Thread by @SWP_IntSecurity

Russia's suspension of #NewSTART, 🇸🇪 & 🇫🇮 role for nuclear disarmament, prospects for US-Russian-Chinese cooperation & Iran’s uranium enrichment: our #STAND team's regular thread on recent news and analyses to #underSTAND #nuclear #deterrence and #threats (no endorsement).(1/9)

Putin’s announcement to suspend Russia’s🇷🇺 participation in the #NewSTART treaty may signal the end to formal #arms #control (bit.ly/3EpGB5J). @WarOnTheRocks, @HannaNotte argues that the US should use all means to reverse Russia’s decision (bit.ly/3IMc6tm).(2/9)

Also @WarOnTheRocks, @ProfOnderco and Clara Portela discuss the consequences of NATO’s Nordic enlargement on Swedish🇸🇪 and Finnish🇫🇮 bridge-building in the field of #nuclear #disarmament (bit.ly/3xKtg41). Joining NATO could impede their role as mediators.(3/9)

@MarcChampion1 and colleagues argue @bpolitics that the post-cold war era is gone and a new #arms #race has arrived (bit.ly/3Kr98M3). They call on lessons-learned from the #ColdWar to reassess everything from ammunition stocks to supply lines.(4/9)

RAND’s Raphael Cohen and colleagues sound out the prospects for #cooperation despite US🇺🇸 #strategic #competition with Russia🇷🇺 and China🇨🇳 (bit.ly/3YUJSSA). They find that cooperation will be rare and narrowly focused & recommend to prioritise de-escalation.(5/9)

@fromTGA, Ivan Krastev & @markhleonard analyse @ecfr that 🇷🇺‘s war against 🇺🇦 was a turning point. It challenged Europeans’🇪🇺 assumptions about their security & disrupted the global economy, but consolidated ‘the West’ (bit.ly/3SoujQX).(6/9)

Iran’s uranium enrichment to 84% tests diplomacy holds @virtualnomad @bpolitics (bit.ly/3ZaWaG9). From @SWP_IntSecurity Markus Kaim argues Germany🇩🇪 should send weapons to Saudi Arabia🇸🇦 to strengthen deterrence and save the NPT (bit.ly/3lSYyDb).(7/9)

How China🇨🇳 coerces, compels&deters is thoroughly discussed in “Modernizing Deterrence” (bit.ly/3lR3310, 192p), published by the National Bureau of Asian Research and edited by Roy D. Kamphausen. It includes a chapter by Nicola Leveringhaus on #nuclear #deterrence.(8/9)

Last but not least, William Burr & @LeopoldoNuti @NSArchive just published 35 declassified documents that help reconstruct the endgame of the #Cuban #Missile #Crisis, 60 years later (bit.ly/3YWU1hU).(9/9)