The Chartians⚡ Profile picture
Jan 29 21 tweets 11 min read
I studied & decoded every #Budget from 2012 - 2022 so that you don't have to.

Interestingly every #Budget has a pattern, which needs to be cracked. So i did it for you !

Like and retweet appreciated : telegram.me/chartians

Detailed explanation below 👇👇
#Budget2023
Budgets under Modi Regime and their returns.

Arun Jaitley - 2014 :: 2018 (-0.23, 0.65, -0.61, 1.81, -0.10)

Nirmala Sitharaman - 2019 :: 2022 (-1.14, -2.51, 4.74, 1.16)
1 Week Pre and Post #Budget moves
Data credit @nitinmurarkasmc
1 month Pre and post #Budget
Data credit @fiidiidata
Some more facts !
Some more facts here :
1,00,000 invested on Budget day and held on till the next Budget gave you following returns :

2012/13 : 13.11%
2013/14 : 0.40%
2014/15 : 51%
2015/16 : -18%
2016/17 : 15%
2017/18 : 28%
2018/19 : 0.26%
2019/20 : 5.75%
2020/21 : 23%
2021/22 : 20.72%
Budgets have been of a silent nature historically, the main game begins after budget or the game is over before the budget !

So lets see year by year data below !
#Budget2012

1. Markets had straight 6 weeks of incline gaining 17% but later corrected the 14% gains.

2. Interesting part was that, market came out of bear grip after nearly 2 years.
#Budget2013

1. This year markets saw a major top and corrected nearly 17% from 2013 budget to September 2013.

2. If you had invested 1Lac on 2013 Budget day, you would be sitting with 0.36% returns (less than FD)
#Budget2014

The budgets ka baap, also because newly elected Modi regime took over.

This budget delivered probably the highest returns close to around 50% till the next budget.
#Budget2015

This budget delivered negative returns of 18% till the next budget.

If you traded this year then you must remember 24/08/2015 market dip, where we saw a 6% down day
#Budget2016

Markets bottomed out and went on to deliver around 26%

This was also the year of URI strike and the infamous Demonetization of currency !
#Budget2017

The flattest budget day with a nearly 28% rise on the indices.

Markets in 2018 went on to top out and correct till March 2018
#Budget2018

Flattest budget ever that delivered 0.26% returns till the next budget
#Budget2019

Same story, but meanwhile we saw the historic corporate tax cut.
#Budget2020

Who doesn't remember this budget ?
And obviously the year !
Before going ahead and trading on #Budget day here are some tips :

1. Crisp risk management will decide your fate

2. Option buyers to stay away as every move will be against you

3. Stock specific action will be inflated by news, so prefer to do positional with half the risk
If you have come till here dont forget to join our telegram.me/chartians channel where nearly 23,000 traders interact daily !

Our instagram is loaded with 30 seconds reels everyday : instagram.com/tradingcoachch…
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More from @chartians

Jan 31
Over the last 12 months, I scanned total of 600 charts daily, studied leaders of past bull run and how they behaved.

I came up with 35 principles that might help you shape your trading forever : @chartians Image
Firstly before reading the thread, i know markets have been tough to everyone and you might be doubting you ability to trade.

Keep your chips ready for some more time, markets will improve and there will be green days ahead !
1/
The amount of time you spend in the market trading/investing will always give you more insights than reading 100s of books

2/
If you treat markets as a sole income generator, your chances of underperformance due to compulsion of income generation will always be higher !
Read 17 tweets
Jan 29
If you are well versed with the recent saga of #Adani and #HindenbergResearch

Here are our 2 cents :
There are always darling stocks in bull run, once the bull run is over all those stories become extinct.
A stock may have bad fundamentals and still go mad, a stock might have the finest fundamentals and still be in a range for years.
Read 9 tweets
Jan 28
I studied all #Adani charts so that you don't have to

Everyone is telling what #Adani should do.
Nobody is telling what #Adani shareholders should do.

Like and retweet appreciated - telegram.me/chartians

One by one charts with explanation below 👇👇
#Adanient cmp 2760

Traders : Any pullback till 3150 is a short opportunity

Investors : 3150 should've been your stop, but any crack below 2400, you will suffer deeply.
#Adaniports cmp 596

Traders : Any rise till 670 can be a short opportunity

Investors : 500 a good level to add, long term trend still intact
Read 9 tweets
Jan 26
Everyone has a Suitable Market condition where they will perform at their Best.

#Thread on Market Phases Based on Pure Experience over last 3 Years.

1/n
Phase 1 :

The Rally :
Market Gives One sided Uptrend and Not much Whispaws & Minor Pullback.
Easiest Phase to Make Money.
(Aug/Sep 2021, July/Aug 2022, and many Other Rallies)

2/n
Phase 2 :
The Price Correction.
- Market Gives One sided Downtrend with Minor Whispaws/Pullbacks.
(Feb-March 2020),

3/n
Read 11 tweets
Dec 18, 2022
Tickmark these 7 things every time you enter a trade:

7 important things to check before entering a trade 🧵
1/ Basic Understanding of Charts:

There are various types of charts that you can use, a few of them are Line, Bar, Candle, Heiken Ashi, Renko, Point & Figure, etc.

Get a basic understanding of these charts and pick one type that suits you.
2/ Free Charting Platform:

Now, there are many trading platforms that are available and one could be your broker charts itself.

Another charting platform that you can use is Tradingview.

Here you can get various tools and indicators.
Read 17 tweets
Dec 10, 2022
Here’s a dead-simple breakdown of 5 Option Greeks that you might’ve read but never understood.
1/ Delta:

Delta is a measure of the sensitivity of an option’s price changes relative to the changes in the underlying asset’s price. In other words, if the price of the underlying asset increases by 1 point, the price of the option will change by a delta amount.
The Call option has a positive delta, and the Put option has a negative delta.

As the options become ITM, the value of delta tends towards +1 for call and -1 for put.

Delta is an important greek to determine the hedge ratio for investors who want to hedge their portfolio.
Read 13 tweets

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