Thread by @ADifferentNarr1

1/ I fear @jeremycorbyn may end up politically isolated when he's finally expelled from Labour. If you think present allies in Labour will maintain their association, precedent suggests otherwise. Stringing him along until nxt GE makes sense for #Starmer...

https://twitter.com/nicholascecil/status/1599688926205136896

2/ It means @jeremycorbyn might be reluctant to formally break with Labour in the hope he's reinstated, which won't happen. The result is that coordinated resistance from socialists won't build until after GE, when Starmer assumes he'll be in power anyway (hmmm)

3/ Not breaking from #Labour makes sense from a local politics perspective in Islington. To win at the nxt GE, @jeremycorbyn will need local Labour support so it could be a mistake to give the impression that he's wilfully deserted them. He'll need their loyalty.

4/ But make no mistake, @jeremycorbyn is not going to be the Labour candidate for Islington North next time. So I guess what disappoints me is there hasn't been much of an attempt to build bridges with non- Labour socialists since the whip was removed.

5/ Instead a lot of effort has been put into building alliances with flash in the pan venture capitalist funded echo-anarchist groups, which have no real social base. They're not anti imperialist anyway.

6/ There's also @ProgIntl, which is financed by the billionaire funded Sanders Institute, which is linked through some of its supporters to the military industrial complex. The organisation has links to notable leftists internally but again little meaningful presence in the UK...

7/ From an internationalist point of view it is mainly a conduit for the Atlantacism of the now discredited Sanders/Progressive Democrat movement. Certainly they cannot be trusted as reliable allies.

8/ Even leaders of groups like @STWuk have been urging votes for #Starmer's Labour. Presumably they will always support Corbyn but is status as a non-Labour MP will poss. create additional barriers between the org & MPs still in the party. Not to mention ambitious Labour lefties

9/ Essentially, I'm saying that Corbyn's ejection from Labour will hurt. It will confirm a major realignment of the British left. With those still associated with Starmer's Labour drifting rightwards with the Party.

10/ Corbyn will essentially be in the position of @DerbyChrisW, which means any hope that he might be a bridge between the Labour left & socialists outside the party is forlorn.

11/ Frankly, in my experience, there is little solidarity among the Labour left, who tend to see ejection from the party as tantamount to political death. Even the Sanders movement will likely prioritise ties with Momentum, which has already indicated that it will dump Jeremy...

12/... Hardly surprising, as Momentum always was the flakiest of fairweather friends.
All of this suggests that @jeremycorbyn is in danger of being very politically isolated when he is expelled from Labour, though my pov is that of an outsider cynical of the Labour left.

13/ Of course there's still time to change this state of affairs. Relations between @jeremycorbyn & former friends & allies @DerbyChrisW & @georgegalloway are very cold indeed, partially due to perceptions that he didn't do enough to oppose #ItWasAScam or #Brexit...

14/ My own view is that this isn't all entirely accurate, given the power dynamics while he was Leader. However, Corbyn continues to take advice from people implicated in the mistakes over #ItWasAScam in particular. This means there are more barriers to cooperation than necessary

15/ The presence of apoliseandmoveonists makes cooperation between different socialist groups on both sides because
1: People in Corbyn's camp who want to defend the decision to accept the #ItWasAScam narrative are unlikely to countenance an alliance with ppl who suffered from it

16/ 2. People who Lost jobs and Labour memberships because of #ItWasAScam aren't going to be enthusiastic about the prospect of working with people they hold at least partially responsible for it.

17/ Arguably @DerbyChrisW & @georgegalloway arguably have strong reasons for not countenancing sharing a platform with Corbyn & ppl around him. Yet they are the ones reaching out if only for the promise of talks.

18/ A legitimate criticism of British socialism is the circular firing squad mentality. Splits are almost always prioritised over alliance building. Yet here we have two socialist leaders genuinely willing to put differences to one side for the pursuit of a bigger goal...

19/ I know both @DerbyChrisW and @georgegalloway are serious because I have spoken to them about it. There is a real opportunity here. It would be a tragedy to waste it.

20/20 If Jeremy doesn't take the opportunity he could find himself relatively isolated. This would be a needless tragedy. There is still time for talks but not very much.