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Userofintellect 🇺🇦

@userofintellect

Nov 13

Life time opportunity: Housing market bubble is the best opportunity to double or triple your wealth. Here is why and how: A thread 🧵

The US housing market has been going through cycles of ups and downs every 15-18 years much of the past 100 years while on a slow uptrend. The 60-year trend line shows the average and median price of houses sold in the US.

The center dotted line separating blue and red on the uptrend line has a historical gravitational force which will meet the average price of homes at some point in the future. The current price (average & median) is off the charts as you can see! But there is more...

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Userofintellect 🇺🇦

@userofintellect

Nov 11

My goal is to create a simple strategy/ algo/ code/ for inexperienced retail investors so they will not be left behind and finally gain the upper hand. A small but safe window of opportunity to make small but consistent profit. Here is how: (1/4)

A lot of traders entangle themselves in convoluted technical analysis & babysitting stocks for hours & days and they may pay a lot of money for advise services. The accessibility barriers; The block in front of you; the perceived k knowledge gap. You blame yourself… (2/4)

Some strategies may work for a while but it will need to be replaced. But #macro analysis along with basic technicals that are only based on buy/sell ratio, volume and price action will always remain relevant. Parsimony is a virtue. (3/4)

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Userofintellect 🇺🇦

@userofintellect

May 10

Why #AMC #GME MOASS is more likely now:
1- the retail strong base.
2- major shorts use leverage.
3- bear market seduces shorts.
4- retail have not sold per OBV, #LogTheFloat & AA. Wouldn’t matter even if they did b/c:
5- retail owns at least 4 times the float; Documented for DOJ

6- Fed may limit the shorts via SEC to prevent an arbitrary recession.
7- institutions needing to make money & $GME $AMC are the best vehicles b/c of FOMO support & historical precedent.
8- negative beta = fast recovery
9- small & mid caps move higher faster in a recovery phase

10- major indices are down more than 20% which means by historical standards we are in margin call zone.
11- everything (stock, crypto, spy, my wife sex appetite) have been tied together which means breakaways occur soon.
12- imbalances cause stress for high risk equities.

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Userofintellect 🇺🇦

@userofintellect

Oct 1, 2021

A few assumptions in my "new solution" DD for #AMC & #GME Please comment if these assumptions are wrong or need adjustment:
1- Most brokerages don't fulfill orders immediately. They keep the money / may benefit from a decline in two days or longer aka T2+. No enforcement

2- Naked shorting is legal. Synthetic shares can be created to maintain an "orderly" market. The system has no enforcement mechanism and squeeze plays that last a few days encourage such practice. MMs & shorts benefit. Type 1 synthetic shares.

3- Big money buys huge puts, MMs create synthetic shares & sell them while they dont have any shares & / no shares available (Type 2 synthetic shrs) MMs purchase it cheaper later MM benefit more from deflation. Big money shorts as much as they want. burden on MMs => option fukry

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Userofintellect 🇺🇦

@userofintellect

Sep 17, 2021

(1/5) A few important notes on #AMC
1- The bull trend is being tested but not broken. A few more days on this trend and we cross a major resistance
2- Even if price drops bellow it nothing changes. The main strategy of buy and hold still applies. It only delays MOASS a little

(2/5)
3- The late day price action was an option game to collect premiums & had nothing to do with shorts & short interest but MMs
4- Volume is dry and slight buying pressure moves the price up because ape dont sell
5- Day traders have been kept out and that is a very good thing

(3/5)
6- AMC shares are with diamond hands now. literary no one wants to sell after waiting for months.
7- Take the shares of diamond hands out of the float & the "official" short interest % of float will be above 200%. Unofficial % is much higher

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Userofintellect 🇺🇦

@userofintellect

Aug 9, 2021

As a data analyst #AMC ape it was my duty to do my part: The true value of current shares including synthetic shares falls within this range: ~1.5B to ~5.5B with 99% confidence (1% chance the true number falls outside this range). See thread below for data and method. (1/13)

I extrapolated the number of #AMC synthetic shares using advanced statistical software based on the recent SAY shareholder vote and 3 indicators: Sample size, variability in population, & confidence level. (2/13)

Assumptions: a) 63,000 retail investors voted (not randomized so it might be biased & we should control for that- e.g. people with more shares had more tendency to vote).
b) 68,000,000 shares voted for Timothy B (first question)
c) 4,100,000 retail investors exist (3/13)

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