John Scott-Railton Profile picture
Jan 8, 2023 50 tweets 40 min read Read on X
BREAKING: pro-#Bolsonaro rioters breach Congress, Supreme Court & Presidential Palace in 🇧🇷#Brazil.

Ex president promotes a stolen election lie & has been close to Trump.

He skipped inauguration of his predecessor & flew to Florida.

By: @peterbmillard
bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
2/ What does this remind you of?

🇧🇷#Brazil is yet more proof that the "stolen election" lie is poison for Democracy.

3/ Appalling footage is surfacing of pro-#Bolsonaro rioters dragging and beating the police protecting 🇧🇷#Brazil's capitol.

This is very, very bad.

And looks extremely orchestrated.
4/ Pro-#Bolsonaro rioters ransacking 🇧🇷#Brazil's Supreme Court in the capitol, Brasília.

5/ Unlike the #January6th insurrection, President #Lula has already been inaugurated.

Here was #Bolsonaro's tear-streaked & self-pitying final address before he headed to Florida last week.

6/Pro-#Bolsonaro rioters demanding "source code."

Incredibly familiar.

Notably, some of their banners are in English.

Interesting.

Who exactly has been advising #Brazil's ex-president?
7/ Extreme-right playbook, 2020s edition:

Lose the election?

❌Claim it was stolen.
❌Cast doubt on the electoral process
❌Attack the institutions of democracy.

Social media plays a huge role in making this possible.
8/ #Bolsonaro slinking away to Florida in weepy self-pity seemed odd.

Anyone know where he is this afternoon?

IF he's outside #Brazil, he has conveniently put distance between himself and & immediate legal consequences for whatever role he's just played in the #Brasilia siege.
9/ Remember, we know that Steve #Bannon & Jason Miller have been advising #Bolsonaro since he lost the election.

#Brazil
By @lizzadwoskin & @pessoagabi
washingtonpost.com/world/2022/11/… Brazilian congressman Eduardo Bolsonaro, the president’s s
10/ English-language hashtags promoting the #Bolsonaro rioters now laying siege to #Brazil's Capitol #Brasilia are trending.

Again.

Just as they did right after the election.

Some rioters are carrying English language signs.

Again.
11/ The danger could not be more clear.

The global far right has a playbook & cast of strategists.

Many are 🇺🇸Americans.

They are the architects of our current political chaos.

And they will literally smash the institutions of democracy anywhere to get & hold power.
12/ Musk's takeover was a boon for right-wing Twitter in #Brazil.

#Bolsonaro called the acquisition a “breath of hope.”

This afternoon the platform is saturated with pro-insurrection content.

By @charlottepeet11
restofworld.org/2023/musk-twit…
13/ "It’s the start of a relationship which I’m sure will soon end in marriage" - #Bolsonaro on Musk.

It will be very interesting to see what comes next from the platform's CEO.
14/ Note: deleted a tweet showing pro-#Bolsonaro rioters savagely attacking a police officer in #Brazil.

I'm lightly concerned Twitter's moderation approach will reflect Musk's political views on the matter & I want to make sure this thread stays live.

nypost.com/2022/11/01/elo…
15/ Trump was conspicuously silent while his supporters did the worst of the #jan6Insurrection.

#Bolsonaro is similarly silent today.

Parallels everywhere.
16/ Minister responsible for security in #Brasilia was staunch #Bolsonaro ally Anderson Torres.

Brazilian newspaper Estadão cites unnamed sources saying he recently travelled to Florida.

He was just dismissed with immediate effect👇

Source estadao.com.br/politica/colun…
17/ Pro-#Bolsonaro rioters appear to smash cameras from the ceiling during #Brasilia siege.

18/ UPDATE: #Brazil's democratically-elected president #Lula orders security intervention to stop pro-#Bolsonaro siege of capitol #Brasilia.
19/ Democratically-elected President #Lula's address:

- Federal security intervention in #Brasilia
- Identified rioters will be punished
- Complicit Police & officials will be punished.
- Investigation will target financing for the siege
20/ NOW: Flashes & heavy crowd control gas clouds seen as authorities work to clear grounds #Brazil's National Congress building in #Brasilia.
21/ NOW: multiple government buildings including National Congress, Palace & Supreme Court cleared of pro-#Bolsonaro rioters.

