Share this page!

Thomas des Garets Geddes Profile picture
Twitter logo
Jan 20 • 5 tweets • 3 min read
"#RishiSunak has now become the representative of 🇬🇧's hardliners on #China. We cannot expect him to become a moderate on China again after becoming PM."

🔹 Author: Xu Ruike (徐瑞珂) – Prof. at Beijing Foreign Studies University. Image
▫️ "Under Sunak, the 'Americanisation' of Britain's China policy will remain evident ... Economics will take a back seat. Suspicion and hostility towards China will gradually become the defining theme of Sino-British relations."
▫️ "The right-wing forces of the Conservative backbenchers represented by @aliciakearns and @MPIainDS will exert significant influence on Downing Street's China policy."
▫️ "As the 7 core cabinet members, including PM Sunak, are all hardliners on China, and with pressure from the US ... the new #British government is likely to continue its hardline China policy. The risk of a continued deterioration in Sino-British relations remains high."
Source: mp.weixin.qq.com/s/Iw48wCLuz8tr…

🔹For more topics as viewed by Chinese think-tank analysts and academics, subscribe for free:
sinification.substack.com

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
　

Keep Current with Thomas des Garets Geddes

Thomas des Garets Geddes Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @thomasdggeddes

Thomas des Garets Geddes Profile picture
Jan 21
🔹Most read article on Chinese aggregator of scholarly articles Aisixiang (爱思想) over the past 30 days:

“Ten critical shifts in international politics in 2023 and their prospects” by CUHK scholar Zheng Yongnian (郑永年).

🧵 EXCERPTS Image
#UnitedStates:

▫️ “When it comes to international political risks, the US's domestic problems have to be placed at the top of the list ... the US’s internal divisions produce huge externalities that have far-reaching effects on world politics.”
▫️ "So, will a transfer [of the US’s domestic tensions] occur at the military level? This is even more worrying. Countries must guard themselves against this [各国不可不防]."
Read 13 tweets
Thomas des Garets Geddes Profile picture
Jan 20
TOP Read on Aisixiang (爱思想) – CUHK scholar Zheng Yongnian discusses 10 international risks and challenges facing #China in 2023. These are:

1⃣ The US’s political polarisation, domestic tensions and their potential repercussions on the world and China.
sinification.substack.com/p/top-read-int…
2⃣ The war in Ukraine and the risks posed by a nuclear war.

3⃣ The ‘NATOisation’ of Europe and NATO’s increasing interest in the Indo-Pacific.

4⃣ The growing risk of a nuclear crisis on the Korean peninsula.
5⃣ Rising tensions in the Middle East and their potential impact on China.

6⃣ #India’s rise is exerting greater geopolitical and economic pressures on China.

7⃣ Latin America’s political polarisation creates uncertainties for Beijing.
Read 5 tweets
Thomas des Garets Geddes Profile picture
Nov 25, 2022
🇺🇸 Tech and supply chain strategy:

“The US's incremental adjustments allow resources to continue to be channelled into 🇨🇳 through ‘third countries’, ‘detours’ or even ‘transfers’, thereby allowing 🇨🇳 to make adjustments and repairs to its supply chains.” – Ma Xue, CICIR analyst.
“The US does not have a complete monopoly on cutting-edge research ... This means that unilateral US controls are often ineffective and the paths for technology transfers to #China are difficult to block."
"Political controls placed on strategic industries will undermine 🇺🇸's future tech competitiveness. US export controls, entity lists and other similar restrictions have reduced the sales of US companies to 🇨🇳 and [thus] reduced the revenues that can then be reinvested in R&D."
Read 8 tweets
Thomas des Garets Geddes Profile picture
Nov 3, 2022
This is how Scholz's visit to 🇨🇳 + COSCO deal is being interpreted in China:

"[COSCO's acquisition] underlines that German Chancellor Scholz is still relatively steady and pragmatic vis-à-vis developing relations with China." – Wu Huiping, Centre for 🇩🇪 Studies at Tongji Univ.
"Scholz is also sending a certain message to those within Germany, that is: although the Greens are currently running the country’s foreign ministry, Germany’s most important foreign policy-making power still lies in the hands of the chancellor." – Wu Huiping
“Scholz's upcoming visit to 🇨🇳 is a sign of 🇩🇪's strong desire to encourage the further development of 🇨🇳-🇩🇪 cooperation at an important point in time – right after the 20th Party Congress and just as Chinese-style modernisation is embarking on a new journey.” – Tian Dewen, CASS
Read 8 tweets
Thomas des Garets Geddes Profile picture
Nov 2, 2022
Chinese analysts react to Rishi Sunak becoming new 🇬🇧 PM. A thread:

"He is not a 'hawk' [like Truss]. In my opinion and judging from the current situation, relations with China should be relatively stable during his tenure." – Ding Chun, Director of 🇪🇺 Studies, Fudan Univ.

1/5
"What is encouraging is that Sunak already has convincing qualities and experience, which is half the battle." – Wang Yanxing, senior research fellow at the Chongyang Institute for Financial Studies, Renmin University of China.

2/5
“Sunak once argued that the UK should pursue a mature and balanced policy towards China ... [but] he believes that China must be checked and balanced.” – Liu Zongyi, Shanghai Institutes for International Studies (SIIS)

3/5
Read 5 tweets
Thomas des Garets Geddes Profile picture
Nov 1, 2022
Interesting to see former PLA colonel and now research fellow at Tsinghua Zhou Bo's article for the FT cross-posted today on guancha.cn

"China can help the world by simply telling Putin: don’t use nuclear weapons, Mr President."

Any chance of this getting censored? Image
"So far Beijing has trodden a careful line between Russia, its strategic partner, and Ukraine ... But if Moscow decides to use tactical nuclear weapons against Ukraine, China can hardly maintain such a position any more."
"China has so far refrained from providing any military assistance to Russia. But given Beijing’s huge influence on Moscow, it is uniquely positioned to do more to prevent a nuclear conflict."
Read 8 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!

This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!

Send Email!

:(