Many traders ask me how to trade #volume#breakout stocks profitably. Not all breakouts succeed in the #StockMarket. So, how does one get into good #breakoutstocks? Here's a thread explaining how I filter out good #stocks with reference to $RCF that I posted yesterday (up 12%).
1) Ensure that the stock is breaking out simultaneously in 2 timeframes. You choose the timeframes based on whether you are day-trading, swing trading or long-term investing. Ideally use the timeframes separated by a factor of 5 e.g. Daily and 75min is a good combo for short-term
2) Stock should have above average #volume for atleast 2 bars when the breakout is happening. Also, make sure that in the base before the breakout, majority green volume bars are above avg vol, while the red volume bars are below avg vol (avg vol is 50-SMA of volume).
3) Usually the good #breakoutstocks will always breakout and move fast, so at times it makes sense to enter the stock in mid-market (e.g. $RCF). You can capture these stocks by monitoring the @investarindia scanner during the day or setting custom scan alerts on your watchlist.
4) Don't chase a stock if it has already gone up too far. e.g. for a short-term trade, say your SL is 5-7% and Target is 20-25%. Then no point in buying a stock that is 1-2% above the breakout point (which is usually the resistance!
5) In $RCF chart above, the ideal entry would have been 1-2% above 106, so 108, and this breakout happened in the first 75-min on very high volume, so you have to use a good auto-updating screener (like Investar) to capture it in real-time.
6) Finally good #fundamentals can be an icing on the cake (especially for long-term investing). If you look for good Sales and Earnings growth, the chances of the breakout having a good follow-through can increase substantially.
7) With the #nifty50 nearing new highs, many volume breakouts will happen in the next few days. Hope the above thread will help in identifying the good #stocks and avoiding false breakouts. $RCF is up 14 points (almost 12% from the breakout point).
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#Volume is one of the simplest indicators in #Technical Analysis but when used properly it is also one of the most powerful confirmatory indicators out there. It's all the more important in the current #market. In this thread, we'll take a detailed look at volume with examples.
1) Volume is the total no of #shares that are bought/sold. Huge volume can be associated with accumulation/distribution by FIIs, while small volume can be associated with retail investors. When #PriceAction is combined with #volume, you get some interesting Price Volume patterns.
2) If #Price goes up with increasing volume, that's a sign that big guys are accumulating, hence, a #Bullish sign. When Price goes down with declining volume, that's a sign that the small retail #investors are exiting. Nothing to worry, again a Bullish sign.