Intense crowd control on the esplanade in front of National Congress in #Brasilia.

Still a large group remain in vicinity.

Reports of. 30 arrests.
22/ Arrest totals keep rising as night falls on the scene. 150 and counting per Globo.

Brazilian media commentators already talking about a failure of intelligence.

Large group of rioters currently remains West of the Palace of Justice.
23/ Police bus with smashed out windows carries off restrained rioters.

Wild scene.

#Brasilia
24/ WATCH First footage of aftermath.

Journalist stunned when he gets inside #Brazil's Supreme Tribunal.

Absolutely wrecked, inside and out.

Like anti-democratic hurricane.
25/ #Brasilia is a UNESCO Heritage site & crown jewel of modernism.

Pro-#Bolsonaro rioters busted everything they could get their hands on.

Computers, furniture, cabinets, televisions. They even soaked carpets & antique furniture by smashing open fire sprinklers.
26/ Elements among pro-#Bolsonaro rioters spotted yanking network cables from servers.

Interesting.

Voices suggest they may be disabling security camera systems.
27/ Rioters sacked #Brazil's capitol for hours.

Condemnations from world leaders have poured in.

Meanwhile?

Complicit, cowardly silence from ex-president #Bolsonaro.
28/ "Bolsonarist radicalism can bring together thousands of coup supporters, but still it cannot take a country."

Analysis by André Petry tonight.

Original (pt-br): piaui.folha.uol.com.br/nunca-foi-tao-…
29/ They did resolve matters peacefully.

With a fair election.

The people you've gotten close to lost.

This is weak and fools nobody.

Since you arrived Twitter has been a launchpad for the lies that underpinned this attack on #Brazil's democracy.
30/ Reminder: Musk's arrival at Twitter turbocharged #Brazil's far right.

Similar bumps did not happen on Instagram & Youtube during the same timeframe.

Report by @charlottepeet11 restofworld.org/2023/musk-twit…
31/ If he wants peace for Brazilians, Musk should encourage everyone to accept the results of democratic elections.

At this point, anything less is playing footsie with authoritarianism.
32/ #Brazil's AG Office requests pro-#Bolsonaro official in charge of security for the Federal District be arrested

Anderson Torres (@andersongtorres), perhaps not coincidentally, is currently in the United States. Like Bolsonaro.

oglobo.globo.com/politica/notic…
33/ Claimed to be the original of Brazil's 1988 constitution.¹

Which ended 21 years of dictatorship.

Makes me sick to my stomach.

¹OSINT: Maybe? Same cover. Original kept in museum section of the Supreme Federal Tribunal. Which was attacked today.
34/ "I have always been within the four lines of the Constitution" - Bolsonaro

The ex-president waited till the attack failed & his supporters been arrested & kicked out by riot squads before delivering this weak & evasive statement.

So familiar.
35/ Hashtag associated with #Bolsonaro supporters: "BrazilianSpring."

Very active today.

First, it's in English.

Second? Hard to imagine a Brazilian came up with the term...

Because it's the *middle of Brazil's scorching summer.*

Weird.
36/ Democratically-elected president @LulaOficial arrives.

"...The coup plotters who promoted the destruction of public property in Brasilia are being identified and will be punished. Tomorrow we resume work... Democracy always. Goodnight"

37/ Bannon spent today compulsively posting the mantra that #Brazil's election was stolen.

It wasn't. And he knows it.

He also called the rioters freedom fighters.

They aren't.

And he knows that, too.
38/ January 3rd, Florida:

Supporters of ex-president #Bolsonaro who met him at beach club mansion say he told them that the "best is yet to come."
39/ "I was surrounded, kicked, pushed, cursed. They broke my glasses, pulled my hair, tried to take my cell phone."

Just like on #Jan6 journalists were assaulted in #Brasilia.

h/t @tomphillipsin
40/#Brazil's Supreme Court orders immediate removal of #Brasilia's governor for 90 days.

Says attacks could have only happened w/official complicity.

Hours ago Gov @IbaneisOficial began a video with an apology to president #Lula.

Which was interesting.
g1.globo.com/politica/notic…
41/ Musk fired Twitter's entire #Brazil staff, except for some salespeople.

Including everyone who worked on moderation of violence & misinformation.

