1/ Operational situation update/ #russian_invasion in #Ukraine on March 13, 2023
quick update -
#RussianArmy failed on all their attacks around #Bakhmut, but have some real success in the south!
Also out of the city in the North North West area
recap of last infos
#UkraineMap Image
2/ so as usual Ru attacked the north part of the area of #Bakhmut and even if they were stopped they are slightly progressing right now.
today was really "special" as my first tweet showed that Colonel General Олександр #Сирський explained the ongoing difficulties around Bakhmut
3/ but apparently it was all day long and with a lots of volume in specific areas like in the south of the city.
i had 3 diff very reliable reports, one one them from a commander. So today they did not try that much to attack from the north (river, more defense now, etc) or by
4/ the East side of the city were they were pushed back (even if they claimed they crossed the river) destroyed! so they are not advancing as strongly there as days ago.
now they are focusing in the south to try to reach the main axis (one of the main LOCs)
the commander
5/ explained they called for Arty to destroy them all with precision ammo and it did work but in the process, they have "pulverized" the houses/buildings there, and there is no more really possibility to established new defense "lines" / systems to contain Ru advances. so they to
6/ to fold back..
and this how, even if it is the more stupid thing, Russians are progressing.
Sadly Ukraine has not enough men power to put there to face Ru & to avoid this situation. you can't stop continuous waves of dozen of men unless you put a certain number in front of
7/ them. so they are "fixing" them in an area, call for arty to obliterate them, and deal with it like that.
so Ukrainians are preserving their men and use "few" in the process, but they can't stay in a definitive defensive position in the process, because Ru are also calling
8/ their own artillery to shell the sh.. of the Ukr positions even if they need 10 times the amount of ammo and kill some of their guys in the process.
Net result is stupid "progression".
9/ in the other areas like to #ChassivYar or other directions it's difficult but Ru are not able to achieve the same and maybe are not fully willing to commit as much there.
10/ also today just quick note, the situation is also quite difficult in the entire area around #Kreminna.
this morning Hayday reported as some other channels that Russian have now, one more time, a big wave of new reserves coming in (at least they are not coming in one block)
11/ anyway that's it for now.
we'll see tomorrow.
how it goes. but the "drawer" i described once is being to be smaller now and some commanders are ok to stay as some units wants to get out...
12/ don't worry Russians are having tons of problems on their sides and are whining a lot..
also one of the last "grey zone" talks today : Image
13/ actually just watching some Wagner infos that fits the infos i have collected from Ukrainians units/commanders :
(this time it fits quite well the true facts) ImageImage

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More from @HeliosRunner

Mar 15
1/ Operational situation update/ #russian_invasion in #Ukraine on March 15, 2023
quick update -
#RussianArmy is not making any progress all along the 700km of frontline except for some marginals gains in the #Bakhmut area & in the city
Quick recap of last infos
#UkraineMap Image
2/ So basically the situation remains the same in the north East : " #Kupyansk and #Lyman axes: the adversary does not abandon its attempts to break through the defense of Ukrainian troops. The enemy conducted unsuccessful offensive operations in the vicinities of settlements of
3/ #Bilohorivka and "Spirne. Ru are shelling like crazy fcks with artillery at the vicinities of settlements of #Dvorichna, #Hryanykivka, #Kupyansk, #Krokhmalne (Kharkiv oblast), #Novoselivske, #Nevske, #Dibrova, #Bilohorivka (Luhansk)
so situation is quite unchanged there...
Read 21 tweets
Mar 13
1. Don't be fooled (it was their plan all the way, they did the same shitty trick of pseudo negotiation back then in Syria over and over but did not desired anything like that):
"Russia does not see the prospects of a quick transition to negotiations with #Ukraine", – press Image
2/ secretary Dmitry Peskov

"The goals that Russia sets for itself in Ukraine can now be achieved only by military means; there are no prerequisites for the transition of the situation to a peaceful course," he said.
3/ recently intel agencies of Northern Europe (if my friends sent me the correct infos ;-)) claimed they have direct knowledge about #Russia setting themselves for at least a 2 more years of full war.

simply counting as i explained billion times on the fact that they could win
Read 4 tweets
Mar 13
1/ Preoccupying :
(as expected; Ru is "evolving" in some warfare's "area")
he Russian army began to use "electronic" false targets to weaken and confuse #Ukrainian air defense, – military expert Aqil #Rustamzade

Today, operational chats reported the takeoff and departure of the Image
2/ Russian Tu-95 and MiG-31. The air alert was quickly announced due to a possible simulated launch.

"What's going on? Ukrainian radars lit up with means of radio-electronic warfare.
3/ It will take time for Ukrainian anti-aircraft fighters to learn to separate fake targets from real ones," Rustamzade summarizes.
Read 5 tweets
Mar 13
Si vs avez un peu de temps..
allez donner un "coup de main" à @camillebarre10
parce que là, elle (il) est pris entre les feux croisés de ces 2 intello "en rouge libre"...
"La Tchétchénie est une guerre civile avec ses horreurs inévitables ..." etc etc Image
2/ 1 des premières raison est que l'on est comme ds "Brokeback mountain", ou l'on tue des homos & que la police ne remplie pas des stats spécifiques (juste "meurtres" par ex ou "accident mortel") & parfois les corps ne sont pas retrouvés ou bien comme en prison, "disparaissent".. Image
3/ on rappellera aussi que sur ordre direct de Putin des troupes spéciales furent envoyés dans les sous sols d'un hôpital en Tchétchénie, ou il avait demandé de "finir" tous ceux qui s'y trouvaient, à l'arme blanche de pref...
un fameux med qui avait soigné des russ avait eu la
Read 6 tweets
Mar 12
Part 3 ! weeks/months/year recap
1/ Day week recap for Russians alleged losses and Ukraine alleged losses
2/ recap of the week and projection of remaining forces if rate loss still remain on the same "slope" (pente) -
stats in weeks.
3/ recap of past weeks reported losses for Ru troops by gen staff datas
Read 6 tweets
Mar 12
1/ Operational situation update/ #russian_invasion in #Ukraine on March 12, 2023
#RussianArmy failed on all their attacks around #Bakhmut, even to the West part!
Ru are in deep trouble now as they have to fill back their rank with new waves of useless canon fodder.
#UkraineMap
2/ not going today to go through all the frontline and all as nothing has really changed.
diff commanders, local units on TG & direct contact all assess the same thing today on #Bakhmut situation
Magyar, Moto or him :
3/ Ru even suffered back draw back in the area of
#Zabakhmutka !
so.. i let you imagine how they can "feel" right now.
that's why #Prigozhin is trying to "wrap" his new "offer" in a "political statement" as he needs more men to come in... he knows
wikimapia.org/35838073/Zabak…
Read 16 tweets

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