2022 was a real blood bath for #Russian intelligence services in Europe. Arrests, expulsions and de-conspirations made Russian spy life harder. I have put together quick dashboard with known cases (last 5 years). Let's have a look what we know. 1/🧵 datastudio.google.com/s/gFDRAvAND3A
More than 30 cases were revealed in last 5 years across the Europe. Vast majority of them happened in last 12 months. Bulgaria, Germany and Sweden seen most arrests. 2/
Who was recruiting? Based on available data, #GRU is uncontested winner. This shows progressive militarisation of #Russian#intelligence work as well as choice of priorities. 3/
It is also clearly visible in the type of recruited assets. Army personel and other uniformed services are dominating pool of recruitment candidates. 4/
Even assets with civilian cover were mostly tasked with intelligence gathering on military. If you haven't already, take a look at great work of @christogrozev and @bellingcat showcasing use of civilian asset against NATO personel in Italy. 5/ bellingcat.com/news/2022/08/2…
Russian services are (luckily) attached to old ways of intelligence work. Active cases involve mostly Russian born agents. Arrests in Sweden also showed use of "iron curtain" style deep cover agents (have my doubts regarding efficiency of this method). 6/
It looks like working for Russian intel is not only risky but also not overly profitable. P. Bucka, v-rector of Slovak Armed Forces Academy got 46,000EUR for 9 years of "service". Bulgarian ring was much better off with up to 3000USD per agent. 7/ veridica.ro/en/editorials/…
What to expect in 2023? Probably more difficult moments for Russian intel networks in Europe. More than 400 diplomats were expelled from western countries since the invasion. That is seriously impacting RU ability to handle sources on the ground and recruit new ones. 8/
You can browse Russian Spy Cases in Europe through my dashboard. I will add new ones as they will be revealed. Let me know if I missed any. 9/ datastudio.google.com/s/gFDRAvAND3A
Alexey is a typical "new Russian" businessman with lavish life on Instagram (aleksei.aristov). He claim to be financial lawyer from St. Petersburg. Wife is an Instagram influencer with more than 700k followers (ananovaa). Gosh... the ban on Instagram must have been painful...
His partner has a similar profile. Alexandr (insta: aatamanov) is an entrepreneur fascinated by #drones. Owner of @HoversurfClub. Initial digging was done in July by @AbderRaoufAmir in this thread.
First day of Russian forum #Army2022#Армия2022. What’s new in #UAV game? Not much so far. Two models of wannabe MQ-1 Predator - Orion-E with control station, and old Foton-601 construction developed by Ruskosmos with Samara University.
A little bit more in the copter sector. Rostec showed a new Russian-Belarusian unmanned system BAS-750 with a flight time up to 6 hours.
Also concept of cargo drone S700 with 16(!) engines and lift up to 200kg was displayed.
For the first time Kalashnikov showed serial model of (not very impressive) small recon quadrocopter Zala-421-24.
Author of source article is Michiel Willems. He has two Twitter accounts @michielwil@newsfrommichiel and works as digital editor at City AM.
City AM is free business oriented newspaper distributed among London commuters. It relies on advertisement and clicks on their website. Doesn’t mean it’s unreliable but it’s not exactly prime league of journalism.
🧵 on recently downed Russian Tachyon (Тахион) #UAV. It’s an old construction developed since 2012. Drone is mainly used for reconnaissance and fire guiding missions.
Drone entered service in 2014. It is used by ground forces of Eastern and Central Military District, as well as Navy. It was previously spotted (and downed) in Donbas area (2015).
UAV is made by Limited Liability Company "IZHMASH" - UNMANNED SYSTEMS" based in Izhevsk. Town famous in Russia for UAV development. By the way - love the vintage website look, very 2005. izh-bs.ru
Story of thwarted UAV attack on Transnistria looks strange. From media reporting seems that target was Grigoriopol Transmitter which was already severely damaged week ago. 1/3 pravda.com.ua/eng/news/2022/…
Drone itself is DIY cheap Aliexpress style frame. Judging from photos total weight was at least 12kg. Batteries on photos would give around 20 min flight (depends on wind). Target is approx. 4 km from the border. That’s a very close call for an operator. 2/3
There was dropping mechanism implemented suggesting that drone was not suicide UAV (8 km flight with this setup is a challenge). Also payload looks very homemade rather than military grade.