exclusively to aid any of the three if invaded by Belarus specifically. Give Lukashenko more reasons to drag his feet. 9. In countries that have the mechanism, begin civil forfeiture proceedings against
oligarch wealth and designate half the seized funds for restitution to Ukraine proper and the other half in a general fund subject to private lawsuits brought by victims of Russian aggression. 10. Make it clear that we will not negotiate with any Russian government that has Putin
or one of his leading cronies like Lavrov or Medvedev at its head. I really hope that @JohnBoozman, @SenTomCotton, and @RepFrenchHill see this essay. Putin is trying to escalate to deescalate to get out of the war but not out of Ukraine. As recent videos show, the horror that is
#GenocideOfUkrainians continues unabated because #RussiaIsATerroristState. It's time to go around his gimmicks, see through his stratagems and take the gloves off even if we don't quite hit him with the iron fists they cover. We must also redouble our charitable efforts.
#WinterIsComing and now we need to not only support the Ukrainian army and some civilians, but now its going to be most civilians depending on us to step up and carry them through the nightmare. So pick your charities and give. My favorite is @MriyaAid but I have also given to
@georgian_legion and @U24_gov_ua but there are a lot too choose from and there is endless need thanks to Russian #warcrimes. Of course we all know what is going on is evil and the past two days exceptionally so even for #Russia so the trolls, bots and apologists are going to be
out of force. Some like @mtracey are still stuck on bridge while completely ignoring what the attacks on thermal plants mean for civilians. Then he has the gall to claim he's not a Russian asset at least de facto ir not de jure. He is not alone in spreading hate and dis-info and
#NAFO is ratioing them as fast as we find them but some of the dumber ones keep coming back (or maybe they are paid too). One place where you won't hear the BS is on @MriyaReport you should give them a follow and listen in as often as you can. Its basically a masterclass on all
relating to Ukraine. The number of SME's who have given the equivalent of #TED talks and then done Q&A with us there is huge and unique among any and all forms of media.
Remember, #UkraineWillWin and until Ukraine wins of Ukraine's terms: Slava Ukraini! #NATO #Arkansas #genocide @mfa_russia <--- still losing and hopefully with all your embassy's closed soon. You are not a civilized nation but the deformed echo of ancient barbarism.

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More from @JBelcourt73

Oct 13
Since T-62 tanks are trending this is one bandwagon I don't mind jumping on. By now most of you have seen this video. Most of the comments are about how Russia is running out of better tanks.
After all why put in an order for 800 T-62M/MV or whatever M? ends up coming out of these workshops if you still had plenty of T-64/72/80/90's laying around. I think it is probably more subtle than that. First, Russia was supposed to have had around 10,000 of so 64+ series
T tanks in storage plus an active fleet somewhere between 23-2800. We have not seen losses high enough to seriously threaten a running out of hulls. Plus if Russian tank losses were in the mid to high thousands, real WWII 1943 on the Eastern front type losses a paltry 800 T-62's
Read 26 tweets
Oct 12
I thought maybe it was just me, but I woke up to at least two other people posting about interactions with Indians, I guess Russia has mobilized its Indian trolls to help in the info battle over Ukraine. I freely admit that #NAFO has not really engaged there, after all its in our
name NORTH ATLANTIC FELLAS ORGANIZATION so the focus has not really been in the INDIAN OCEAN but since expansion is non-negotiable.... Indian support for Russia is non-sensical from an anti-imperialism perspective. Now if they want to support Russia because they too believe in
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Read 24 tweets
Oct 10
I wake up and the news of the day is a massive Russian strike across Ukraine with 50-70 missiles and drones including a strike on the visas office of the German Embassy. Many of the strikes were launched from Belarus who has handed Ukraine's ambassador a note of protest.
Looks like Belarus is finally going to be going all in and opening a new front against Ukraine in order to take pressure off of Putin's flaling failings in the south and east of Ukraine. How long the Belarussian army can sustain high intensity operations on foreign soil during
fall and winter remains to be seen. Most experts I have seen don't rate the Belarussian army very high: poor leadership, old equipment, bad morale and no belief in the cause. The invasions appears to have already miscarried at least once this spring. Lukashenko has now had 7
Read 11 tweets
Oct 9
I freely admit I am not an engineer, however, as a truck driver I know something about roads and pot holes that I feel is germane to the conversation about the Kerch Strait bridge. What we know is that half the road way was dropped and one of the rail lines was roasted. Thats the
That is the absolute best case scenario. That would mean a loss of 50% each of max road and rail traffic at a minimum since the remaining capacity now has to be divided to continue two way traffic. Now if the peak capacity thats left still exceeds the needs of the Russian army
then the impact on combat operations won't matter much for now. If the new peak is less than what the army requires well then in plain English: that's a problem. However much capacity is left however is sitting on a timer. The roadway will be the easiest to repair because the
Read 17 tweets
Oct 8
So, #Ukraine went all in for Putin's birthday celebration. I mean they pulled out all the stops. First there was the giant barbeque at Ilovaisk... Potentially hundreds were served.

But the unwrapping through once the dance floor was cleared...
Read 26 tweets
Oct 7
So last night
@POTUS
revealed what those of us who have been paying attention already knew. The world is closer to #Armageddon than at any time since the Cuban Missile Crisis. cbsnews.com/news/biden-arm…
why did he say it, was it just an old man's flub to be walked back like the Taiwan comments (could it be walked back), or was it deliberate and if so, who was the audience. I think some context is needed.
First, Russia has been making nuclear threats for months and has already engaged in nuclear terrorism at least 2 nuclear sites in #Ukraine: Zaporizhya and Chernobyl and recently his puppets have begun openly discussing the use of strategic nuclear weapons in response to
Read 24 tweets

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