By @lizzadwoskin
washingtonpost.com/technology/202…
42/ Pro-#Bolsonaro accounts used the code phrase (“Festa da Selma”) to organize & hype the assault on #Brazil's capitol today.

Some even shared maps.

Here are some examples from just one user.
43/ The “Festa da Selma” code phrase saw a huge spike in the run-up to the attack in #Brasilia.

Over 10k accounts.

Pic: @arcelinobsilva (who posts in Portuguese) has been tracking the term.
44/Wild. It took me thirty seconds find scores of Twitter accounts telling everyone exactly where to go to attack #Brasilia.

This was in plain sight.
46/ Another good follow, @msoares found accounts responding to coded tweets about the imminent #Brasilia siege tweeting questions like which "side" the military will be on during the attack.

Right. Out. In. The. Open.
47/ The sheer obviousness of tweets in the run-up is staggering.

Everything was spelled out in the thinnest of codes.

I think #Twitter was either willfully blind or utterly negligent as #Brazil careened towards an organized siege against the three branches of government.
48/ There appears to be a growing effort among #Bolsonaro supporters to construct a narrative that the ransacking was *actually* done by #Lula supporters / infiltrators.

Just like with the US insurrection on #Jan6.

Same. Playbook.
49/ Just learned that @agenciapublica reported in November that Steve Bannon coined the term "BrazilianSpring."

Which went on to become a major trending topic on Brazilian Twitter.

h/t @barbaradosualdo
By @lauradscofield(in Portuguese): apublica.org/sentinela/2022…
50/ To cap off a wild 24h, #Brazil's ex-president #Bolsonaro just checked himself into a Florida hospital.

This would be a telenovela if it weren't so consequential.
scc10.com.br/saude/bolsonar…
51/I've pointed to possible links to US-based folks like Bannon & #Jan6 parallels.

And Twitter's failures.

Investigations needed.

That said, Brazil has its own history w/dictators & coups.

Now it's stock-taking time & I recommend seeking out *Brazilian* experts & voices.

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More from @jsrailton

Oct 18
BREAKING: Musk-backed PAC is micro-targeting muslim areas with ads saying Harris stands with Israel... and targeting jewish areas saying the opposite.

Writing is on the wall: Musk willing to further divide America if he thinks it will help his candidate win.

By @jason_koebler
404media.co/this-is-exactl…Image
Review the @google ads data yourself.

A "PRO-ISRAEL TEAM WE CAN TRUST" designed to look like a #HarrisWalz campaign ad is micro-targeted to areas with a high muslim population around Dearborn, Michigan.

Meanwhile, same Musk-backed PAC has a "WHY PANDER TO PALESTINE?" ad micro-targeted to areas in Pennsylvania.

The ads are getting millions of impressions.

adstransparency.google.com/advertiser/AR0…Image
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Voters around Dearborn, #Michigan are shown an ad saying that Harris "STOOD UP TO PROTESTERS" and "FOUGHT RISING ANTISEMITISM"

Meanwhile, specific areas in #Pennsylvania get an ad with the line "WHY SYMPATHIZE WITH ANTISEMITIC PROTESTERS"

The Musk-backed PAC's ads are here: adstransparency.google.com/advertiser/AR0…Image
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Read 7 tweets
Oct 16
NEW: sprawling AI bot army found attacking #HarrisWalz & dems, supporting Trump and GOP.

Researchers at @ClemsonUniv spotted & mapped the network.

It wasn't hard for them to conclude that an LLM was being used: they found tweets that leaked the prompts.

Which also helps makes the partisan objectives of the campaign crystal clear...

READ: open.clemson.edu/cgi/viewconten…Image
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2/ Beyond targeting the national election, specific Senate & House races were also a focus of efforts. As were specific figures like @SenatorBaldwin, who was apparently a perennial target. Image
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3/ @DarrenLinvill is absolutely right here.

This campaign exposed by the @ClemsonHub team still gives off early-day vibes.

It is only going to get more sophisticated from here.

He was speaking to @kevincollier for this solid piece on the research: nbcnews.com/tech/internet/…Image
Read 6 tweets
Oct 5
CATASTROPHIC: Chinese hackers massively wiretapped 🇺🇸USA by compromising the interception portals mandated under US law.

Remember this the next time a government demands encryption backdoors.

