1/ Operational situation update/ #russian_invasion in #Ukraine on March 1, 2023
Situation is still evolving in North & East #Bakhmut
but it's really difficult to assess the exact limits Ru have reached & several reports call for a "relative" momentary "stall".
#UkraineMap Image
2/ so i'll resume try to resume tomorrow with more infos. only 3 geoloc today and does not change any of the FEBA as we previously assessed it.
#UAarmy is also supposed (and proven by certain units) to be coming in for last support.
but we don't know for now, if it's only
3/ to help to stabilize the situation in order to prepare a "clean withdrawal" (as it is potentially one of the most difficult act to perform to cross your own lines of fire, when being in this situation).
or if it's for serious reinforcements because for example, mil intel have
4/ infos about the situation (we, of course, don't have) and they know something about the current forces ratio and that it could be "handle" right here right now...
like lots of commanders were asking for months there.

who knows...
so tonight i'm gonna stop here.
5/ "The assault on the city of #Bakhmut continues. #Ukrainian defenders repelled attacks in the vicinities of settlements of Bakhmut, #Khromove, and #Ivanivske #Vasyukivka, #Zaliznyanske, #OrikhovoVasylivka, #ChasivYar, #Dyliivka, #Kurdyumivka, #Maiorsk, came under enemy fire. ImageImage

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More from @HeliosRunner

Mar 3
1/ Tt pareil que le monsieur.
mais j'ai arrêté, ils refusent de se "soigner" sur cette chaine.
ts les jours les mêmes conneries/approximations/invités bidons& papiers buvards russes.
à midi encore, à nous dire que si #Bakhmut tombe c'est un revers majeur pour Zelensky lui meme
2/ qd ce n'est pas ça, ils reprennent des discussions des abrutis des chaines de propagandistes russes (on m'a fait passé des extraits de rediff) non stop ou encore ils ont maintenant un "jeune" tout excité le matin qui n'hésites ps juste pour paraitre "au courant" à faire passer
3/ directement les infos de Wagner, alors que ce garçon n'a pas la moindre formation et ou "la bouteille" nécessaire pour comprendre ce qu'il "régurgite" ainsi... (ah ça il faudrait plusieurs @frog_of_war en permanence pour driver tous ces "jeunes" !-))
Patrick Sauce fait parfois
Read 4 tweets
Mar 3
2/ Russians are losing a lot, every single day, as usual.
don't freak out with some map out there, "immobility/plain-ist" "map makers" makes it appears worst than it is, as always.
the situation is almost the same, as yesterday.

i'll resume later today to explain. Image
3/Last gen staff report ImageImageImage
Read 4 tweets
Mar 2
Hello Bonjour!
Have a good day you all! Image
2/ situation is under control everywhere & in the usual "hot points" Ru have their usual worm rate progression of 5m per day.
nothing special to report. that's about it! Ru are not able to send massive troops in one go... so we are simply witnessing the usual..
600KIA/ day min ImageImage
3/ in the meantime 8 to 12 new full Brigade are being prepared on UKR side and after 6 full months of training they will be ready by Spring to come into the battle.
so it's really not important to look at all these tiny little spots on the map right now, makes no real sense.
Read 5 tweets
Mar 1
1/ it is quite interesting to note how diff countries would commemorate their mil "exploit" or losses and "value" them in their history.
Ru in 2000 lost a really large amount of paratroopers and other units, in famous last battle against #Chechen during a battle "776.0 heights"
2/ today they talk about it of course for very obvious reasons, to show that : 1- it is necessary for Ru troops to understand that entire units being wiped out is absolutely normal to achieve a small success...
3/ Also that it does not matter what is the name or value of the unit, you are just one little cog in the wheel and you are here to follow order and go only forward & if you are "brave" you don't listen to high command telling you its not possible (#Prigozhin is still pushing his
Read 4 tweets
Feb 28
1/ Operational situation update/ #russian_invasion in #Ukraine on Feb 23, 2023
Situation is still evolving in North & East #Bakhmut
In the city the Ukr seems to draw back from previous contact lines. preparing retreat.
Really hard fights all day long... everywhere
#UkraineMap Image
2/ Ru are making notable progress along the NE-SW rail going between #Yahidne & #Khromove. RU forces are increasing their tactical harassements with continuous small groups of men ramping up like vermines... some pic of #Ukrainian LOCS taken by RU drones. direct mortar hit.
3/ As explained several times, if Ru take full control of this axis (even if #Bogdanivka is not fully taken) but up to #Khromove because of the particular terrain situation, #Ukrainian won't ever be able to take it back (acting like that of course.. )
so i think it's the reason Image
Read 6 tweets
Feb 27
1/ Operational situation update/ #russian_invasion in #Ukraine on Feb 27, 2023
Situation is still tense in north and East #Bakhmut but under control & steady almost everywhere.
Also there is some good news to the south of #ChassivYar
#UkraineMap
2/ There is no "major counter attack" as i explained yesterday. this is pure bollocks. there was some real effort to send some troops /small units to control and defeat Ru adavances, but nothing else.
funny to see guys these morning still wondering about it, because of yesterday
3/ craziness. the funnier thing is the one taking the "bait" as i said several time are not even able to go check on all Ru (because they don't want to do proper job & are not able to understand anyway) "proper" chanels and same for Ukr reports.
Anyway, situation is ok..
Read 12 tweets

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