The more I read, the more I'm amazed about Charlie Munger. Today, I'd like to write about the mental model of "Thought Experiment". Charlie Munger is the right-hand man of Warren Buffet and he's known for his practical and straightforward approach to investing.
2/15: Thought experiments involve imagining a situation and then examining the possible consequences of that situation. Munger believes that doing this can help us make better decisions and avoid costly mistakes.
3/15: For example, let's say you're considering investing in a new technology startup. A thought experiment would involve imagining the best-case and worst-case scenarios for that investment.
4/15: In a commencement speech at USC, Munger said, "Invert, always invert." This means that we should think about what we don't want to happen, and then work to avoid it. This is an example of a thought experiment in action.
5/15: When Munger and Buffet were considering investing in a company, they would often ask themselves, "If we had to hold this company for 20 years, would we still feel good about the investment?" This is another example of a thought experiment.
6/15: So, how can you use this mental model in your own investments? Start by imagining the best and worst-case scenarios for your investment. Then, think about how you can maximize the best-case scenario and minimize the worst-case scenario.
7/15: Another example of using thought experiments in investing is by examining different industries and trying to identify patterns.
Munger and Buffet have been successful in the past by investing in companies with durable competitive advantages in industries they understand well.
8/15: In addition to investing, thought experiments can also be useful in entrepreneurship. Before starting a business, try to imagine the best-case and worst-case scenarios for your idea.
Then, think about how you can maximize the best-case scenario and minimize the worst-case scenario.
9/15: Munger once said, "Spend each day trying to be a little wiser than you were when you woke up." This is a great approach to life and business. Continually thinking through thought experiments can help you become a little bit wiser every day.
10/15: Great personalities like Elon Musk, Jeff Bezos, and Steve Jobs have used thought experiments in their companies to great effect. They imagined new products and then worked to make them a reality.
11/15: When Steve Jobs was working on the first iPhone, he imagined a device that could be used to make calls, send messages, and access the internet. He then worked tirelessly to make that vision a reality.
12/15: In conclusion, the mental model of thought experiment can be a powerful tool in investing and entrepreneurship. By imagining different scenarios and thinking through the consequences, we can make better decisions and avoid costly mistakes.
13/15: If you want to learn more about Charlie Munger and his approach to investing, I recommend reading "Poor Charlie's Almanack" by Peter Kaufman.
14/15: Also, check out this video of Charlie Munger talking about the importance of mental models:
15/15: Thank you for reading this thread! If you found it useful, please like, retweet, and follow me for more content like this.
Hey everyone, today I'm excited to write a short review "Joys of Compounding" by Gautam Baid, Fund Manager at Stellar Wealth Partners India Fund. This book is all about the power of compounding and how it can help you achieve your financial goals.
The book is divided into 5 sections with various chapters filled with essential life & investing wisdom, quotes from various investors, engineers, entrepreneurs like Warren Buffet, Charlie Munger, Leonardo Da Vinci and Elon Musk.
In the intro, @Gautam__Baid says "The key to successful investing is not predicting the future, but learning from the past and understanding the present."
2/ This means that the way we perceive and interpret the world may not always match reality. A map is just a representation of reality and it's important to keep that in mind when making decisions.
3/ Charlie Munger and Warren Buffet used this mental model to evaluate their investments. They would always look beyond the numbers and do a deep dive into the company's culture, management, and future prospects.
I've always wondered about the investing success of Charlie Munger. I don't agree with him in everything he says, especially about #bitcoin. But, I try to learn from his life.
In this thread, you will learn more on Circle of Competence, Charlie Munger's Mental Model
2/12
Circle of Competence is a mental model introduced by Charlie Munger. Circle of Competence is all about focusing on what you know best and avoiding the rest.
3/12
According to Charlie Munger, you have to know what you know and what you don't know. Your circle of competence is the area where you have expertise and knowledge. Something you're comfortable explaining to others in plain, simple language.