By: @bysarahkrouse @dnvolz @aviswanatha @bobmcmillan h/t @RonDeibert

READ: wsj.com/tech/cybersecu…Image
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Manufacturers of networking and phone gear must follow specific standards for 'lawful interception' in different jurisdictions (e.g. CALEA & ETSI's standards)

But as we learn time & time again, the scope of potential access & harm almost never matched by efforts to detect & block malicious use.Image
There's constant pressure from governments to bake-in systems for access.

Failure to comply with those demands is met with big sanctions. Just look at Durov.

Yet I predict that there will be zero meaningful accountability over this breach.

Read 10 tweets
Oct 3
BREAKING: @Microsoft & @TheJusticeDept take simultaneous action against 🇷🇺Russian FSB-backed hacking group.

#StarBlizzard/ #ColdRiver has been targeting a wide swath of US officials & civil society.

Sweet moment because civil society played a key role in the lawsuit. Thanks to @NonprofitISAC & our partner @accessnow, voices of victims from our collaborative investigation into the spear phishing operation were included. 1/Image
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2/ Back in August we @citizenlab alongside our partners
@accessnow w/@DeptFirst, Arjuna Team & RESIDENT.ngo published a collaborative investigation into Russian gov-backed phishing.👇

The clever attacks were causing harm around the world.
x.com/jsrailton/stat…
3/ The Russian spear phishing that we tracked used techniques honed from years of targeting civil society.

& years of adapting to technical countermeasures.

And it persisted targeting civil society & journalists, despite recent naming & shaming.

Read 7 tweets
Sep 16
NEW: fresh 🇺🇸US sanctions dropping on mercenary spyware industry.

Biden administration just fired a 2nd salvo against the #Intellexa consortium, which sells #Predator spyware.

The spyware is linked to human rights abuses around the globe & was used to target US officials. 1/

home.treasury.gov/news/press-rel…Image
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2/ Back in March, US first used ‘big gun’ @USTreasury sanctions against #Intellexa.

It was precedent-setting & sent a chill through the spyware industry.

Today’s sanctions against yet-more Intellexa people read as the US saying "can you hear me yet?"
3/ Quick review of some ways that the Biden Harris administration has been tackling the problem of mercenary spyware proliferation:

Targeted Actions against bad companies:
Big headache
✅@CommerceGov Entity Listing
(Now US companies can't sell you products)

Migraine
✅ @StateDept Visa Bans
(You aren't coming to the US)

Cluster Headache
✅@USTreasury Dept Sanctions
(Your assets are blocked, good luck banking anywhere)

Executive Actions
✅ The 2023 Executive Order
(The big US market is closed to spyware companies enabling human rights abuse & natsec harms)

Diplomatic Efforts
✅ 2023 Joint State on Commercial Spyware
(Wide set of norms on stopping misuse, consequences for bad companies & transparency + oversight)
✅ Participation in other countries efforts (e.g. UK/FR-led Pall Mall Process)Image
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Read 6 tweets
Sep 1
If you collect it, they will come.

Investigators will eventually identify any consumer product that persistently records people's activities.

One day, they'll show up, requesting access.

If the data is consistently helpful, they'll stop asking & start demanding.

Once this happens enough the company will probably create a law enforcement portal to simplify access & save customers the trouble...🧵Image
2/ So many companies build consumer products with inherent pervasive surveillance collection without planning for the inevitable moment when demands begin coming in.

If you collect it, the demands will always come.

When you don't anticipate this moment in how you balance your design decisions, you expose yourself & your consumers to a lot of pressure. And introduce society to new kinds of surveillance.

It's an ethical conundrum in societies with a rule of law and judicial oversight.

And it is entirely more ominous when your product reaches countries that have none of that.
3/ Transparency: reworked the thread since folks flagged that I'm not the only person that likes "if you collect it, they will come" to describe risks from data collection:

Some spots it shows up in, there are surely more I couldn't find with a quick search:

- ISC2 contributor mgorman discussing risks from Google's Sensorvault

-Whitney Merrill(@wbm312) discussing risks from COVID data collection👇

-The Irreal Blog, in an interesting post about search warrants

-Me, quoted in "Cybersecurity and Humanitarian Organizations - On a Collision Course?" (Amaral & Verity, 2018).


community.isc2.org/t5/Tech-Talk/I…
irreal.org/blog/?p=10054
reliefweb.int/report/world/c…
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Read 4 tweets

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