Nikita Poojary Profile picture
Feb 5 26 tweets 8 min read
You can save LAKHS of your capital by knowing this simple concept of parabolic/vertical move in stocks.

The 90 degree angle inflection point in a stock is a signal to book profit.

Collaborated with @AdityaTodmal
1/ What is a parabolic move?

A parabolic move occurs when the speed at which the stock’s price goes up increases exponentially.

In other words, a parabolic stock is a stock that starts going up really fast.
2/ #IRCTC example:

Monthly TF:

Back to back 6 green candles (each candle represent a month here), so no profit booking has happened.

The angle towards the end of the upmove became much steeper i.e. 90 degree.

Such moves are highly susceptible for a bend in the trend.
Weekly TF #IRCTC

In the week of Oct 18, 2022 this stock witnessed a huge red candle in the entire chart history of the stock along with the highest volume bar, indicating a clear change of trend.

Pls note: This chart is prior to the stock split in the ratio of 1:5.
Current status of #IRCTC:

On Oct 2021, since there was a stock split in the ratio of 1:5.
3/ #BITCOIN example:

Similar pattern was observed in BTC/USDT pair #BITCOIN

and then BTC fell ~50% from its high made in the month of March 2021
Current Status of #Bitcoin BTC/USDT pair:
4/ #HEG example:
5/ #RELCAPITAL example:
6/ #DIXON example:
7/ #ADANIENT example:
8/ #ADANIPOWER example:
9/ When prices rise in almost vertical/90 degree fashion, they form a parabolic curve, we should be cautious.

Because of the purchasing frenzy that drives parabolic moves, we never know when the final top will arrive.
However, we know that vertical moves cannot be sustained, and we can expect the parabolic to collapse, with prices falling as swiftly as they advanced.
10/ The result of the extreme Angle of Ascent is a early warning signal or a red flag.

The stock is at risk of profit taking that may turn into a slide downward.
11/ Folks who are looking to buy such stocks (from investing perspective), remember that there will be some bounces however the stock will hit resistances at the higher levels.

Usually stocks may witness some sideways dull action before the changing its trend.
The stock would usually try to form a base, before giving a trend.

So no point in tying up capital when there is no momentum.
12/ Characteristics of a parabolic move:

1. Very fast upmove in a short span of time.
2. Only higher high candles in weekly or monthly TF.
3. Absence of any profit booking
4. Witnessing 3x to 10x returns in a span of 6 months to an year.
5. Post 3x or 6x usually reports from Investment Banking firms about stock doubling or tripling from that level.
6. Hype surrounding the company on social media
7. Merger deal announcement (HDFC twins check the parabolic move on a shorter TF)
8. Pleding of promoters shareholding rises in this period

You may find any or combination of the few characteristics that are listed out.
No matter how good the fundamentals look, always do check the charts and if you find any of the above characteristics especially 1 to 4 then just ignore or book out.

Because price is and shall always remian a lead indicator.
13/ Conclusion:

Parabolic up moves are exciting to ride, but there is the almost CERTAIN danger that the rocket will run out of fuel, resulting in a rapid collapse of prices.
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More from @niki_poojary

Feb 4
Shortlisting stocks is a tedious task.

Here are the 10 most Powerful Positional Setups with Screeners that is available for FREE: 🧵

Collaborated with @AdityaTodmal
1/ Short term breakouts:

This strategy involves finding stocks that are trading near their high in the past 4 months with rising volumes and closing strong, indicating a possible breakout.

• 15-minute stock breakouts —(Intraday)

chartink.com/screener/short…
2/ Volume Shockers (stocks with rising volumes):

Stocks that have seen a sudden spurt in their volume by over 2x times the average volume over the past 10 trading sessions and have gained or lost more than 5% today.

chartink.com/screener/stock…
Read 17 tweets
Jan 29
If making BIG MONEY is your plan on the BUDGET DAY.

You need to plan it well.

THREAD: Budget 2023 -How to trade? by Subasish Pani (Power of Stocks)

Collaborated with @AdityaTodmal
1/ Who should participate?

Beginners should avoid as the day will be highly volatile or restrict themselves to 1-2 lots.

Profitable traders over a period of 1 year should not risk more than 2-5% as per your risk appetite.
2/ For beginners:

Beginners can skip this day or restrict themselves with 1-2 lots as this day is going to be highly volatile.

Hence, more than the budget day, it would be better to focus on the following day i.e. expiry.
Read 29 tweets
Jan 28
Stan Weinstein often talks about Stage Analysis while analysing a stock.

But how would you identify when to buy a stock or hold or sell?

22 Powerful concepts to gain an edge in your stock trading and investing.

Collaborated with @AdityaTodmal
Timeless concepts of Stage Analysis inspired by the book 'Stan Weinstein's Secrets for Profiting in Bull and Bear Markets'.

Stage Analysis is the key to knowing whether to buy, hold or sell a stock.
1/ What is Stage analysis?

Stage Analysis is a strategy for longer term trend trading.

Stage Analysis uses chart patterns to describe four distinct stages that a particular trade can be in.
Read 34 tweets
Jan 21
The most powerful set up to trade:

Failed or a false breakout set-up.

Failed breakouts are 10x more rewarding than trading breakouts or pullbacks.

Collaborated with @AdityaTodmal 🧵
1/ Failed or false breakouts are more rewarding than trading breakouts.

The reaction to this failed breakout is usually so intense and dramatic because it has trapped investors in the wrong direction.
2/ What is a failed breakout?

A failed breakout is when the price of a security moves beyond a support or resistance level (breakout) but then reverses its course moving back below resistance or above support.
Read 12 tweets
Jan 16
#BANKNIFTY

No follow through as BNF is stuck in a large range in daily TF.

Weekly TF IB range for the past 4 weeks.

Outlook for the week Jan 17- 20, '23.

THREAD: Deconstructing BANKNIFTY on 4 different TF's.
#BANKNIFTY

1. Monthly TF:

• In the month of November we witnessed a fresh ATH on closing basis and in December too managed to close well above those levels.

• Too early to comment on Jan month.

• However, in the higher TF, the structure is of HH-HL is still intact.
#BANKNIFTY

2. Weekly TF:

• C&H BO on weekly TF, targets mentioned on the tweet linked here.

• 41800 -41675, a good zone to accumulate as the full target of C&H is above 51k.

• IB formation in weekly TF.

Read 8 tweets
Jan 8
#BANKNIFTY

After a sharp retracement, expecting a sharp pullback again.

Outlook for the week Jan 9-14, '23.

THREAD: Deconstructing BANKNIFTY on 5 different TF's.
You can also check out video where I have explained, how I do a multi-timeframe analysis & have shared my views on #BANKNIFTY for the upcoming week.

For those of you who prefer to read it lets continue:
Read 12 tweets

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