NEW: Ukrainian military officials and Russian pro-war nationalist voices are downplaying #Russia’s ability to launch a sweeping large-scale offensive in #Donetsk Oblast in the current circumstances of the Russian Armed Forces.
Latest w/ @criticalthreats: isw.pub/UkrWar021123
Latest w/ @criticalthreats: isw.pub/UkrWar021123
2/ Russian forces’ reported culmination and tactical failures around #Vuhledar in #Donetsk Oblast have likely further weakened the Russian ultranationalist community’s belief that Russian forces are able to launch a decisive military effort. isw.pub/UkrWar021123
3/ The disparity between the limited but significant Russian advances in the Bakhmut area & the lack of meaningful advances elsewhere may support milblogger & Ukrainian observations that the Russians are unable to secure rapid advances via traditional mechanized maneuver warfare.
4/ #Wagner Group financier Yevgeny #Prigozhin is trying to salvage his declining influence in #Russia as the #Kremlin continues to sideline him and his mercenaries. isw.pub/UkrWar021123
5/ Russian forces targeted southern Ukraine with air, missile, and aerial and maritime drone strikes overnight on February 10-11. isw.pub/UkrWar021123
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