The number of weapons that the West has/supplies to Ukraine
How many Western countries have weapons and how many of these weapons were transferred to Ukraine during the 8 months of the war?
1/17 #russianinvasion#UkraineRussiaWar#Artillery#atacmsforukraine
2/17 NATO transferred 1.4-3.6% of its heavy weapons systems to Ukraine. The highest percentage is for artillery - about 3.6%.
3/ The need for artillery remains the most acute because Ukraine has minimal stocks of shells for Soviet artillery systems of 122/152mm caliber.
The transition to NATO artillery began in April. And in half a year, Ukraine received about 400 artillery systems of 105/155mm caliber
4/17 The US transferred the most systems - about 200 units. But this country also has the largest reserves of artillery among NATO countries. The total number of artillery in the US arsenal and stores: 1,523 self-propelled guns, 2,151 howitzers, 800 HIMARS, M270, and ATACMS
5/17 The Czech Republic and Great Britain became the most generous suppliers of artillery. The Czech Republic transferred about 40% of all its artillery systems to Ukraine. Great Britain - 25%.
6/17 NATO countries transferred about 1.4% of their armored vehicles to Ukraine. Here, too, the largest supplier is the USA - more than 1,140 units. But in relation to its stockpile of weapons, this is 0.8% of all armored vehicles that the United States has.
7/17 The Czech Republic appears to be Ukraine's most loyal ally in supplying its weapons. She transferred 30-40% of all the systems she had.
8/17 It is worth paying attention to how the role of Germany in the supply of weapons has changed. If at the beginning of the war this country refused to supply heavy equipment. Now its role is quite high and Germany transfers a large part of what it has.
9/17 However, among NATO members, not all countries are in a hurry to transfer heavy weapons. For example, the most armed NATO countries include Turkey, Greece, and Romania.
I did not include the weapons that Turkey sells to Ukraine here, because this infographic is about aid.
10/17 Greece is one of the largest operators of armored vehicles and artillery. More than 1,200 tanks and 1,200 artillery systems. Moreover, these are the systems that other countries transfer to Ukraine - the M109 and PzH 2000 self-propelled guns, the RM-70 and M270.
11/17 Greece delayed the delivery of 40 BMP-1 for four months because it insisted that Germany should first supply it with the Marder IFV in order not to "weaken the defense capability" of its army. At the same time, Greece has more than 1,800 IFV M113.
12/17 Against the background of which, 40 old BMP-1 are unlikely to affect the country's defense capability. defence-ua.com/army_and_war/b…
13/17 Romania is the largest operator of MLRS M270 in Europe - 54 systems. But none was supplied to Ukraine. In general, this country has so far limited itself to supplies of ammunition and small arms.
14/17 Deliveries of heavy weapons are not the only military aid that Ukraine receives. Western allies also give UA shells, ammunition, portable systems, small arms, military uniforms, and more.
15/17 But now Western heavy weapons systems are gaining more and more importance on the battlefield. They are gradually replacing damaged and worn-out Soviet equipment that cannot withstand intense, prolonged battles.
16/17 Ukraine's transition to NATO arms in this war is inevitable. But NATO itself will have to look more and more into its stocks and plan new orders for the production of modern weapons. After all, this war showed that only force can guarantee peace.
Comparison of Russian and Ukrainian attack schemes:
I decided to compare the offensive of Russia in the spring and the counteroffensive of Ukraine in September in order to understand the reasons for such different results 1/17 #RussiaUkraineWar#kharkivcounteroffensive
2/ Russia
From the very beginning of the war, Russia built its offensive operations along the main highways and key population centers. This is understandable because the Russian offensive relied primarily on heavily armored vehicles.
3/ In this war we saw tank columns trying to storm a city without any infantry, air, or artillery cover. Which is an absolutely failed strategy.
The Armed Forces Ukraine currently uses 25 different models of NATO armored vehicles and 15 different NATO artillery systems
To solve this problem, it is necessary to switch to an integrated supply of weapons 1/4 @SpencerGuard@McFaul@CinC_AFU@oleksiireznikov@USAmbKyiv
2/4 Perhaps it is worth switching to a different approach when a country (or a group of countries) completes a separate military unit (starting with a tank and ending with a repair vehicle).
I made an infographic on how it can be based on the example of the USA and Germany.
3/4 For example, it can be 10 new brigades armed exclusively with NATO systems, which will become the basis of a new army and a new offensive in the spring of 2023.
For example, countries can be divided into 3-4 groups to complete such brigades.
1/24 At the beginning of the war, Russia had a total advantage in all parameters. 1.5 times more soldiers, 4 times more tanks, 6 times more armored vehicles, 2 times more artillery. The advantage in aviation, navy and long-range systems is 10 times or more.
2/24 In the first phase of the war, Russia suffered heavy losses.
Many soldiers who participated in the storming of Kharkiv and Kyiv refused to fight further.
However, Russia managed to stop this process.
2/17 There are different assumptions about what is currently being will happen near Kherson.
Someone is talking about an attack on Kherson. Someone is about probing weak spots in the RU defense. Someone claims that the counterattack "failed" (@JulianRoepcke).
3/17 If Ukraine planned to attack Kherson, it probably would not have talked so much about this offensive in the last 2 months.
All this time we have seen informational pressure. "It will start very soon". Now it has turned into military pressure.
2/25 Tempos are more important. Rates of losses and rates of mobilization of reserves.
If you lose more than you can mobilize - your army is shrinking.
If mobilization exceeds losses, your army accumulates reserves.
3/25 At the beginning of the war, the Russian forces consisted of:
a) 150-190K - Regular troops of Russia
b) 30K+ - Forces of the separatist LDNR
c) 5-10K - Russian Guard
d) 1K+ - Wagner Group businessinsider.com/russia-up-to-1…
2/17 Russia's war against Ukraine seems to many people to be local and not too big on a global scale. But if we compare it with World Wars І and II, then in terms of the level of destruction of artillery, Russia is not inferior to the artillery of the USSR in 1941-1942.
3/17 If you divide it by the length of the front line, then the destruction caused by Russian artillery is comparable to the scale of the destruction of Hitler's army in 1941-1944.
We see one of the most destructive wars right now. And it is difficult to call it a local conflict.